Plymouth v Peterborough prediction

League One · · Home Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Plymouth vs Peterborough, League One on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The shape of the game

At home, Plymouth have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.25. Plymouth have scored 18 goals, the 3rd-highest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Plymouth have conceded twelve goals, the 13th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

At away, Peterborough have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.63. Peterborough have scored seven goals, the 22nd-highest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Peterborough have conceded 14 goals, the 15th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Plymouth (1st) and Peterborough (20th) are eleven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Plymouth the stronger side, 291 rating points above Peterborough (1674 v 1384, after at least 286 rated matches each).

Form and momentum

Eight of Plymouth’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Plymouth’s last 15 results (60%).

Eight of Peterborough’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Peterborough’s last 15 results (53%).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished Peterborough 0–1 Plymouth.

Players to watch

By TACTIX Impact, H. White (4.1 per match over twelve appearances, two goals and three assists) and R. Curtis (4.1 per match over eleven appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Plymouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Plymouth: H. White 1.6 key passes per 90 (1054 minutes), a key pass in 8 of the last 10 appearances; R. Curtis 1.3 key passes per 90 (883 minutes), a key pass in 7 of the last 10 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

By TACTIX Impact, Harley Mills (4.3 per match over eleven appearances, three assists) and H. Leonard (3.8 per match over twelve appearances, six goals) have been Peterborough’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Peterborough: Harley Mills 2.7 tackles per 90 (939 minutes), a tackle in 8 of the last 10 appearances; H. Leonard 3.1 shots per 90 (1034 minutes), a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

Predicted line-ups

Predicted Plymouth XI (4-4-2): M. Mahoney, W. Harding, A. Mitchell, Julio Pleguezuelo, M. Sorinola, H. White, R. Curtis, O. Irow, T. Bakinson, W. Evans, A. Pepple — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted Peterborough XI (4-2-3-1): A. Bass, Harley Mills, Joshua Feeney, D. Okagbue, C. Johnston, L. Kelly, B. Woods, Ethan Williams, O. Edwards, Harrison Jones, H. Leonard — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

Plymouth vs Peterborough (League One): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across every major market — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1
Goals
against 1 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 6
Corners
against 5.75 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 6.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePlymouth for / againstLinePeterborough for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 6.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Plymouth
Plymouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Ross n 854.4
3.16/4
13/1
—
M. Sorinola n 861.6
2.66/5
2.67/4
—
R. Curtis n 875.9
2.47/5
38/5
—
W. Evans n 884.6
28/6
0.74/1
—
X. Amaechi n 831.6
1.85/0
0.72/0
—
Plymouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Watts n 823.5
3.84/3
2.44/1
Owen Oseni n 843.6
3.46/3
2.34/3
A. Pepple n 874
2.67/4
1.16/1
O. Irow n 871.5
2.47/5
1.35/3
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Plymouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Watts n 823.5
12/0
0.51/0
Owen Oseni n 843.6
0.82/1
0.31/0
X. Amaechi n 831.6
0.72/0
00/0
A. Pepple n 874
0.64/0
00/0
O. Irow n 871.5
0.52/1
00/0
Plymouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. MacKenzie n 849.1
3.98/6
B. Ibrahim n 840.8
3.95/3
X. Amaechi n 831.6
3.66/3
J. Edwards n 843.6
2.85/4
A. Hartridge n 870.8
2.56/4
Plymouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Mahoney n 890
25/3
M. Cooper n 390
1.31/1
Peterborough
Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vernon Masara n 426.8
4.23/1
2.53/0
—
Harrison Jones n 856.8
1.85/2
0.63/0
—
Ethan Williams n 855.9
1.66/2
15/0
—
C. Conn-Clarke n 813.9
1.62/0
6.56/2
—
Lucca Mendonça n 860.9
1.55/3
0.62/1
—
Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Leonard n 887.8
2.78/7
16/2
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
B. Woods n 851.8
26/3
0.42/0
Vernon Masara n 426.8
1.72/0
0.81/0
C. Conn-Clarke n 813.9
1.61/1
0.81/0
Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Conn-Clarke n 813.9
0.81/0
00/0
B. Woods n 851.8
0.21/0
0.41/1
Harley Mills n 883.6
00/0
0.42/1
H. Leonard n 887.8
0.32/0
00/0
James Dornelly n 876.1
00/0
0.32/0
Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Harley Mills n 883.6
3.26/3
Ethan Williams n 855.9
3.27/5
Harry Ashfield n 846.9
2.97/3
Lucca Mendonça n 860.9
2.25/4
B. Woods n 851.8
2.26/2
Peterborough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Bass n 890
4.47/6

TACTIX model preview

The TACTIX model has priced Plymouth vs Peterborough across every betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:

Today’s free pick for this match posts shortly before kick-off.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Plymouth v Peterborough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PlymouthWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
PeterboroughDDLLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Plymouth 3 · 0 draws · Peterborough 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 Peterborough 0–1 Plymouth
  • 2025-09-20 Plymouth 0–1 Peterborough
  • 2023-02-25 Peterborough 5–2 Plymouth
  • 2022-08-13 Plymouth 2–0 Peterborough
  • 2022-08-10 Plymouth 0–2 Peterborough
  • 2021-08-10 Peterborough 0–4 Plymouth
League standing · 2026/27
Plymouth#1 pos19 pts10 pl+6 GD
Peterborough#20 pos8 pts9 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Plymouth scored1.8
Peterborough scored0.78
Plymouth conceded1.2
Peterborough conceded1.56

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Plymouth and Peterborough?
In their last 6 meetings, Plymouth won 3, Peterborough won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Plymouth and Peterborough?
Recent form — Plymouth 4W 0D 1L; Peterborough 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →