Hamilton Academical v Kelty Hearts result

Full-time · Hamilton Academical 1–2 Kelty Hearts

League One – Scotland · · ZLX Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Hamilton Academical 1–2 Kelty Hearts — Kelty Hearts won this League One – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1553 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kelty Hearts won 2–1 at ZLX Stadium in League One – Scotland on Saturday 28 March.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Kelty Hearts: A. Pettifer (34’, assisted by I. Murray) and R. Cunningham (48’, assisted by I. Murray); Hamilton Academical: O. Shaw (45’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Cunningham’s goal on 48 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Hamilton Academical: L. Kilday (65’), K. MacDonald (90’) and Z. Hutton (90+4’); Kelty Hearts: A. Davidson (36’).

What it changes

Hamilton Academical are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hamilton Academical or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1170 of 1553).

Next up

Hamilton Academical next host East Fife on 24 October 2026.

Kelty Hearts next travel to Edinburgh City on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hamilton Academical: Hamilton Academical v East Fife, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Kelty Hearts: Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Hamilton Academical 1–2 Kelty Hearts · League One – Scotland
  • Venue: ZLX Stadium · Hamilton
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hamilton Academical 4 · draws 2 · Kelty Hearts 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hamilton Academical 1W 2D 2L · Kelty Hearts 0W 3D 2L

Hamilton Academical 1–2 Kelty Hearts (League One – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Hamilton Academical v Kelty Hearts — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hamilton AcademicalDLWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Kelty HeartsDDLDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hamilton Academical 4 · 2 draws · Kelty Hearts 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-01-31 Kelty Hearts 0–0 Hamilton Academical
  • 2025-11-22 Hamilton Academical 3–1 Kelty Hearts
  • 2025-09-20 Kelty Hearts 0–4 Hamilton Academical
  • 2024-05-04 Hamilton Academical 4–1 Kelty Hearts
  • 2024-03-02 Kelty Hearts 0–5 Hamilton Academical
  • 2023-12-23 Hamilton Academical 1–1 Kelty Hearts
League standing · 2025/26
Hamilton Academical#9 pos34 pts36 pl+12 GD
Kelty Hearts#10 pos29 pts36 pl-29 GD
Goals per game
Hamilton Academical scored1.5
Kelty Hearts scored0.92
Hamilton Academical conceded1.17
Kelty Hearts conceded1.72

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Hamilton Academical v Kelty Hearts?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hamilton Academical v Kelty Hearts was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Kelty Hearts?
In their last 6 meetings, Hamilton Academical won 4, Kelty Hearts won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hamilton Academical and Kelty Hearts?
Recent form — Hamilton Academical 1W 2D 2L; Kelty Hearts 0W 3D 2L.

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