Bristol Rovers v Salford City result

Full-time · Bristol Rovers 1–2 Salford City

League Two · Tue, 20 Oct 2026 19:45 BST · Memorial Stadium

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bristol Rovers · Salford City

The model’s pre-match pick

Bristol Rovers 1–2 Salford City — Salford City won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.36 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Salford City won 2–1 at Memorial Stadium in League Two on Tuesday 20 October. Salford City have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Salford City led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Salford City: Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu (6’, assisted by Kallum Cesay) and Dominic Udoh (20’, assisted by Luke Molyneux); Bristol Rovers: Jack Sparkes (57’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu’s goal on 6 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Bristol Rovers out-shot Salford City 14 to 12 and created the better chances, 1.69 xG to 0.70 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

D. Whitestone showed seven yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Bristol Rovers: Kofi Balmer (37’), Ciarán Kelly (38’), Shaqai Forde (41’) and Keenan Gough (90+3’); Salford City: Elliott Bonds (29’), Ryan Graydon (45+1’) and Luke Garbutt (48’).

What it changes

Bristol Rovers move down from ninth to 10th (12 league matches played). Bristol Rovers have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Bristol Rovers have conceded 20 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Salford City stay first after this result (12 league matches played). Salford City have scored 19 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Salford City have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Bristol Rovers have lost their last four matches in all competitions. Salford City are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Keenan Gough (Bristol Rovers) 10.0, Dominic Udoh (Salford City) 6.3 and William Norris (Salford City) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bristol Rovers or Salford City (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Bristol Rovers next host Chesterfield on 14 November 2026.

Salford City next host Northampton on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bristol Rovers: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Salford City: Salford City v Northampton, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Bristol Rovers 1–2 Salford City · League Two
Venue: Memorial Stadium · Bristol, Gloucestershire
Referee: D. Whitestone
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Bristol Rovers 2 · draws 1 · Salford City 1 · 1.75 goals/game
Recent form: Bristol Rovers 1W 0D 4L · Salford City 5W 0D 0L

Bristol Rovers 1–2 Salford City (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2

Goals

against 1.5 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.5 / 7

Corners

against 3.75 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 2.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Bristol Rovers for / against	Line	Salford City for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.38 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.13 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.13 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.25 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: D. Whitestone.

Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers Goalkeeper

Bristol Rovers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Brad Young	12	901080 min	181.5 /90	151.3 /90	00 /90

Bristol Rovers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Brad Young n 8	90	1.8 4/2

Bristol Rovers Defensive

Bristol Rovers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Balmer	12	861033 min	161.4 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90	615.3 /90	80.7 /90	30.3 /90
T. James	10	90895 min	131.3 /90	90.9 /90	70.7 /90	414.1 /90	10.1 /90	30.3 /90
B. Purrington	10	86855 min	222.3 /90	151.6 /90	00 /90	616.4 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90
R. Harbottle	7	81566 min	172.7 /90	81.3 /90	61 /90	548.6 /90	101.6 /90	10.2 /90
C. Kelly	7	78544 min	91.5 /90	91.5 /90	20.3 /90	396.5 /90	101.7 /90	10.2 /90
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Bristol Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Brad Young n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
K. Balmer n 8	84.1	0.8 5/1	1.7 6/5	B. Sarpong-Wiredu
C. Mola n 8	87.3	2.3 7/4	0.4 3/0	L. Molyneux
S. Forde n 8	72.8	2.5 8/4	1.1 4/2	—
F. Cavegn n 8	69.3	1 4/1	0.6 3/1	—
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Bristol Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Balmer n 8	84.1	1.2 5/3
C. Mola n 8	87.3	3.9 8/6
S. Forde n 8	72.8	1.1 4/2
F. Cavegn n 8	69.3	0 0/0
R. Smallwood n 8	78.9	3.6 8/6
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Bristol Rovers Attacking

Bristol Rovers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Cavegn	11	71779 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	192.2 /90	91 /90	70.8 /90	101.2 /90
E. Harrison	7	62435 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	81.7 /90	61.2 /90	40.8 /90	40.8 /90
J. Quigley	5	46231 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.9 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
A. Appiah	1	3232 min	00 /90	00 /90	25.6 /90	00 /90	25.6 /90	00 /90
C. Mola	12	851023 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	80.7 /90	20.2 /90	60.5 /90	50.4 /90
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Bristol Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Brad Young n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Balmer n 8	84.1	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
C. Mola n 8	87.3	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
S. Forde n 8	72.8	1.4 5/2	0.5 3/0
F. Cavegn n 8	69.3	1.8 5/3	0.5 3/0
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Bristol Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Brad Young n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Balmer n 8	84.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Mola n 8	87.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
S. Forde n 8	72.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Cavegn n 8	69.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Salford City

Salford City Goalkeeper

Salford City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
W. Norris	11	90990 min	262.4 /90	100.9 /90	00 /90

Salford City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Salford City before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
W. Norris n 8	90	2.4 4/3

Salford City Defensive

Salford City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Aimson	10	90900 min	161.6 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90	838.3 /90	60.6 /90	10.1 /90
L. Molyneux	10	85847 min	101.1 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90	384 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90
T. Allen	9	83749 min	161.9 /90	81 /90	00 /90	404.8 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
A. Oluwo	8	82658 min	71 /90	81.1 /90	60.8 /90	567.7 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
A. Odoh	8	62492 min	101.8 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90	336 /90	61.1 /90	40.7 /90
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Salford City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Salford City before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Norris n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
M. Langstaff n 8	87.5	0.5 4/0	0 0/0	—
W. Aimson n 8	90	0.5 3/1	1.9 7/5	—
L. Molyneux n 8	84.5	0.7 4/1	0.7 3/1	C. Mola
B. Sarpong-Wiredu n 8	67.5	2 6/3	2.3 7/3	K. Balmer
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Salford City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Salford City before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Langstaff n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0
W. Aimson n 8	90	1.6 6/3
L. Molyneux n 8	84.5	1.2 4/3
B. Sarpong-Wiredu n 8	67.5	2 8/3
T. Allen n 8	90	2 5/5
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Salford City Attacking

Salford City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Langstaff	11	88970 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	222 /90	90.8 /90	20.2 /90	50.5 /90
R. Graydon	6	57344 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	41 /90	30.8 /90
D. Udoh	5	40201 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.8 /90	00 /90	62.7 /90	20.9 /90
B. Woodburn	4	45179 min	00 /90	00 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90
B. Sarpong-Wiredu	10	65647 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90	71 /90	50.7 /90
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Salford City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Salford City before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Norris n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Langstaff n 8	87.5	2.3 7/6	1 5/1
W. Aimson n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
L. Molyneux n 8	84.5	1.3 6/2	0.3 2/0
B. Sarpong-Wiredu n 8	67.5	0.8 2/2	0.2 1/0
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Salford City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Salford City before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Norris n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Langstaff n 8	87.5	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
W. Aimson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Molyneux n 8	84.5	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
B. Sarpong-Wiredu n 8	67.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bristol Rovers		Salford City
49%	Possession	51%
1.69	Expected goals (xG)	0.70
14	Shots	12
6	Shots on target	5
6	Shots off target	4
2	Blocked shots	3
8	Shots inside the box	8
7	Corners	3
2	Offsides	1
15	Fouls	14
4	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	5
343	Passes	384

Bristol Rovers Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Mola	90	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.2
K. Balmer	90	0	1	0	0	0	Y	5.6
Keenan Gough	90	0	0	0	4	9	Y	6.5
T. James	90	0	2	2	0	1	0	6.3
C. Kelly	90	0	1	0	0	1	Y	5.6
A. Kilgour	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.1
Brad Young	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.8
S. Forde	81	0	3	2	0	0	Y	6
E. Harrison	81	0	4	0	1	0	0	5.8
J. Sparkes	81	1	1	1	1	0	0	6.7
F. Cavegn	69	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.4
R. Russell-Denny	21	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.1
A. Appiah	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
B. Kamwa	9	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.9
J. Quigley	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Salford City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Allen	90	0	0	2	1	2	2	0	6.3
K. Cesay	90	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	6.4
A. Oluwo	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
D. Scarr	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
W. Norris	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.8
B. Sarpong-Wiredu	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7
L. Molyneux	83	0	1	2	1	2	0	0	6.6
D. Udoh	67	1	0	2	1	2	2	0	7.8
E. Bonds	67	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.3
L. Garbutt	66	0	0	1	0	0	2	Y	6.2
R. Graydon	66	0	0	1	0	1	0	Y	6.7
W. Aimson	24	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.4
J. Grant	24	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
M. Butcher	23	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.1
M. Langstaff	23	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.8
N. Asiimwe	7	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bristol Rovers v Salford City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Bristol RoversLWLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

Salford CityWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Bristol Rovers 2 · 1 draw · Salford City 1 · 1.75 goals/game

2026-01-24 Salford City 1–0 Bristol Rovers
2025-09-27 Bristol Rovers 2–1 Salford City
2022-04-15 Bristol Rovers 1–0 Salford City
2021-11-23 Salford City 1–1 Bristol Rovers

League standing · 2026/27

Bristol Rovers#17 pos16 pts14 pl-6 GD

Salford City#1 pos31 pts14 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Bristol Rovers scored1.21

Salford City scored1.79

Bristol Rovers conceded1.64

Salford City conceded1.07

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bristol Rovers v Salford City?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bristol Rovers v Salford City was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Bristol Rovers and Salford City?: In their last 4 meetings, Bristol Rovers won 2, Salford City won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bristol Rovers and Salford City?: Recent form — Bristol Rovers 1W 0D 4L; Salford City 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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