Burton Albion v Port Vale result

Full-time · Burton Albion 0–0 Port Vale

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Burton Albion · Port Vale · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Burton Albion 0–0 Port Vale — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Burton Albion and Port Vale drew 0–0 in League One on Saturday 16 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. George Byers (15’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with George Byers’s red card on 15 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Burton Albion 0.00, Port Vale 0.00, from 14 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Oldham showed five yellow cards and one red — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Burton Albion: Finn Delap (34’), Jack Armer (43’), Jake Beesley (45+1’) and Kyran Lofthouse (50’); Port Vale: Mitchell Clark (90+10’).

What it changes

Burton Albion move up from 12th to ninth (three league matches played).

Port Vale move down from 13th to 17th (three league matches played).

It was the only goalless draw of round 3, across 12 matches. Port Vale are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Port Vale have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Toby Sibbick (Burton Albion) 3.7, Liam Gordon (Port Vale) 3.5 and Kgaogelo Chauke (Burton Albion) 3.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Burton Albion next host Bradford on 20 October 2026.

Port Vale next travel to Gillingham on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Burton Albion: Burton Albion v Bradford, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Port Vale: Gillingham v Port Vale, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Burton Albion 0–0 Port Vale · League One
  • Referee: S. Oldham
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Burton Albion 2 · draws 1 · Port Vale 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Burton Albion 2W 1D 2L · Port Vale 2W 1D 2L

Burton Albion 0–0 Port Vale (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.67
Corners
against 4 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.88 / 3.67
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 2.33 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.75 / 1.33
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
2.75 yellows
Referee · S. Oldham
1.63 home / 1.13 away
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBurton Albion for / againstLinePort Vale for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
5.67 for · 5 against n 6
Shots
9.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.17 for · 8.83 against n 6
Shots on target
3.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.67 for · 2.33 against n 6
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.67 for · 10.33 against n 6
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.33 for · 2.5 against n 6

Referee: S. Oldham — 2.75 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 19.5 fouls over 8 matches (1.63 to the home side, 1.13 to the away side).

Burton Albion
Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Beesley n 838.1
35/3
2.75/2
—
M. Bennett n 832.8
2.45/2
0.31/0
—
Tomas Kalinauskas n 818.5
2.44/0
3.64/1
—
J. McKiernan n 878.4
2.37/5
2.67/6
L. Tolaj
R. Burrell n 870.6
1.98/3
00/0
—
Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Beesley n 838.1
2.76/2
0.31/0
M. Bennett n 832.8
2.44/2
12/1
C. Webster n 878.9
2.16/5
15/1
R. Burrell n 870.6
1.95/3
1.35/2
Tomas Kalinauskas n 818.5
1.81/1
0.61/0
Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fábio Tavares n 834.4
0.72/0
0.72/0
R. Burrell n 870.6
0.52/1
00/0
C. Webster n 878.9
0.42/1
00/0
J. Böðvarsson n 859
0.21/0
0.21/0
Julian Larsson n 855.1
0.42/0
00/0
Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Delap n 740.3
2.96/2
J. Sraha n 850.5
2.74/2
K. Lofthouse n 884.6
2.48/4
Dylan Williams n 878.5
2.48/5
M. Bennett n 832.8
2.43/2
Port Vale
Port Vale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Tolaj n 888.1
28/6
1.97/6
J. McKiernan
B. Waine n 829.1
1.94/1
0.82/0
—
J. Stockley n 871.8
1.75/2
1.45/3
—
R. Walters n 864
1.65/2
1.96/3
—
G. Byers n 866.1
1.55/3
1.44/3
—
Port Vale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Curtis n 836.4
3.14/3
0.93/0
L. Tolaj n 888.1
2.38/5
0.95/2
B. Waine n 829.1
1.95/0
1.23/0
G. Byers n 866.1
1.75/3
0.53/0
B. Garrity n 868.9
1.56/3
0.73/1
Port Vale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Tolaj n 888.1
0.63/2
0.32/0
J. Headley n 874.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
J. Shorrock n 842.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
B. Garrity n 868.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
R. Croasdale n 871.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Port Vale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Richards n 825.1
44/3
R. Croasdale n 871.5
3.17/5
J. Headley n 874.6
2.47/5
K. John n 872
2.37/4
G. Byers n 866.1
2.27/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Burton AlbionPort Vale
62%Possession38%
14Shots13
4Shots on target0
5Shots off target9
5Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box8
9Corners3
1Offsides1
14Fouls10
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
0Saves3
436Passes276
81%Pass accuracy68%

Burton Albion player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Amissah9000000007
J. Moon9000002107.7
T. Sibbick9000110107.3
K. Lofthouse90000030Y6.7
K. Chauke9000000307.2
J. Armer90001010Y6.3
J. Beesley90004100Y6.2
C. Webster8900000106.9
J. McKiernan7800101306.7
Fábio Tavares7800001006.7
F. Delap45000011Y7.3
S. Revan sub4500113007.3
Julian Larsson sub1300000206.6
T. Shade sub1300111006.5
Dylan Williams sub10000000–

Port Vale player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maroši9000000007.2
C. Humphreys9000000007.3
J. Debrah9000300006.6
C. Hall9000101107.3
M. Clark90001030Y7.2
R. Croasdale9000100006.9
F. Ojo8900001007.5
L. Gordon8700000307.2
L. Tolaj8700101106.9
R. Curtis7300101006.7
G. Byers15000001R3
B. Waine sub1800000006.5
K. John sub1600001006.9
M. Faal sub1600101006.9
J. Shipley sub10000100–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Burton Albion v Port Vale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Burton AlbionWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Port ValeWLLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Burton Albion 2 · 1 draw · Port Vale 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2024-03-23 Burton Albion 0–1 Port Vale
  • 2023-11-14 Burton Albion 0–2 Port Vale
  • 2023-11-04 Port Vale 0–0 Burton Albion
  • 2023-09-19 Port Vale 2–3 Burton Albion
  • 2023-03-18 Port Vale 2–3 Burton Albion
  • 2022-08-20 Burton Albion 0–2 Port Vale
League standing · 2025/26
Burton Albion#17 pos54 pts46 pl-10 GD
Port Vale#22 pos42 pts46 pl-25 GD
Goals per game
Burton Albion scored1.09
Port Vale scored0.78
Burton Albion conceded1.3
Port Vale conceded1.33

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Burton Albion v Port Vale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Burton Albion v Port Vale was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Burton Albion and Port Vale?
In their last 6 meetings, Burton Albion won 2, Port Vale won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Burton Albion and Port Vale?
Recent form — Burton Albion 2W 1D 2L; Port Vale 2W 1D 2L.

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