Chesterfield v Grimsby prediction

League Two · · SMH Group Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Chesterfield v Grimsby, League Two on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 12:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chesterfield host Grimsby in League Two on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 12:30 UK).

Form and the table

Six of Chesterfield’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Chesterfield’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Chesterfield have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.29. Chesterfield have scored 18 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Chesterfield have conceded 16 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Grimsby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Grimsby’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Grimsby have no wins, five draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.57. Grimsby have scored 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Grimsby have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Chesterfield are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Grimsby are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Chesterfield (ninth) and Grimsby (17th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chesterfield the stronger side, 112 rating points above Grimsby (Chesterfield 1487, Grimsby 1375, after at least 154 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Chesterfield are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Grimsby. The most recent meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished Chesterfield 2–1 Grimsby.

Team news

Predicted Chesterfield XI (4-2-3-1): R. Boot, J. Simpson, R. Hutton, L. Gordon, K. McFadzean, D. Markanday, R. Stirk, G. McEachran, L. Marsh, J. Randall, L. Bonis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dilan Markanday (5.3 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Louie Marsh (4.8 per match over nine appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Chesterfield’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chesterfield (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dilan Markanday averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1116 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Louie Marsh averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 702 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Grimsby XI (4-1-4-1): C. Pym, H. Rodgers, M. Kacurri, C. McJannet, J. Sweeney, K. Green, C. Vernam, G. Turi, J. Walker, J. Amaluzor, A. Cook — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Géza Turi (5.5 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Kieran Green (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Grimsby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Grimsby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Géza Turi averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1310 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Kieran Green averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1135 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · SMH Group Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chesterfield 4 · draws 1 · Grimsby 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chesterfield 1W 2D 2L · Grimsby 0W 1D 4L

Chesterfield v Grimsby (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.75 / 6.5
Corners
against 2.38 / 6.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.75 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.75 / 3 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChesterfield for / againstLineGrimsby for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
7.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
19 for · 9.13 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 13.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 3 against n 8
Chesterfield
Chesterfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Eccleston n 528.6
2.53/1
2.52/1
—
F. Bryden n 821.8
2.14/0
12/0
—
K. Dyer n 811.9
1.92/0
3.84/0
—
G. McEachran n 880.4
1.77/4
1.85/5
—
L. Bonis n 878.9
1.46/4
1.97/4
—
Chesterfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Randall n 837.9
4.86/3
1.55/0
L. Marsh n 878.6
3.98/8
1.77/3
J. Koroma n 853.9
3.88/5
1.95/3
L. Bonis n 878.9
2.97/6
1.36/2
L. Mandeville n 819.1
2.94/1
00/0
Chesterfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Koroma n 853.9
0.62/1
0.21/0
T. Pearce n 828.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
L. Marsh n 878.6
0.74/1
0.11/0
L. Bonis n 878.9
0.43/0
0.32/0
D. Markanday n 886
0.54/0
0.11/0
Chesterfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. McEachran n 880.4
4.88/8
K. Dyer n 811.9
1.91/1
D. Markanday n 886
1.86/5
D. Duffy n 825.4
1.83/1
R. Stirk n 885
1.67/4
Chesterfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Boot n 890
1.94/3
Grimsby
Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Justin Amaluzor n 866.8
2.28/4
2.46/5
—
J. Walker n 851.8
2.25/4
36/4
—
F. Cartwright n 836.3
1.95/1
3.45/4
—
J. Sweeney n 887.9
1.56/5
1.78/3
—
G. Turi n 885.1
1.56/5
1.25/3
—
Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Cook n 865.1
3.16/4
1.24/2
Iwan Morgan n 853.8
2.56/4
0.63/0
C. Vernam n 873.5
2.48/5
1.46/3
M. Shelton n 872.9
1.97/3
1.26/2
F. Cartwright n 836.3
1.94/2
0.62/0
Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Staunton n 873
0.21/0
0.84/1
Iwan Morgan n 853.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
K. Green n 889.9
0.54/0
00/0
M. Shelton n 872.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
Cian Doyle n 832.1
0.41/0
00/0
Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Cartwright n 836.3
4.36/4
G. Turi n 885.1
38/7
J. Walker n 851.8
2.86/3
Justin Amaluzor n 866.8
2.45/4
R. Staunton n 873
26/3
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Harrington n 888
3.15/4
C. Pym n 884.4
2.97/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Chesterfield v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ChesterfieldLWDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
GrimsbyLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chesterfield 4 · 1 draw · Grimsby 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-14 Chesterfield 2–1 Grimsby
  • 2025-11-15 Grimsby 0–1 Chesterfield
  • 2025-01-18 Grimsby 1–1 Chesterfield
  • 2024-09-07 Chesterfield 2–1 Grimsby
  • 2022-04-02 Chesterfield 1–4 Grimsby
  • 2021-12-11 Grimsby 0–1 Chesterfield
League standing · 2026/27
Chesterfield#9 pos16 pts12 pl+2 GD
Grimsby#17 pos14 pts12 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Chesterfield scored1.5
Grimsby scored1.25
Chesterfield conceded1.33
Grimsby conceded1.25

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Chesterfield and Grimsby?
In their last 6 meetings, Chesterfield won 4, Grimsby won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chesterfield and Grimsby?
Recent form — Chesterfield 1W 2D 2L; Grimsby 0W 1D 4L.

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