ReadingAFC Wimbledon

Reading v AFC Wimbledon result

Full-time · Reading 2–1 AFC Wimbledon

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Reading · AFC Wimbledon

The model’s pre-match pick

Reading 2–1 AFC Wimbledon — Reading won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Reading beat AFC Wimbledon 2–1 in the League Cup on Tuesday 26 August. Reading have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Reading: Liam Fraser (24’, assisted by Kamari Doyle) and Mamadi Camará (70’, assisted by A. Garcia); AFC Wimbledon: Omar Bugiel (26’, assisted by Jake Reeves).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mamadi Camará’s goal on 70 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Reading 0.00, AFC Wimbledon 0.00, from 9 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — AFC Wimbledon: Aron Sasu (58’).

What it changes

Reading sit seventh on six points from two games with a goal difference of +2 (2025/26 so far).

AFC Wimbledon sit 50th on one point from two games with a goal difference of -1 (2025/26 so far).

Reading are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Garcia (Reading) 8.1, Omar Bugiel (AFC Wimbledon) 8.1 and Kamari Doyle (Reading) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Reading or AFC Wimbledon (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Reading next travel to Stockport County on 14 November 2026.

AFC Wimbledon next host Blackpool on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Reading: Stockport County v Reading, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for AFC Wimbledon: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Reading 2–1 AFC Wimbledon · League Cup
  • Referee: Jacob Miles
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Reading 0 · draws 0 · AFC Wimbledon 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Reading 1W 2D 2L · AFC Wimbledon 3W 1D 1L

Reading 2–1 AFC Wimbledon (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4
Corners
against 5 / 3.33 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4 / 2.5
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 1.67 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.13 / 1
Cards
against 1.25 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameReading for / againstLineAFC Wimbledon for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 3.33 against n 6
Shots
10.25 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.67 for · 9.83 against n 6
Shots on target
4 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
2.5 for · 1.67 against n 6
Fouls committed
12 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9.33 for · 9.83 against n 6
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1 against n 6

Reading

Reading Defensive

Reading — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Burns n 690
0.83/1
0.53/0
—
C. Savage n 880.8
0.84/2
0.11/0
—
D. Kyerewaa n 661.2
13/1
13/1
—
Mark O’Mahony n 660.5
1.74/2
1.54/2
—
Mamadi Camará n 844.8
1.55/1
2.35/3
—
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Reading — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Burns n 690
35/4
C. Savage n 880.8
26/4
D. Kyerewaa n 661.2
00/0
Mark O’Mahony n 660.5
14/0
Mamadi Camará n 844.8
1.54/2
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Reading Attacking

Reading — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Burns n 690
0.32/0
00/0
C. Savage n 880.8
15/2
0.43/0
D. Kyerewaa n 661.2
14/0
0.21/0
Mark O’Mahony n 660.5
0.72/1
0.51/1
Mamadi Camará n 844.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
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Reading — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Burns n 690
00/0
00/0
C. Savage n 880.8
00/0
0.11/0
D. Kyerewaa n 661.2
00/0
00/0
Mark O’Mahony n 660.5
00/0
00/0
Mamadi Camará n 844.8
0.31/0
00/0
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AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon Defensive

AFC Wimbledon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Ogundere n 868.6
15/1
0.73/1
—
A. Smith n 890
0.84/2
0.53/1
—
J. Reeves n 890
0.84/2
0.11/0
—
N. Asiimwe n 590
0.21/0
0.21/0
—
N. Bishop n 590
00/0
00/0
—
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AFC Wimbledon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Asiimwe n 590
45/5
I. Ogundere n 868.6
2.17/4
J. Reeves n 890
1.97/5
A. Smith n 890
1.67/3
N. Bishop n 590
00/0
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AFC Wimbledon Attacking

AFC Wimbledon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Asiimwe n 590
13/1
0.21/0
A. Smith n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Reeves n 890
0.32/0
00/0
I. Ogundere n 868.6
0.21/0
00/0
N. Bishop n 590
00/0
00/0
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AFC Wimbledon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Asiimwe n 590
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Smith n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Reeves n 890
00/0
0.11/0
N. Bishop n 590
00/0
00/0
I. Ogundere n 868.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ReadingAFC Wimbledon
49%Possession51%
9Shots14
4Shots on target5
3Shots off target7
2Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box10
2Corners6
1Offsides0
9Fouls14
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves2
380Passes390
76%Pass accuracy73%

Reading Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Stevens9000000006.9
Michael George Stickland9000001007.2
J. Dorsett9000000006.2
L. Fraser9010211308.9
K. Doyle9001211307.9
A. Garcia9001101607.3
J. Ryan7900000307.7
T. Rushesha7900001206.3
Jeremiah Okine-Peters6600002206.6
K. Abrefa6500000306.3
P. Lane4500000006.2
Mamadi Camará sub4510110007.2
A. Ahmed sub2500000207
Mark O’Mahony sub2400110006.2
D. Kyerewaa sub1100000206.5
B. Elliott sub1100000006.5

AFC Wimbledon Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. McDonnell9000000006.5
A. Sasu90001003Y5.9
R. Harbottle9000100206.9
I. Ogundere9000001306.9
C. Maycock9000101606.7
Omar Bugiel9010214107.7
J. Reeves7901003106.9
Robert Junior Nkeng7100220206.6
A. Hackford7100101006.5
D. Orsi7100211106.6
P. Bauer6600110006.7
R. Johnson sub2400000006.2
S. Seddon sub1900000106.9
N. Asiimwe sub1900000206.6
J. Kelly sub1900100006.5
M. Hippolyte sub1100001006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Reading v AFC Wimbledon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ReadingLWLDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
AFC WimbledonWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Reading 0 · 0 draws · AFC Wimbledon 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-08-16 Reading 1–2 AFC Wimbledon
Goals per game
Reading scored1.2
AFC Wimbledon scored1.4
Reading conceded1.6
AFC Wimbledon conceded0.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Reading v AFC Wimbledon?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Reading v AFC Wimbledon was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Reading and AFC Wimbledon?
In their last 1 meetings, Reading won 0, AFC Wimbledon won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Reading and AFC Wimbledon?
Recent form — Reading 1W 2D 2L; AFC Wimbledon 3W 1D 1L.

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