Burton Albion v Peterborough prediction

League One · · Pirelli Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Burton Albion vs Peterborough, League One on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Burton Albion host Peterborough in League One on Saturday 16 January (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Burton Albion’s last 15 results (80%).

Form and the table

Burton Albion are winless in their last three matches. 10 of Burton Albion’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). At home, Burton Albion have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.71. Burton Albion have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Burton Albion have conceded 18 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.

Eight of Peterborough’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Peterborough’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Peterborough have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.43. Peterborough have scored nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Peterborough have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Burton Albion (ninth) and Peterborough (19th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Burton Albion the stronger side, 57 rating points above Peterborough (Burton Albion 1440, Peterborough 1383, after at least 368 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Peterborough are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Burton Albion. The most recent meeting, on 17 October 2026, finished Peterborough 2–2 Burton Albion.

Team news

Predicted Burton Albion XI (3-4-2-1): C. Addai, C. Tilt, T. Sibbick, F. Delap, K. Chauke, J. Armer, W. Collar, K. Lofthouse, R. Borges Rodrigues, S. Krubally, C. Webster — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Finn Delap (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) and Jack Armer (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Burton Albion’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burton Albion (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Finn Delap averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 853 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Jack Armer averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 934 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Peterborough XI (4-2-3-1): A. Bass, H. Mills, J. Feeney, D. Okagbue, C. Johnston, L. Kelly, B. Shofowoke, E. Williams, O. Edwards, B. Woods, H. Leonard — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Harry Leonard (4.0 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and one assist) and Harley Mills (4.0 per match over 12 appearances, three assists) have been Peterborough’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Peterborough (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Harry Leonard averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 1115 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Harley Mills averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 1029 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League One · Pirelli Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Burton Albion 1 · draws 3 · Peterborough 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L · Peterborough 1W 2D 2L

As of 17 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Burton Albion v Peterborough across every major market; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 6.38
Corners
against 6.25 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBurton Albion for / againstLinePeterborough for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14.75 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Burton Albion
Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mark O’Mahony n 812
2.83/0
0.91/0
—
C. Tilt n 889.1
2.18/5
1.65/3
—
M. Dennis n 860.5
1.96/2
0.93/1
—
W. Collar n 858.3
1.95/3
0.84/0
—
Caylan Vickers n 851.4
1.85/2
0.42/0
—
Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Arubi n 869
3.98/6
1.65/4
Mark O’Mahony n 812
2.83/0
0.91/0
Zac Scutt n 823
2.42/1
1.52/1
M. Dennis n 860.5
2.26/4
0.74/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Arubi n 869
0.74/0
00/0
Caylan Vickers n 851.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
Zac Scutt n 823
0.51/0
00/0
K. Lofthouse n 889.9
00/0
0.43/0
F. Delap n 884.1
0.43/0
00/0
Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sulyman Krubally n 839.4
4.37/4
T. Sibbick n 884.4
3.56/6
Emeka Adeile n 615.2
32/1
J. Sraha n 835.8
2.84/1
Harvey Araujo n 849.8
2.54/4
Burton Albion — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Addai n 890
2.36/4
Peterborough
Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vernon Masara n 523
3.93/1
2.33/0
—
Harrison Jones n 856.8
1.85/2
0.63/0
—
B. Khela n 847.8
1.66/1
0.93/1
—
C. Conn-Clarke n 813.9
1.62/0
6.56/2
—
Ethan Williams n 861.5
1.56/2
1.15/1
—
Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Leonard n 886.6
38/7
16/2
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
B. Woods n 851.8
26/3
0.42/0
Ethan Williams n 861.5
1.64/4
0.73/1
B. Khela n 847.8
1.64/1
0.72/1
Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Conn-Clarke n 813.9
0.81/0
00/0
B. Woods n 851.8
0.21/0
0.41/1
H. Leonard n 886.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
Harley Mills n 883.6
00/0
0.42/1
James Dornelly n 876.1
00/0
0.32/0
Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Harley Mills n 883.6
2.86/3
Harry Ashfield n 843.9
2.87/3
Lucca Mendonça n 866.5
2.55/4
Ethan Williams n 861.5
2.46/4
B. Woods n 851.8
2.26/2
Peterborough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Bass n 890
47/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Burton Albion v Peterborough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Burton AlbionDWLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
PeterboroughDLLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Burton Albion 1 · 3 draws · Peterborough 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-10-17 Peterborough 2–2 Burton Albion
  • 2026-04-19 Peterborough 1–1 Burton Albion
  • 2025-10-18 Burton Albion 0–1 Peterborough
  • 2025-01-01 Burton Albion 2–2 Peterborough
  • 2024-12-04 Peterborough 0–1 Burton Albion
  • 2024-03-09 Burton Albion 1–3 Peterborough
League standing · 2026/27
Burton Albion#9 pos13 pts11 pl-2 GD
Peterborough#19 pos9 pts10 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Burton Albion scored1.45
Peterborough scored0.9
Burton Albion conceded1.64
Peterborough conceded1.6

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Burton Albion and Peterborough?
In their last 6 meetings, Burton Albion won 1, Peterborough won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Burton Albion and Peterborough?
Recent form — Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L; Peterborough 1W 2D 2L.

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