Cheltenham v Bromley result

Full-time · Cheltenham 1–2 Bromley

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cheltenham 1–2 Bromley — Bromley won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.7% of 1351 landed (95% range 65.1–70.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bromley won 2–1 at Cheltenham in League Two on Tuesday 19 August. Bromley are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bromley led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bromley: Omar Sowunmi (14’, assisted by Mitchell Pinnock) and Michael Cheek (71’ pen); Cheltenham: J. Martin (73’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Omar Sowunmi’s goal on 14 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cheltenham 0.00, Bromley 0.00, from 13 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Cheltenham: L. Angol (90+3’); Bromley: Marcus Lemar Ifill (56’), William Hondermarck (90+2’) and G. Smith (90+4’).

What it changes

Cheltenham stay 24th after this result (four league matches played).

Bromley move up from sixth to fourth (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Omar Sowunmi (Bromley) 8.1, Michael Cheek (Bromley) 7.4 and Jordan Thomas (Cheltenham) 7.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Bromley, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.7% of the time in the last 90 days (914 of 1351).

Next up

Cheltenham next host Newport County on 24 October 2026.

Bromley next host Peterborough on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cheltenham: Cheltenham v Newport County, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Bromley: Bromley v Peterborough, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Cheltenham 1–2 Bromley · League Two
  • Referee: R. Massey-Ellis
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Cheltenham 0 · draws 1 · Bromley 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cheltenham 1W 0D 4L · Bromley 2W 3D 0L

Cheltenham 1–2 Bromley (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.75
Corners
against 5.63 / 6.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCheltenham for / againstLineBromley for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 14.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.88 for · 13.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: R. Massey-Ellis.

Cheltenham
Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Mažionis n 449
2.84/2
2.32/1
—
T. Dieng n 871
2.76/6
0.21/0
—
Tommy Backwell n 860.1
2.16/2
0.63/0
—
L. Young n 879.3
27/5
16/1
W. Hondermarck
G. Miller n 855.4
25/2
1.63/3
—
Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Taylor n 833
3.47/3
13/0
E. Archer n 886.4
1.76/4
0.72/1
L. Dulson n 838.8
1.75/1
1.24/0
J. Thomas n 882.1
1.67/4
0.32/0
Ashley Hay n 852.3
1.53/1
1.12/1
Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Taylor n 833
00/0
0.72/0
J. Bickerstaff n 840
0.31/0
0.31/0
L. Dulson n 838.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Mažionis n 449
00/0
0.51/0
Ashley Hay n 852.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Power n 855
3.17/5
E. Archer n 886.4
37/6
G. Harmon n 856
2.67/4
L. Kinsella n 882.5
2.57/4
T. Dieng n 871
2.55/4
Bromley
Bromley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ben Krauhaus n 342
2.92/1
00/0
—
N. Paul-Lavely n 440.5
2.83/2
2.23/1
—
W. Hondermarck n 840
2.34/2
1.74/2
L. Young
Marcus Lemar Ifill n 845.6
2.27/2
2.23/3
—
M. Dinanga n 847.5
1.96/2
1.24/1
—
Bromley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Kabamba n 839.5
2.34/3
24/2
M. Dinanga n 847.5
1.95/3
0.94/0
M. Cheek n 882.8
1.55/4
0.84/2
O. Sowunmi n 890
17/1
0.32/0
C. Whitely n 865
13/2
0.53/0
Bromley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Kabamba n 839.5
1.14/0
00/0
M. Cheek n 882.8
0.74/1
0.11/0
C. Congreve n 848.9
0.21/0
0.52/0
Ben Krauhaus n 342
00/0
0.71/0
N. Paul-Lavely n 440.5
00/0
0.61/0
Bromley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Paul-Lavely n 440.5
6.14/3
Ben Krauhaus n 342
2.93/1
A. Mayor n 862.8
2.76/4
C. Congreve n 848.9
2.56/4
C. Whitely n 865
2.47/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CheltenhamBromley
54%Possession46%
13Shots18
6Shots on target4
5Shots off target6
2Blocked shots8
9Shots inside the box14
12Corners7
2Offsides0
12Fouls21
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves4
275Passes246
67%Pass accuracy50%

Cheltenham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Day9000000006.9
J. Wilson9000110106.6
J. Mažionis9000220206.7
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd9000100406.9
L. Young9000103006.9
J. Thomas9000311007.5
E. Archer9000102507.2
G. Miller9000000106.6
D. Power7200000206.3
L. Kinsella6400000207
J. Bickerstaff6400111106.3
R. Broom sub2700000006.3
J. Martin sub2710111007.9
L. Angol sub19000000Y6.3

Bromley player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Smith90000000Y6.9
D. Elerewe9000000207.2
O. Sowunmi9010211009.5
I. Odutayo9000000106.5
W. Hondermarck90000013Y6.3
M. Pinnock9001002106.6
M. Cheek9010531006.7
Marcus Lemar Ifill81002032Y6.7
A. Charles5900002406.9
Ben Krauhaus5900000106.5
N. Kabamba5900001006
B. Thompson sub3200100106.5
J. Arthurs sub3200001006.3
M. Dinanga sub3200001006
B. Webster sub1000000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Cheltenham v Bromley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CheltenhamLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
BromleyWDWDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Cheltenham 0 · 1 draw · Bromley 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-05-03 Bromley 3–0 Cheltenham
  • 2024-11-09 Cheltenham 1–1 Bromley
League standing · 2025/26
Cheltenham#18 pos52 pts46 pl-26 GD
Bromley#1 pos87 pts46 pl+25 GD
Goals per game
Cheltenham scored1.15
Bromley scored1.54
Cheltenham conceded1.72
Bromley conceded1

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Cheltenham v Bromley?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Bromley was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Bromley?
In their last 2 meetings, Cheltenham won 0, Bromley won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Bromley?
Recent form — Cheltenham 1W 0D 4L; Bromley 2W 3D 0L.

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