Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town result
Team pages: Bristol Rovers · Crawley Town · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Bristol Rovers 3–1 Crawley Town — Bristol Rovers won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
Bristol Rovers beat Crawley Town 3–1 in League Two on Saturday 11 April. It is Bristol Rovers’s first win over Crawley Town since 8 March 2022, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
Bristol Rovers led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Bristol Rovers: Ellis Harrison (26’, assisted by Kofi Balmer), Mees Rijks (30’, assisted by Joel Senior) and Yusuf Akhamrich (90’, assisted by Richard Smallwood); Crawley Town: Louie Watson (80’, assisted by Louie George Copley). T. Lockyer (88’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ellis Harrison’s goal on 26 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Crawley Town out-shot Bristol Rovers 23 to 11 and created the better chances, 2.25 xG to 1.88 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
S. Oldham showed three yellow cards and one red — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bristol Rovers: Riley-Jay Harbottle (40’) and Tommy Leigh (90+8’); Crawley Town: K. Lolos (90+8’).
What it changes
Bristol Rovers stay 15th after this result (43 league matches played). Bristol Rovers have scored 56 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Bristol Rovers have conceded 65 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.
Crawley Town stay 20th after this result (43 league matches played). Crawley Town have scored 44 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Crawley Town have conceded 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Bristol Rovers have won their last six matches in all competitions. Bristol Rovers have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Louie George Copley (Crawley Town) 8.1, Ellis Harrison (Bristol Rovers) 6.4 and Kofi Balmer (Bristol Rovers) 5.9 led the match.
Head-to-head
Crawley Town are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Bristol Rovers.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Bristol Rovers next host Chesterfield on 14 November 2026.
Crawley Town next travel to Wimborne Town on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Bristol Rovers: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Crawley Town: Wimborne Town v Crawley Town, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Bristol Rovers 3–1 Crawley Town · League Two
- Referee: S. Oldham
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Bristol Rovers 2 · draws 1 · Crawley Town 3 · 1.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Bristol Rovers 5W 0D 0L · Crawley Town 2W 1D 2L
Bristol Rovers 3–1 Crawley Town (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bristol Rovers for / against | Line | Crawley Town for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.13 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.25 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.25 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.25 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Oldham — 3.91 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 21.18 fouls over 11 matches.
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Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cavegn n 8 | 49.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | — |
| J. Sparkes n 8 | 84.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | H. Forster |
| A. Kilgour n 8 | 76.5 | 0.9 | 1 | C. Barker |
| E. Harrison n 8 | 55.9 | 2.6 | 2.8 | — |
| C. Mola n 8 | 84.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Cavegn n 8 | 49.3 | 0.9 |
| J. Sparkes n 8 | 84.4 | 0.7 |
| A. Kilgour n 8 | 76.5 | 0.7 |
| E. Harrison n 8 | 55.9 | 0.4 |
| C. Mola n 8 | 84.4 | 2.1 |
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Bristol Rovers Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cavegn n 8 | 49.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| J. Sparkes n 8 | 84.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| A. Kilgour n 8 | 76.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| E. Harrison n 8 | 55.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| C. Mola n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cavegn n 8 | 49.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| J. Sparkes n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| A. Kilgour n 8 | 76.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| E. Harrison n 8 | 55.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| C. Mola n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
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Crawley Town
Crawley Town Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Barker n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 2.1 | A. Kilgour |
| J. Flint n 8 | 88.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | — |
| J. Williams n 8 | 84.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | — |
| H. McKirdy n 8 | 50.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| H. Forster n 8 | 48.8 | 1.4 | 2.3 | J. Sparkes |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Barker n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
| J. Flint n 8 | 88.8 | 1.5 |
| J. Williams n 8 | 84.6 | 2.1 |
| H. McKirdy n 8 | 50.4 | 0.7 |
| H. Forster n 8 | 48.8 | 0.9 |
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Crawley Town Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Barker n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0 |
| J. Flint n 8 | 88.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| J. Williams n 8 | 84.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| H. McKirdy n 8 | 50.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| H. Forster n 8 | 48.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Barker n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Flint n 8 | 88.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Williams n 8 | 84.6 | 0 | 0 |
| H. McKirdy n 8 | 50.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| H. Forster n 8 | 48.8 | 0 | 0.5 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Bristol Rovers | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | Possession | 57% |
| 1.88 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.25 |
| 11 | Shots | 23 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 9 |
| 0 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Offsides | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 275 | Passes | 367 |
| 68% | Pass accuracy | 75% |
Bristol Rovers Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Young | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| K. Balmer | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| A. Kilgour | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Senior | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Smallwood | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Leigh | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Y | 7.9 |
| J. Sparkes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Forde | 86 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Rijks | 86 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| E. Harrison | 77 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| R. Harbottle | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| T. Lockyer sub | 43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | R | 6 |
| J. Quigley sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| F. Cavegn sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Y. Akhamrich sub | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
Crawley Town Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Chapman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Barker | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Malone | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Williams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Louie George Copley | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| H. Forster | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| H. McKirdy | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| L. Richards | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Tobi Adeyemo | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Adeyemo | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Gordon | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Pereira sub | 57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| K. Lolos sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| L. Watson sub | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Johnny Russell sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-25 Crawley Town 4–0 Bristol Rovers
- 2025-03-22 Crawley Town 1–0 Bristol Rovers
- 2024-11-16 Bristol Rovers 0–0 Crawley Town
- 2022-08-09 Crawley Town 1–0 Bristol Rovers
- 2022-03-08 Crawley Town 1–2 Bristol Rovers
- 2021-09-04 Bristol Rovers 1–0 Crawley Town
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town was Under 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Bristol Rovers and Crawley Town?
- In their last 6 meetings, Bristol Rovers won 2, Crawley Town won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Bristol Rovers and Crawley Town?
- Recent form — Bristol Rovers 5W 0D 0L; Crawley Town 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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