AFC Wimbledon v Wigan result

Full-time · AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Wigan

League One · Sun, 30 Aug 2026 14:00 BST · The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 11:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AFC Wimbledon · Wigan · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Wigan — AFC Wimbledon won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 1.37 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

AFC Wimbledon beat Wigan 1–0 at The Cherry Red Records Stadium in League One on Sunday 30 August. Wigan are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — AFC Wimbledon: Myles Hippolyte (88’, assisted by Donnell McNeilly).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Myles Hippolyte’s goal on 88 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Wigan out-shot AFC Wimbledon 16 to 13 and created the better chances, 2.99 xG to 0.72 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Andrew Humphries, England showed eight yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — AFC Wimbledon: S. Sessegnon (73’), Ollie Harrison (75’), Alistair Smith (77’) and Steven Seddon (90+6’); Wigan: Archie Harris (21’), Jon Mellish (25’), Jensen Weir (45+3’) and James Carragher (65’).

What it changes

AFC Wimbledon move up from 20th to 13th (three league matches played).

Wigan stay 24th after this result (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joseph McDonnell (AFC Wimbledon) 5.2, Myles Hippolyte (AFC Wimbledon) 5.1 and Daniel Sweeney (AFC Wimbledon) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Wigan, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

AFC Wimbledon next host Mansfield Town on 20 October 2026.

Wigan next travel to Oxford United on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AFC Wimbledon: AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Wigan: Oxford United v Wigan, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Wigan · League One
Venue: The Cherry Red Records Stadium · London
Referee: Andrew Humphries, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): AFC Wimbledon 2 · draws 1 · Wigan 3 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: AFC Wimbledon 0W 2D 3L · Wigan 0W 1D 4L

AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Wigan (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.38 / 1

Goals

against 2 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 5.5

Corners

against 6.13 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.25

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	AFC Wimbledon for / against	Line	Wigan for / against
Goals scored	0.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	8.5 for · 17.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.75 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.88 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Andrew Humphries, England.

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Stockley n 8	50	2 5/3	2 3/3	S. Perkins
M. Browne n 8	78.6	1.9 6/5	1.3 4/3	—
L. Stewart n 8	59.8	1.7 5/3	1.1 3/3	—
M. Hippolyte n 8	78.3	1.6 7/4	1.3 5/2	—
D. Sweeney n 8	56.8	1.4 4/3	0.4 2/0	J. Mellish

AFC Wimbledon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Stockley n 8	50	2.3 7/2	0.9 3/1
L. Stewart n 8	59.8	1.5 6/2	0.9 5/0
Kai Jennings n 7	43.9	1.2 3/1	0.3 1/0
J. Tilley n 8	81.4	1.1 4/3	0.4 3/0
A. Sasu n 8	42.9	1 2/2	0.8 2/1

AFC Wimbledon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Hackford n 8	24.4	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
Kai Jennings n 7	43.9	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Z. Nelson n 8	37.1	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
J. Reeves n 8	71.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
L. Stewart n 8	59.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

AFC Wimbledon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Yiadom n 8	36.3	3.7 4/3
J. Tilley n 8	81.4	2.8 7/5
N. Asiimwe n 8	52.5	2.4 4/3
A. Smith n 8	87.6	2.2 6/5
M. Hippolyte n 8	78.3	1.9 6/4

AFC Wimbledon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Bishop n 8	91.3	3.5 7/6
J. McDonnell n 8	90	2.5 5/5

Wigan

Wigan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Saydee n 8	26.8	2.5 6/0	3.8 6/2	—
J. Mellish n 8	82.1	2.2 7/6	0.4 3/0	D. Sweeney
S. Perkins n 8	50.4	2 5/4	0.9 3/1	J. Stockley
J. Taylor n 8	70.6	1.8 5/3	1.3 6/1	—
C. Wright n 8	71	1.6 6/3	1 4/1	—

Wigan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Taylor n 8	70.6	2.9 7/4	1.4 5/2
S. Perkins n 8	50.4	2.7 6/3	0.7 2/1
C. Sze n 8	26.5	2.5 4/1	1.3 2/1
Akeel Higgins n 8	34.5	2.3 5/2	1 3/0
D. Costelloe n 8	63.4	2.1 5/3	1.1 3/2

Wigan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Taylor n 8	70.6	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
C. Wright n 8	71	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
D. Costelloe n 8	63.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
J. Kerr n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Carragher n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0

Wigan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Barrett n 8	52	3 7/5
Akeel Higgins n 8	34.5	2.6 3/3
F. Burns n 8	69.4	2.3 6/4
Harrison Bettoni n 8	38.4	2.3 4/2
R. Borges Rodrigues n 8	82.8	1.8 5/4

Wigan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Walsh n 8	90.6	3.2 6/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AFC Wimbledon		Wigan
43%	Possession	57%
0.72	Expected goals (xG)	2.99
13	Shots	16
2	Shots on target	5
7	Shots off target	9
4	Blocked shots	2
7	Shots inside the box	14
5	Corners	9
1	Offsides	1
14	Fouls	11
4	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	1
312	Passes	412
68%	Pass accuracy	79%

AFC Wimbledon player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. McDonnell	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
D. Sweeney	90	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	7.3
A. Smith	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	Y	6.7
M. Hippolyte	90	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.5
S. Seddon	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	Y	7.3
J. Stockley	90	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	6.2
I. Ogundere	86	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
R. Johnson	68	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	7
A. Sasu	68	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
J. Tilley	67	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Z. Nelson	67	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
Junior Nkeng sub	23	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.3
O. Harrison sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
S. Sessegnon sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.6
Donnell McNeilly sub	22	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
A. Yiadom sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Wigan player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Walsh	90	0	0	0	1	0	7
J. Carragher	90	1	0	1	2	Y	7.2
J. Mellish	90	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
M. Power	90	0	0	1	3	0	7.2
R. Walsh	90	1	1	3	1	0	7
J. Weir	90	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
D. Costelloe	90	2	1	0	0	0	7.5
F. Burns	84	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
C. Barrett	84	2	2	2	1	0	6.3
S. Perkins	74	4	0	1	0	0	5.3
Akeel Higgins	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Archie Harris sub	78	2	0	1	2	Y	6.3
K. Miller sub	16	1	1	0	2	0	6.3
J. Chilokoa-Mullen sub	16	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
L. Harris sub	16	1	0	1	1	0	6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind AFC Wimbledon v Wigan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AFC WimbledonLDLDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

WiganLLDLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

AFC Wimbledon 2 · 1 draw · Wigan 3 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-04-25 Wigan 0–1 AFC Wimbledon
2025-11-22 AFC Wimbledon 1–2 Wigan
2022-03-05 Wigan 1–0 AFC Wimbledon
2021-10-23 AFC Wimbledon 0–2 Wigan
2021-03-16 AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Wigan
2021-02-06 Wigan 2–3 AFC Wimbledon

League standing · 2026/27

AFC Wimbledon#15 pos12 pts10 pl-8 GD

Wigan#24 pos7 pts9 pl-7 GD

Goals per game

AFC Wimbledon scored0.7

Wigan scored0.67

AFC Wimbledon conceded1.5

Wigan conceded1.44

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for AFC Wimbledon v Wigan?: TACTIX’s free model pick for AFC Wimbledon v Wigan was Draw or Away (best price 1.37 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between AFC Wimbledon and Wigan?: In their last 6 meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 2, Wigan won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AFC Wimbledon and Wigan?: Recent form — AFC Wimbledon 0W 2D 3L; Wigan 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 11:22 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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