Accrington ST v Cheltenham result

Full-time · Accrington ST 2–0 Cheltenham

League Two · Sat, 03 Oct 2026 15:00 BST · Wham Stadium

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 02:33 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Accrington ST · Cheltenham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Accrington ST 2–0 Cheltenham — Accrington ST won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.33 at Bet365

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Accrington ST beat Cheltenham 2–0 at Wham Stadium in League Two on Saturday 3 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Accrington ST: Charlie Warren (78’, assisted by C. O'Brien; 87’). Charlie McCann (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Charlie Warren’s goal on 78 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Accrington ST 3.60, Cheltenham 0.19, from 22 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Accrington ST: Tyler Walton (48’), Josh Woods (74’) and David Tutonda (80’); Cheltenham: Charlie McCann (42’), Charlie McCann (90+3’) and Andreas Weimann (90+5’).

What it changes

Accrington ST move up from 20th to 15th (nine league matches played). Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last three matches.

Cheltenham stay second after this result (nine league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Charlie Warren (Accrington ST) 8.7, C. O'Brien (Accrington ST) 6.0 and Devon Matthews (Accrington ST) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Accrington ST or Cheltenham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Accrington ST next travel to York on 20 October 2026.

Cheltenham next host Fleetwood Town on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Accrington ST: York v Accrington ST, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Cheltenham: Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Accrington ST 2–0 Cheltenham · League Two
Venue: Wham Stadium · Accrington, Lancashire
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Accrington ST 2 · draws 2 · Cheltenham 2 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: Accrington ST 1W 3D 1L · Cheltenham 3W 2D 0L

Accrington ST 2–0 Cheltenham (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4 / 4.38

Corners

against 5.75 / 6.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4

Shots on target

against 5.13 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3 / 2.38

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Accrington ST for / against	Line	Cheltenham for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.63 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.75 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.75 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.63 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Accrington ST

Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Walton n 8	72.1	3.3 6/6	1.7 7/4	—
C. Warren n 5	30	2.4 2/2	1.8 2/1	—
S. Whalley n 8	67.5	2.2 6/5	1.2 6/1	—
J. Catesby n 3	14	2.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
Devon Matthews n 8	84.1	1.9 8/5	1.2 7/2	—

Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Caton n 8	65.5	4 8/6	2.1 6/3
C. Stockton n 8	24.6	2.7 5/1	0.9 2/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 8	32.3	2.1 2/2	0.3 1/0
Alex Henderson n 8	34.9	1.6 2/2	0.6 2/0
Stefan Mols n 7	50.4	1.5 4/1	0.8 3/0

Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Caton n 8	65.5	0.9 3/2	0 0/0
Stefan Mols n 7	50.4	0.3 1/0	0.5 2/0
J. Woods n 8	87	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
T. Walton n 8	72.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
S. Whalley n 8	67.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0

Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Catesby n 3	14	4.3 1/1
D. Tutonda n 8	66.4	3.2 6/5
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	2.6 8/7
Aidan Borland n 8	67.6	2.3 6/3
C. O'Brien n 8	85.5	2 7/5

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 8	90	3.5 8/7

Cheltenham

Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Otchere n 8	21.5	4.2 5/2	1 1/1	—
F. Willcox n 8	24.6	3.2 4/1	0.9 2/0	—
S. McWilliams n 8	77.4	2.6 8/4	2 7/5	—
J. Evans n 8	70.1	2.4 8/6	1.4 6/3	—
J. Bickerstaff n 8	23.9	1.9 3/1	0.9 2/0	—

Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Miller n 8	41	3.3 5/3	2.2 5/2
Lucas Pasquoto n 8	32.3	2.1 2/2	0.3 1/0
R. Broom n 8	44.9	1.8 4/3	1 3/1
K. Otchere n 8	21.5	1.6 2/1	0.5 1/0
C. McCann n 8	89.9	1.4 6/3	1.1 6/3

Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Miller n 8	41	1.4 5/0	0 0/0
A. Weimann n 8	65.1	0.7 4/0	0.3 2/0
R. Broom n 8	44.9	0.5 2/0	0.5 2/0
C. McCann n 8	89.9	0.9 6/1	0 0/0
J. Evans n 8	70.1	0.5 2/1	0.3 2/0

Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. McWilliams n 8	77.4	3.6 8/6
B. Stevenson n 8	75.3	2.5 7/5
F. Willcox n 8	24.6	2.3 3/1
J. Evans n 8	70.1	2.1 6/4
C. McCann n 8	89.9	1.8 7/4

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
W. Stanway n 8	90	3.2 4/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Accrington ST		Cheltenham
44%	Possession	56%
3.60	Expected goals (xG)	0.19
22	Shots	6
6	Shots on target	1
13	Shots off target	1
3	Blocked shots	4
14	Shots inside the box	1
8	Corners	2
1	Offsides	0
15	Fouls	11
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	1
1	Saves	4
338	Passes	462
69%	Pass accuracy	75%

Accrington ST player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Joseph Anderson	90	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	7.9
L. Moulden	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.5
J. Woods	90	0	0	5	1	4	2	Y	7.2
D. Tutonda	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	Y	7
C. O'Brien	90	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	7.3
Stefan Mols	90	0	0	2	1	3	0	0	7
Devon Matthews	90	0	0	2	0	2	2	0	7.3
D. Love	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
Alex Henderson	90	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	6.2
S. Conneely	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
T. Walton	62	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.3
C. Warren sub	28	2	0	3	2	1	0	0	8.6

Cheltenham player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Tomkinson	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
P. Sweeney	90	1	0	0	0	0	7
B. Stevenson	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
C. McCann	90	0	0	0	1	RY	6
R. Cundy	90	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
W. Stanway	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
J. Evans	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
A. Weimann	89	0	0	1	0	Y	6.3
J. Shipley	84	0	0	2	1	0	7
R. Broom	84	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
J. Tomlinson	55	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
G. Nurse sub	35	0	0	0	1	0	6
J. Bickerstaff sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
G. Miller sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
K. Otchere sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Accrington ST v Cheltenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Accrington STDWLDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

CheltenhamWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Accrington ST 2 · 2 draws · Cheltenham 2 · 1.5 goals/game

2026-01-31 Accrington ST 3–1 Cheltenham
2025-09-06 Cheltenham 1–0 Accrington ST
2025-01-28 Accrington ST 0–0 Cheltenham
2024-10-01 Cheltenham 2–1 Accrington ST
2023-02-11 Cheltenham 0–0 Accrington ST
2022-09-17 Accrington ST 1–0 Cheltenham

League standing · 2026/27

Accrington ST#10 pos14 pts11 pl+1 GD

Cheltenham#8 pos15 pts11 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Accrington ST scored1.45

Cheltenham scored1.55

Accrington ST conceded1.36

Cheltenham conceded1.82

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Accrington ST vs Cheltenham?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Accrington ST v Cheltenham was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Accrington ST and Cheltenham?: In their last 6 meetings, Accrington ST won 2, Cheltenham won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Accrington ST and Cheltenham?: Recent form — Accrington ST 1W 3D 1L; Cheltenham 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 02:33 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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