AFC Wimbledon v Carlisle result
Team pages: AFC Wimbledon · Carlisle
AFC Wimbledon 4–0 Carlisle — AFC Wimbledon won this League Two match.
The result
AFC Wimbledon beat Carlisle 4–0 at The Cherry Red Records Stadium in League Two on Saturday 12 October.
AFC Wimbledon have conceded 35 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 49 games, ranked per game).
The goals
AFC Wimbledon led 3–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — AFC Wimbledon: M. Stevens (8’, assisted by James Tilley; 39’; 50’, assisted by James Tilley); Carlisle: an own goal by C. Harper (45+3’).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: AFC Wimbledon 0.00, Carlisle 0.00, from 13 shots to 3 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
N. Hair showed four yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AFC Wimbledon: Callum Maycock (6’) and Riley-Jay Harbottle (56’); Carlisle: B. Barclay (34’) and J. Vela (60’).
What it changes
AFC Wimbledon have scored 59 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 49 games, ranked per game).
Carlisle have scored 44 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Carlisle have conceded 71 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.
AFC Wimbledon’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 11, across 12 matches. Carlisle are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Carlisle have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Stevens (AFC Wimbledon) 13.7, James Tilley (AFC Wimbledon) 7.6 and Omar Bugiel (AFC Wimbledon) 6.6 led the match.
Next up
AFC Wimbledon next host Blackpool on 14 November 2026.
Carlisle next host Boston United on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for AFC Wimbledon: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Carlisle: Carlisle v Boston United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: AFC Wimbledon 4–0 Carlisle · League Two
- Venue: The Cherry Red Records Stadium · London
- Referee: N. Hair
- Head-to-head (last 2): AFC Wimbledon 0 · draws 1 · Carlisle 1 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: AFC Wimbledon 2W 1D 2L · Carlisle 1W 1D 3L
AFC Wimbledon 4–0 Carlisle (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | AFC Wimbledon for / against | Line | Carlisle for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.83 for · 5.5 against n 6 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.57 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9.5 for · 10.5 against n 6 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.43 for · 13 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3 for · 3.5 against n 6 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.33 for · 9 against n 6 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12 for · 13 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.33 for · 1.83 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.57 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: N. Hair — 4.38 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 23.75 fouls over 8 matches.
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AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Goodman n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| J. Lewis n 8 | 85.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | — |
| Omar Bugiel n 8 | 75.1 | 3 | 1.5 | J. Vela |
| I. Ogundere n 8 | 87.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | J. Mellish |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 82.3 | 1 | 0.3 | A. Davies |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Goodman n 8 | 90 | 0.1 |
| J. Lewis n 8 | 85.6 | 1.7 |
| Omar Bugiel n 8 | 75.1 | 1.2 |
| I. Ogundere n 8 | 87.8 | 0.8 |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 82.3 | 2.5 |
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AFC Wimbledon Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Goodman n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Lewis n 8 | 85.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Omar Bugiel n 8 | 75.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| I. Ogundere n 8 | 87.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 82.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Goodman n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Lewis n 8 | 85.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Omar Bugiel n 8 | 75.1 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Ogundere n 8 | 87.8 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 82.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Carlisle
Carlisle Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Lewis n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — |
| A. Davies n 8 | 86.9 | 0.9 | 1.7 | J. Neufville |
| C. Wyke n 8 | 78.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | — |
| J. Vela n 8 | 66 | 1.7 | 0.3 | Omar Bugiel |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 87.8 | 1 | 0.9 | I. Ogundere |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| H. Lewis n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| A. Davies n 8 | 86.9 | 1.3 |
| C. Wyke n 8 | 78.6 | 1.1 |
| J. Vela n 8 | 66 | 2 |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 87.8 | 1.4 |
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Carlisle Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| H. Lewis n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Davies n 8 | 86.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| C. Wyke n 8 | 78.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| J. Vela n 8 | 66 | 1 | 0.3 |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 87.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| H. Lewis n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Davies n 8 | 86.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| C. Wyke n 8 | 78.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| J. Vela n 8 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 87.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| AFC Wimbledon | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| 36% | Possession | 64% |
| 13 | Shots | 3 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 1 |
| 337 | Passes | 616 |
| 74% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
AFC Wimbledon Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Goodman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| R. Harbottle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| J. Ball | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| C. Maycock | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 6.6 |
| A. Smith | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.9 |
| J. Tilley | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 |
| I. Ogundere | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Hippolyte | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Neufville | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Stevens | 72 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9.7 |
| Omar Bugiel | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7.7 |
| J. Kelly sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Pigott sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Huseyin Biler sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Johnson sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| J. Furlong sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Carlisle Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Lewis | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| B. Barclay | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| S. Lavelle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Mellish | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.5 |
| H. Biggins | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| H. Neal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Harper | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Sadi | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Vela | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.5 |
| A. Davies | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Wyke | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Robinson sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| L. Armstrong sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| T. Charters sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Guy sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind AFC Wimbledon v Carlisle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-02-11 AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Carlisle
- 2022-09-17 Carlisle 2–1 AFC Wimbledon
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between AFC Wimbledon and Carlisle?
- In their last 2 meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 0, Carlisle won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of AFC Wimbledon and Carlisle?
- Recent form — AFC Wimbledon 2W 1D 2L; Carlisle 1W 1D 3L.
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