ChesterfieldNotts County

Chesterfield v Notts County result

Full-time · Chesterfield 0–1 Notts County

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chesterfield · Notts County · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chesterfield 0–1 Notts County — Notts County won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Notts County won 1–0 at Chesterfield in League Two on Sunday 10 May. It is Notts County’s first win over Chesterfield since 11 February 2023, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Notts County led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Notts County: Jayden Luker (28’, assisted by Tom Iorpenda).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jayden Luker’s goal on 28 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Chesterfield out-shot Notts County 8 to 2 and created the better chances, 1.92 xG to 0.71 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

W. Finnie showed five yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Chesterfield: Sam Curtis (36’); Notts County: Jodi Jones (42’), Jayden Luker (52’), Nicholas Tsaroulla (64’) and Lucas Ness (88’).

What it changes

Chesterfield have scored 71 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 47 games, ranked per game). Chesterfield have conceded 57 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Notts County have scored 75 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 47 games, ranked per game). Notts County have conceded 52 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Notts County are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tom Iorpenda (Notts County) 6.6, Sil Swinkels (Chesterfield) 4.9 and Dilan Markanday (Chesterfield) 4.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Chesterfield are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Notts County.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Chesterfield or Notts County (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Chesterfield next travel to Bristol Rovers on 14 November 2026.

Notts County next travel to Bromley on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chesterfield: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Notts County: Bromley v Notts County, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Chesterfield 0–1 Notts County · League Two
  • Referee: W. Finnie
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chesterfield 3 · draws 2 · Notts County 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chesterfield 3W 2D 0L · Notts County 2W 1D 2L

Chesterfield 0–1 Notts County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
6 / 4
Corners
against 4 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.13
Cards
against 2 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.22 yellows
Referee · W. Finnie
24 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameChesterfield for / againstLineNotts County for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.25our book
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: W. Finnie — 4.22 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 24 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Chesterfield

Chesterfield Goalkeeper

Chesterfield — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Hemming40903600 min942.4 /90561.4 /9020.1 /90
Chesterfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Hemming n 890
2.17/3

Chesterfield Defensive

Chesterfield — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. McFadzean39863346 min541.5 /90361 /90180.5 /902346.3 /90581.6 /90100.3 /90
C. Dunkley30872613 min230.8 /90270.9 /90180.6 /902388.2 /90421.4 /9060.2 /90
L. Gordon30812429 min421.6 /90250.9 /90100.4 /90973.6 /9080.3 /9030.1 /90
Devan Austin Tanton Pedraza15681015 min211.9 /90111 /9050.4 /90494.3 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90
A. Lewis848381 min81.9 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90204.7 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
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Chesterfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Bonis n 862
1.65/3
0.21/0
—
T. Naylor n 865.4
14/1
0.53/0
—
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
D. Markanday n 862.6
0.42/0
1.35/2
—
K. McFadzean n 875.1
2.48/5
0.94/2
—
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Chesterfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Bonis n 862
0.53/0
T. Naylor n 865.4
0.53/0
D. Markanday n 862.6
2.95/3
K. McFadzean n 875.1
1.36/2
R. Stirk n 875.3
2.26/3
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Chesterfield Attacking

Chesterfield — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Bonis47622891 min140.4 /9020.1 /90632 /90391.2 /90200.6 /9080.2 /90
W. Grigg26431126 min40.3 /9030.2 /90201.6 /90121 /90121 /9020.2 /90
T. Naylor41753074 min80.2 /9010 /90320.9 /90130.4 /90250.7 /9070.2 /90
D. Markanday40702791 min80.3 /9050.2 /90331.1 /90180.6 /90401.3 /90591.9 /90
R. Stirk39833245 min10 /9010 /90120.3 /9040.1 /90210.6 /90140.4 /90
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Chesterfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Bonis n 862
26/2
1.34/2
T. Naylor n 865.4
1.54/3
0.31/1
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Markanday n 862.6
1.65/2
1.14/2
K. McFadzean n 875.1
0.72/2
00/0
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Chesterfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Bonis n 862
0.73/1
00/0
T. Naylor n 865.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Markanday n 862.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
K. McFadzean n 875.1
00/0
00/0
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Notts County

Notts County Defensive

Notts County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bedeau n 886
1.75/4
0.84/2
—
Tom Iorpenda n 890
1.46/4
2.86/5
—
M. Dennis n 848.8
2.35/3
0.52/0
—
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 876.6
2.28/4
1.56/4
—
C. Grant n 861.6
1.14/1
1.15/1
—
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Notts County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 886
2.47/6
Tom Iorpenda n 890
2.37/5
M. Dennis n 848.8
1.22/1
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 876.6
1.86/3
C. Grant n 861.6
2.27/3
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Notts County Attacking

Notts County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 886
0.11/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 890
0.64/1
0.43/0
M. Dennis n 848.8
1.24/1
0.73/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 876.6
1.25/2
0.94/2
C. Grant n 861.6
0.93/2
0.52/1
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Notts County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 886
00/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 890
00/0
0.43/0
M. Dennis n 848.8
00/0
00/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 876.6
0.32/0
00/0
C. Grant n 861.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ChesterfieldNotts County
64%Possession36%
1.92Expected goals (xG)0.71
8Shots2
2Shots on target1
4Shots off target0
2Blocked shots1
5Shots inside the box2
3Corners3
1Offsides4
8Fouls15
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Saves2
530Passes301
84%Pass accuracy73%

Chesterfield Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Boot9000000006.7
K. McFadzean9000100106.9
S. Swinkels9000000207.6
S. Braybrooke9000100106.9
R. Stirk9000100105.6
D. Markanday9000001206.9
L. Bonis7700210006.9
L. Mandeville7600000006.7
L. Gordon6200000006.3
S. Curtis45000001Y6.5
A. Dobra3900001107.2
William Dickson sub5100000006.7
J. Donacien sub4500001307.2
T. Pearce sub2800110006.9
T. Naylor sub1400000006.2
W. Grigg sub1300000106.6

Notts County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Belshaw9000000007.6
L. Ness90000003Y6.2
R. McDonald9000000207
J. Bedeau9000000006.3
Nicholas Tsaroulla90000000Y6.3
O. Norburn9000000306.9
Tom Iorpenda9001001207.2
S. Robertson9000000206.9
A. Jatta7800000006
J. Jones69000001Y7
J. Luker68101110Y6.9
C. Grant sub2200000206.3
Maziar Kouhyar sub2100000207
L. Ndlovu sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chesterfield v Notts County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ChesterfieldDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Notts CountyWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chesterfield 3 · 2 draws · Notts County 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Notts County 2–3 Chesterfield
  • 2025-12-26 Chesterfield 2–0 Notts County
  • 2025-03-15 Notts County 1–2 Chesterfield
  • 2024-10-12 Chesterfield 2–2 Notts County
  • 2023-05-13 Chesterfield 2–2 Notts County
  • 2023-02-11 Chesterfield 1–2 Notts County
League standing · 2025/26
Chesterfield#6 pos79 pts46 pl+15 GD
Notts County#5 pos80 pts46 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Chesterfield scored1.54
Notts County scored1.61
Chesterfield conceded1.22
Notts County conceded1.13

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chesterfield v Notts County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chesterfield v Notts County was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Chesterfield and Notts County?
In their last 6 meetings, Chesterfield won 3, Notts County won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chesterfield and Notts County?
Recent form — Chesterfield 3W 2D 0L; Notts County 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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