Barrow v Bromley result

Full-time · Barrow 2–1 Bromley

League Two · Sat, 28 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Barrow · Bromley · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Barrow 2–1 Bromley — Barrow won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1442 landed (95% range 66.1–70.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Barrow beat Bromley 2–1 in League Two on Saturday 28 March. It is Barrow’s first win over Bromley since 18 January 2020, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Barrow came from behind: Bromley led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bromley: Ashley Charles (35’); Barrow: Joshua Gordon (56’) and Daniel Rose (67’, assisted by N. Canavan).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Rose’s goal on 67 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Barrow 1.54, Bromley 0.75, from 15 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Madley showed six yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Barrow: R. Harper (34’), Daniel Rose (45’) and N. Canavan (90+6’); Bromley: William Hondermarck (19’), Corey Whitely (61’) and Jude Arthurs (77’).

What it changes

Barrow move up from 24th to 21st (39 league matches played). Barrow have scored 39 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game). Barrow have conceded 69 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.

Bromley stay first after this result (40 league matches played). Bromley have scored 66 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game). Bromley have conceded 41 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Bromley have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joshua Gordon (Barrow) 7.6, Ashley Charles (Bromley) 6.6 and Daniel Rose (Barrow) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bromley are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Barrow.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Bromley, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1442).

Next up

Barrow next travel to Gateshead on 14 November 2026.

Bromley next host Notts County on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Barrow: Gateshead v Barrow, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Bromley: Bromley v Notts County, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Barrow 2–1 Bromley · League Two
Referee: R. Madley
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Barrow 2 · draws 3 · Bromley 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Barrow 0W 2D 3L · Bromley 3W 2D 0L

Barrow 2–1 Bromley (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 0.88

Goals

against 2.13 / 0.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 5.25

Corners

against 4.5 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.13 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Barrow for / against	Line	Bromley for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.75 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.5 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.63 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: R. Madley.

Barrow

Barrow Defensive

Barrow — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Stanway n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
B. Jackson n 8	87.4	1.2 5/2	1 6/2	I. Odutayo
E. Newby n 8	60.3	0.6 3/0	1.1 3/2	—
T. Barkhuizen n 8	68.6	0 0/0	1 4/2	—
C. Raglan n 8	88.6	0.9 6/1	0.4 3/0	—
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Barrow — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
W. Stanway n 8	90	0.1 1/0
B. Jackson n 8	87.4	1.8 7/4
E. Newby n 8	60.3	2.2 7/2
T. Barkhuizen n 8	68.6	1.3 3/2
C. Raglan n 8	88.6	1.4 6/4
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Barrow Attacking

Barrow — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Stanway n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Jackson n 8	87.4	0.6 3/2	0.1 1/0
E. Newby n 8	60.3	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0
T. Barkhuizen n 8	68.6	0.7 4/0	0.3 2/0
C. Raglan n 8	88.6	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Barrow — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Stanway n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Jackson n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Newby n 8	60.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Barkhuizen n 8	68.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Raglan n 8	88.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Bromley

Bromley Defensive

Bromley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bromley before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Pinnock n 8	90	1 4/3	0.4 3/0	—
I. Odutayo n 8	81.3	0.6 4/0	1.1 6/2	B. Jackson
A. Charles n 8	69.9	1.1 4/3	1.6 6/3	—
G. Smith n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
M. Cheek n 8	80.6	1.5 7/3	0.4 2/1	—
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Bromley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bromley before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Pinnock n 8	90	1.9 7/5
I. Odutayo n 8	81.3	1.9 5/4
A. Charles n 8	69.9	1.4 5/3
G. Smith n 8	90	0 0/0
M. Cheek n 8	80.6	0 0/0
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Bromley Attacking

Bromley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bromley before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Pinnock n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0
I. Odutayo n 8	81.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Charles n 8	69.9	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
G. Smith n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Cheek n 8	80.6	1.5 6/4	1 5/2
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Bromley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bromley before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Pinnock n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
I. Odutayo n 8	81.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Charles n 8	69.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Smith n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Cheek n 8	80.6	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Barrow		Bromley
46%	Possession	54%
1.54	Expected goals (xG)	0.75
15	Shots	8
4	Shots on target	3
6	Shots off target	2
5	Blocked shots	3
12	Shots inside the box	6
6	Corners	4
1	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	15
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
240	Passes	292
59%	Pass accuracy	63%

Barrow Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
W. Stanway	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
B. Jackson	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7
A. MacDonald	90	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.2
N. Canavan	90	0	1	1	0	1	0	Y	6
Lewis Shipley	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.2
M. Williams	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
R. Harper	90	0	0	1	1	1	2	Y	7.2
J. Gordon	90	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	7.9
J. Earing	88	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	7
C. Mahoney	87	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	7.3
D. Rose	82	1	0	1	1	1	1	Y	8.2
S. Smith sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Malcolm sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Isaac Fletcher sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Bromley Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Smith	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
O. Sowunmi	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
Z. Medley	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
C. Whitely	90	0	1	0	0	1	Y	6
A. Charles	90	1	1	1	0	2	0	7.2
M. Pinnock	90	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
N. Kabamba	90	0	1	1	0	0	0	7
I. Odutayo	87	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
Marcus Lemar Ifill	73	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
W. Hondermarck	63	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.3
M. Dinanga	62	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
G. Evans sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Arthurs sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
D. Ajayi sub	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
B. Ilunga sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Barrow v Bromley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BarrowDLDLL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

BromleyDDWWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 0.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Barrow 2 · 3 draws · Bromley 1 · 3 goals/game

2025-11-15 Bromley 2–1 Barrow
2025-04-26 Barrow 3–3 Bromley
2024-10-26 Bromley 1–1 Barrow
2020-01-18 Barrow 2–0 Bromley
2019-10-05 Bromley 1–2 Barrow
2019-02-09 Barrow 1–1 Bromley

League standing · 2025/26

Barrow#24 pos36 pts46 pl-33 GD

Bromley#1 pos87 pts46 pl+25 GD

Goals per game

Barrow scored0.98

Bromley scored1.54

Barrow conceded1.7

Bromley conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Barrow v Bromley?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Barrow v Bromley was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Barrow and Bromley?: In their last 6 meetings, Barrow won 2, Bromley won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Barrow and Bromley?: Recent form — Barrow 0W 2D 3L; Bromley 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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