York v Accrington ST result

Full-time · York 1–1 Accrington ST

League Two · Tue, 20 Oct 2026 19:45 BST · York Community Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 07:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: York · Accrington ST

The model’s pre-match pick

York 1–1 Accrington ST — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away saves under 4.5.

Free pick

Away saves under 4.5

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

Match report, in numbers

The result

York and Accrington ST drew 1–1 at York Community Stadium in League Two on Tuesday 20 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: York out-shot Accrington ST 15 to 11 and created the better chances, 1.87 xG to 1.05 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Accrington ST: Josh Woods (62’, assisted by Stefan Mols); York: Ollie Pearce (90’, assisted by Arthur Read).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ollie Pearce’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

D. Brown showed five yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — York: Jack Hunt (55’) and Arthur Read (81’); Accrington ST: Donald Love (14’), Aidan Borland (82’) and Stefan Mols (87’).

What it changes

York move down from fourth to sixth (11 league matches played). York have scored 24 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). York have conceded 21 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Accrington ST move down from 10th to 11th (12 league matches played). Accrington ST have scored 23 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Accrington ST have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

York are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Josh Woods (Accrington ST) 9.1, Ollie Pearce (York) 5.1 and Louie Moulden (Accrington ST) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Accrington ST saves under 4.5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

York next host Northampton on 7 November 2026.

Accrington ST next host Wycombe on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for York: York v Northampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Accrington ST: Accrington ST v Wycombe, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: York 1–1 Accrington ST · League Two
Venue: York Community Stadium · York
Referee: D. Brown
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: York 2W 2D 1L · Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L

York 1–1 Accrington ST (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.13 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.25 / 5.75

Corners

against 4.25 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 4 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 3.13

Cards

against 2 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.25 yellows

Referee · D. Brown

23.63 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	York for / against	Line	Accrington ST for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.88 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.25 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.88 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: D. Brown — 4.25 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.63 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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York

York Goalkeeper

York — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alfie Shane McNally	11	90990 min	272.5 /90	121.1 /90	10.1 /90

York — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	2.8 6/4

York Defensive

York — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Kitching	10	87873 min	151.5 /90	60.6 /90	30.3 /90	323.3 /90	40.4 /90	10.1 /90
R. Fallowfield	9	82739 min	151.8 /90	182.2 /90	70.9 /90	303.7 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
Z. Johnson	8	83660 min	40.5 /90	91.2 /90	81.1 /90	354.8 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
J. King	7	40277 min	61.9 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	165.2 /90	31 /90	00 /90
M. Williams	6	90540 min	71.2 /90	61 /90	61 /90	254.2 /90	111.8 /90	30.5 /90
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York — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
O. Banks n 8	88.8	1.5 7/3	1.4 6/3	—
O. Pearce n 8	84.1	0.8 6/0	1.5 6/3	J. Woods
J. Grey n 8	77.8	0.9 5/1	2 7/4	—
A. Hunt n 8	73.6	0.5 3/0	1.2 6/2	—
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York — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
O. Banks n 8	88.8	1.4 5/4
O. Pearce n 8	84.1	0.9 6/1
J. Grey n 8	77.8	1.9 6/4
A. Hunt n 8	73.6	2 7/2
A. Newby n 8	69.1	0.7 2/1
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York Attacking

York — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
O. Pearce	11	86943 min	50.5 /90	40.4 /90	242.3 /90	80.8 /90	90.9 /90	20.2 /90
J. Grey	11	81892 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	141.4 /90	50.5 /90	111.1 /90	111.1 /90
A. Newby	11	66723 min	60.7 /90	10.1 /90	202.5 /90	131.6 /90	81 /90	81 /90
J. Malcolm	8	27212 min	31.3 /90	00 /90	83.4 /90	73 /90	31.3 /90	41.7 /90
Afolabi Akinyemi	2	60120 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.3 /90	32.3 /90	10.8 /90	32.3 /90
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York — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
O. Banks n 8	88.8	1.6 6/3	0.4 3/0
O. Pearce n 8	84.1	2.3 7/7	0.9 5/2
J. Grey n 8	77.8	2 7/4	0.7 3/1
A. Hunt n 8	73.6	1.1 5/2	0.2 1/0
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York — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Banks n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
O. Pearce n 8	84.1	0.7 5/0	0.4 3/0
J. Grey n 8	77.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Hunt n 8	73.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Accrington ST

Accrington ST Goalkeeper

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Moulden	12	901080 min	302.5 /90	141.2 /90	00 /90

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 8	90	2.5 5/5

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Joseph Anderson	12	901080 min	272.3 /90	161.3 /90	50.4 /90	655.4 /90	161.3 /90	50.4 /90
Devon Matthews	11	86943 min	131.2 /90	161.5 /90	60.6 /90	949 /90	201.9 /90	50.5 /90
S. Conneely	8	72577 min	91.4 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90	467.2 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90
F. Rawson	6	90540 min	30.5 /90	61 /90	40.7 /90	366 /90	81.3 /90	20.3 /90
T. Moore	4	72289 min	20.6 /90	61.9 /90	10.3 /90	165 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
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Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	1 5/2	0.9 6/1	—
L. Moulden n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
J. Woods n 8	87.4	1.3 6/3	1.3 5/2	O. Pearce
Devon Matthews n 8	88	1.9 8/5	1 6/2	—
D. Love n 8	81.9	1.1 5/2	1.2 3/1	—
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	2.1 8/6
J. Woods n 8	87.4	1.5 6/4
Devon Matthews n 8	88	1.2 6/3
D. Love n 8	81.9	1.8 7/4
C. O'Brien n 8	85.5	2 7/5
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Woods	11	88966 min	50.5 /90	10.1 /90	262.4 /90	100.9 /90	171.6 /90	80.7 /90
T. Walton	9	73659 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	60.8 /90	20.3 /90	101.4 /90	81.1 /90
C. Caton	8	66524 min	50.9 /90	00 /90	234 /90	122.1 /90	20.3 /90	40.7 /90
S. Whalley	6	60360 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	82 /90	51.3 /90	71.8 /90	41 /90
C. Warren	6	46274 min	20.7 /90	00 /90	72.3 /90	31 /90	72.3 /90	10.3 /90
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Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
L. Moulden n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Woods n 8	87.4	2.6 6/4	1.3 5/2
Devon Matthews n 8	88	0.9 6/1	0.1 1/0
D. Love n 8	81.9	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Moulden n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Woods n 8	87.4	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
Devon Matthews n 8	88	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Love n 8	81.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
York		Accrington ST
61%	Possession	39%
1.87	Expected goals (xG)	1.05
15	Shots	11
6	Shots on target	4
5	Shots off target	5
4	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	9
7	Corners	6
1	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	15
2	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	5
531	Passes	323

York Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Alfie Shane McNally	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
Z. Johnson	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.8
M. Kitching	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
H. Boyes	90	0	0	3	1	2	0	0	7.1
J. Grey	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
O. Pearce	90	1	0	4	3	1	0	0	7.9
A. Hunt	73	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
O. Banks	73	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.7
J. Hunt	63	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	6.7
J. King	63	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.1
A. Newby	63	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	6
F. Maguire	27	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.4
J. Felix	27	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
R. Fallowfield	27	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.9
A. Read	17	0	1	1	0	1	0	Y	6.5
H. Boateng	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.4

Accrington ST Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Moulden	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.4
D. Love	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
Devon Matthews	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	7
Joseph Anderson	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
C. O'Brien	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
Aidan Borland	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.8
D. Tutonda	90	0	0	2	2	2	1	0	7.2
J. Woods	90	1	0	4	1	0	2	0	7.8
T. Walton	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.1
Stefan Mols	88	0	1	0	0	3	1	Y	7.7
C. Warren	80	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.4
C. Grant	10	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
C. Brown	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind York v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

YorkWLWDD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Accrington STDDWDW

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

York#7 pos20 pts14 pl+3 GD

Accrington ST#9 pos19 pts14 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

York scored1.71

Accrington ST scored1.64

York conceded1.5

Accrington ST conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for York v Accrington ST?: TACTIX’s free model pick for York v Accrington ST was Away saves under 4.5.
What is the recent form of York and Accrington ST?: Recent form — York 2W 2D 1L; Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 07:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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