Bristol Rovers v Accrington ST prediction

League Two · Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Memorial Stadium

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 02:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bristol Rovers · Accrington ST · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Bristol Rovers v Accrington ST, League Two on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bristol Rovers host Accrington ST in League Two on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Seven of Bristol Rovers’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Bristol Rovers’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Bristol Rovers have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.00. Bristol Rovers have scored 17 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Bristol Rovers have conceded 23 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs.

Seven of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Accrington ST have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29. Accrington ST have scored 23 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Accrington ST have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Bristol Rovers (17th) and Accrington ST (ninth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Accrington ST the stronger side, 237 rating points above Bristol Rovers (Accrington ST 1558, Bristol Rovers 1321, after at least 106 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Bristol Rovers 2–0 Accrington ST.

Team news

Predicted Bristol Rovers XI (3-4-1-2): B. Young, C. Kelly, A. Kilgour, K. Balmer, C. Mola, J. Sparkes, S. Forde, R. Smallwood, T. James, F. Cavegn, J. Quigley — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Clinton Mola (3.8 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Riley-Jay Harbottle (3.4 per match over seven appearances) have been Bristol Rovers’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bristol Rovers (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Clinton Mola averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 1293 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Riley-Jay Harbottle averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 566 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Accrington ST XI (3-4-1-2): L. Moulden, J. Anderson, D. Matthews, F. Rawson, D. Tutonda, S. Mols, A. Borland, C. O'Brien, A. Henderson, C. Warren, T. Walton — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Woods (5.2 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Stefan Mols (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and five assists) have been Accrington ST’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Accrington ST (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Woods averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1076 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Stefan Mols averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 802 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · League Two · Memorial Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): Bristol Rovers 2 · draws 0 · Accrington ST 4 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Bristol Rovers 1W 1D 3L · Accrington ST 2W 2D 1L

Bristol Rovers v Accrington ST (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.5 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 6.5

Corners

against 3.88 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Bristol Rovers for / against	Line	Accrington ST for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.38 for · 7.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.38 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.13 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers Goalkeeper

Bristol Rovers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Brad Young	15	901350 min	291.9 /90	181.2 /90	00 /90

Bristol Rovers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Brad Young n 8	90	2.6 6/5

Bristol Rovers Defensive

Bristol Rovers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Balmer	14	871213 min	171.3 /90	141 /90	20.1 /90	735.4 /90	100.7 /90	50.4 /90
T. James	13	901165 min	151.2 /90	100.8 /90	70.5 /90	524 /90	10.1 /90	30.2 /90
B. Purrington	10	86855 min	222.3 /90	151.6 /90	00 /90	616.4 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90
C. Kelly	10	81814 min	121.3 /90	141.5 /90	30.3 /90	556.1 /90	141.5 /90	20.2 /90
R. Harbottle	7	81566 min	172.7 /90	81.3 /90	61 /90	548.6 /90	101.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Bristol Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Brad Young n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
C. Mola n 8	87.3	2.4 7/4	0.8 5/1	—
S. Forde n 8	72.1	2.8 8/4	1.2 4/3	—
K. Balmer n 8	90	1 6/2	1.6 6/5	—
F. Cavegn n 8	66.6	1.2 4/2	0.8 4/1	—
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Bristol Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Mola n 8	87.3	3.2 7/5
S. Forde n 8	72.1	0.9 4/1
K. Balmer n 8	90	0.9 4/2
F. Cavegn n 8	66.6	0.3 1/1
T. James n 8	90	1.3 5/2
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Bristol Rovers Attacking

Bristol Rovers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Cavegn	14	69972 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	222 /90	121.1 /90	90.8 /90	131.2 /90
E. Harrison	8	65516 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	122.1 /90	61 /90	50.9 /90	40.7 /90
J. Quigley	7	52366 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.7 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
A. Appiah	2	4793 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	00 /90
C. Mola	15	861293 min	10.1 /90	20.1 /90	100.7 /90	30.2 /90	100.7 /90	50.3 /90
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Bristol Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Brad Young n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Mola n 8	87.3	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
S. Forde n 8	72.1	2 5/4	0.9 5/1
K. Balmer n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0 0/0
F. Cavegn n 8	66.6	1.9 4/3	0.8 3/1
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Bristol Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Brad Young n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Mola n 8	87.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
S. Forde n 8	72.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Balmer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Cavegn n 8	66.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Accrington ST

Accrington ST Goalkeeper

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Moulden	15	901350 min	372.5 /90	140.9 /90	00 /90

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 8	90	1.9 3/3

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Joseph Anderson	15	901350 min	322.1 /90	231.5 /90	60.4 /90	775.1 /90	191.3 /90	50.3 /90
Devon Matthews	14	871213 min	191.4 /90	211.6 /90	60.4 /90	1219 /90	221.6 /90	50.4 /90
S. Conneely	8	72577 min	91.4 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90	467.2 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90
F. Rawson	7	87607 min	30.4 /90	81.2 /90	40.6 /90	426.2 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90
T. Moore	5	62312 min	20.6 /90	82.3 /90	10.3 /90	164.6 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
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Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.9 6/1	—
L. Moulden n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
Devon Matthews n 8	88	1.5 7/3	1.3 6/3	—
D. Love n 8	90	1.3 7/3	1.4 5/1	—
J. Woods n 8	78.6	1.1 5/2	1.6 4/3	—
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	1.8 8/4
Devon Matthews n 8	88	1.4 7/2
D. Love n 8	90	1.3 6/3
J. Woods n 8	78.6	1.7 6/4
D. Tutonda n 8	88.9	2.5 7/4
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Woods	13	831076 min	70.6 /90	10.1 /90	312.6 /90	121 /90	181.5 /90	110.9 /90
T. Walton	12	77929 min	30.3 /90	30.3 /90	131.3 /90	60.6 /90	141.4 /90	111.1 /90
C. Warren	9	58518 min	40.7 /90	10.2 /90	162.8 /90	61 /90	91.6 /90	20.3 /90
C. Caton	8	66524 min	50.9 /90	00 /90	234 /90	122.1 /90	20.3 /90	40.7 /90
S. Whalley	6	60360 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	82 /90	51.3 /90	71.8 /90	41 /90
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Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.3 2/0
L. Moulden n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Devon Matthews n 8	88	1 7/1	0 0/0
D. Love n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
J. Woods n 8	78.6	2.7 6/4	1.3 5/1
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Moulden n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Devon Matthews n 8	88	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Love n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Woods n 8	78.6	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bristol Rovers v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Bristol RoversLLDLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Accrington STWDWDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bristol Rovers 2 · 0 draws · Accrington ST 4 · 3.5 goals/game

2026-03-28 Bristol Rovers 2–0 Accrington ST
2025-11-15 Accrington ST 3–1 Bristol Rovers
2023-01-14 Accrington ST 2–0 Bristol Rovers
2022-09-24 Bristol Rovers 0–1 Accrington ST
2021-03-09 Bristol Rovers 4–1 Accrington ST
2021-02-02 Accrington ST 6–1 Bristol Rovers

League standing · 2026/27

Bristol Rovers#17 pos16 pts14 pl-6 GD

Accrington ST#9 pos19 pts14 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Bristol Rovers scored1.21

Accrington ST scored1.64

Bristol Rovers conceded1.64

Accrington ST conceded1.21

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Bristol Rovers and Accrington ST?: In their last 6 meetings, Bristol Rovers won 2, Accrington ST won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bristol Rovers and Accrington ST?: Recent form — Bristol Rovers 1W 1D 3L; Accrington ST 2W 2D 1L.

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