Wigan v Reading result

Full-time · Wigan 1–0 Reading

League One · · DW Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Wigan 1–0 Reading — Wigan won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.28 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wigan beat Reading 1–0 at DW Stadium in League One on Saturday 17 October. It is Wigan’s first win over Reading since 20 January 2024, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Wigan: Scott Hogan (71’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Scott Hogan’s goal on 71 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Reading out-shot Wigan 17 to 13 and created the better chances, 2.01 xG to 1.16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

The bookings — Wigan: Charlie Gray (52’) and James Carragher (74’); Reading: Andrew Rinomhota (23’) and Haydon Roberts (74’).

What it changes

Wigan stay 24th after this result (nine league matches played).

Reading move down from fifth to seventh (10 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joseph Whitworth (Wigan) 6.0, Scott Hogan (Wigan) 4.3 and Joel Pereira (Reading) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wigan or Reading (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Wigan next travel to Oxford United on 20 October 2026.

Reading next host Leyton Orient on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wigan: Oxford United v Wigan, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Reading: Reading v Leyton Orient, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Wigan 1–0 Reading · League One
  • Venue: DW Stadium · Wigan
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Wigan 1 · draws 0 · Reading 5 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wigan 1W 1D 3L · Reading 2W 2D 1L

Wigan 1–0 Reading (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.13 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWigan for / againstLineReading for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
2.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
16.88 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Wigan
Wigan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Miller n 525.4
2.83/1
1.42/0
—
S. Perkins n 857.5
2.36/3
13/1
—
J. Mellish n 870.5
1.86/4
0.32/0
—
R. Walsh n 861.9
1.86/4
3.16/5
Kyreece Lisbie
C. Barrett n 843
1.84/3
0.52/0
—
Wigan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Akeel Higgins n 827.1
2.95/2
1.23/0
S. Perkins n 857.5
2.74/4
0.41/1
D. Costelloe n 867.4
2.27/4
0.53/0
C. Sze n 829.6
1.93/1
1.53/1
R. Walsh n 861.9
1.65/2
0.53/0
Wigan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Burrows n 537.2
00/0
0.51/0
D. Costelloe n 867.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Akeel Higgins n 827.1
0.41/0
00/0
J. Weir n 888
0.31/1
00/0
R. Trevitt n 840.6
00/0
0.31/0
Wigan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Burrows n 537.2
2.93/3
Charlie Gray n 664.2
2.86/3
Akeel Higgins n 827.1
2.12/2
K. Miller n 525.4
2.12/1
C. Barrett n 843
1.85/1
Wigan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Whitworth n 890
3.57/6
J. Walsh n 890.6
3.26/3
Reading
Reading — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Ahmed n 864.3
2.36/4
0.94/1
—
J. Reid n 844.3
2.35/3
1.85/2
—
Kyreece Lisbie n 871.8
1.96/4
1.76/4
R. Walsh
Benn David Ward n 890
1.88/4
0.95/1
—
J. Marriott n 867.8
1.77/3
0.72/2
—
Reading — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Marriott n 867.8
4.58/7
2.88/6
J. Brown n 824
2.86/0
1.94/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 871.8
2.26/4
0.94/1
J. Stokes n 876
1.65/2
0.75/0
George Earthy n 854.8
1.65/2
0.84/0
Reading — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Brown n 824
1.94/0
0.51/0
J. Marriott n 867.8
1.34/3
00/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 871.8
0.52/1
0.53/0
D. Kyerewaa n 817.1
00/0
0.71/0
J. Stokes n 876
0.11/0
0.31/1
Reading — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Kyerewaa n 817.1
23/0
A. Rinomhota n 879
1.96/4
A. Ahmed n 864.3
1.95/3
H. Roberts n 878.6
1.76/3
L. Wing n 890
1.57/3
Reading — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joel Pereira n 890
2.96/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WiganReading
55%Possession45%
1.16Expected goals (xG)2.01
13Shots17
4Shots on target6
7Shots off target8
2Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box14
5Corners5
3Offsides3
10Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
7Saves3
461Passes360

Wigan player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Whitworth9000000008.7
F. Burns9000000207.7
J. Carragher90000001Y7.2
J. Chilokoa-Mullen9000100207.3
J. Weir9000311106.8
Charlie Gray90000001Y6.6
Archie Harris9000001107.4
C. Barrett8500101006.6
B. Burrows7800521207.1
S. Hogan7810111007.8
R. Walsh6700101006.4
C. Saydee2300000106.5
J. Mellish1200000007
S. Perkins1200001206.8
F. Murray500000006.9

Reading player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Stokes9000312106.5
L. Wing9000314107.2
P. O'Connor9000100106.8
Kyreece Lisbie9000321106.4
P. Lane9000200406.6
U. Godwin-Malife9000002107.1
J. Dorsett9000100006.5
Joel Pereira9000000006.7
H. Roberts82001021Y5.9
A. Rinomhota77001013Y6.4
J. Reid7700220006.2
J. Brown1300000006.3
C. Savage1300000006.4
R. Williams800001006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Wigan v Reading — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WiganWLDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ReadingLWDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Wigan 1 · 0 draws · Reading 5 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-03-28 Reading 3–0 Wigan
  • 2026-02-10 Wigan 1–2 Reading
  • 2025-03-01 Wigan 1–2 Reading
  • 2024-08-17 Reading 2–0 Wigan
  • 2024-01-20 Wigan 1–0 Reading
  • 2023-12-23 Reading 2–0 Wigan
League standing · 2026/27
Wigan#24 pos7 pts9 pl-7 GD
Reading#7 pos15 pts10 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Wigan scored0.67
Reading scored2.2
Wigan conceded1.44
Reading conceded1.2

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Wigan v Reading?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wigan v Reading was Home or Away (best price 1.28 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Wigan and Reading?
In their last 6 meetings, Wigan won 1, Reading won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wigan and Reading?
Recent form — Wigan 1W 1D 3L; Reading 2W 2D 1L.

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