ColchesterBarrow

Colchester v Barrow result

Full-time · Colchester 0–2 Barrow

League Two · · Colchester Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Colchester 0–2 Barrow — Barrow won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Barrow won 2–0 at Colchester Community Stadium in League Two on Saturday 23 August. Barrow are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Colchester, every meeting checked.

The goals

Barrow led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Barrow: J. Earing (9’) and Lewis Shipley (72’, assisted by C. Raglan).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Earing’s goal on 9 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Colchester 0.00, Barrow 0.00, from 24 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Colchester: Jack Payne (14’) and Kyreece Lisbie (90+1’); Barrow: Regan Booty (14’), C. Raglan (45’) and T. Barkhuizen (71’).

What it changes

Colchester move down from 12th to 16th (five league matches played). Colchester have scored 55 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 41 games, ranked per game). Colchester have conceded 44 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Barrow move up from 17th to 13th (five league matches played). Barrow have scored 39 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game). Barrow have conceded 69 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lewis Shipley (Barrow) 7.4, J. Earing (Barrow) 6.7 and C. Raglan (Barrow) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

Colchester next host Gillingham on 14 November 2026.

Barrow next travel to Gateshead on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Colchester: Colchester v Gillingham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Barrow: Gateshead v Barrow, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Colchester 0–2 Barrow · League Two
  • Venue: Colchester Community Stadium · Colchester
  • Referee: A. Bannister
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Colchester 0 · draws 3 · Barrow 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Colchester 1W 2D 2L · Barrow 1W 0D 4L

Colchester 0–2 Barrow (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.29 / 4.25
Corners
against 6.71 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3 / 2.5
Shots on target
against 3.86 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 2.86 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameColchester for / againstLineBarrow for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.29 for · 6.71 against n 7
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
10.14 for · 12.86 against n 7
19.5standard
11.75 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 3.86 against n 7
8.5standard
2.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 15.57 against n 7
21.5standard
10.88 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 1.25 against n 8

Colchester

Colchester Defensive

Colchester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Flanagan n 890
0.54/0
1.47/3
N. Canavan
J. Tucker n 881.3
0.41/1
1.27/2
N. Canavan
M. Macey n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
O. Edwards n 872
0.94/2
0.63/1
B. Jackson
A. Read n 872.3
0.83/2
27/3
—
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Colchester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tucker n 881.3
1.25/2
T. Flanagan n 890
0.95/1
M. Macey n 890
00/0
O. Edwards n 872
1.47/1
A. Read n 872.3
2.27/4
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Colchester Attacking

Colchester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Tucker n 881.3
0.41/1
0.11/0
T. Flanagan n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Macey n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Edwards n 872
0.64/0
0.32/0
A. Read n 872.3
1.25/1
0.53/0
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Colchester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Tucker n 881.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Flanagan n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Macey n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Edwards n 872
00/0
0.21/0
A. Read n 872.3
0.21/0
00/0
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Barrow

Barrow Defensive

Barrow — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Jackson n 890
0.95/2
1.55/3
O. Edwards
Regan Booty n 590
0.83/1
0.63/0
—
N. Canavan n 890
0.86/0
0.11/0
J. Tucker
C. Raglan n 588.4
0.83/1
00/0
—
S. Smith n 583.4
1.75/2
1.35/1
—
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Barrow — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Regan Booty n 590
2.64/3
B. Jackson n 890
26/4
N. Canavan n 890
1.16/3
C. Raglan n 588.4
1.24/1
S. Smith n 583.4
2.85/3
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Barrow Attacking

Barrow — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Jackson n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
Regan Booty n 590
0.21/0
00/0
N. Canavan n 890
0.11/0
00/0
C. Raglan n 588.4
0.62/1
0.21/0
S. Smith n 583.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Barrow — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Jackson n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Regan Booty n 590
00/0
00/0
N. Canavan n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Raglan n 588.4
00/0
00/0
S. Smith n 583.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ColchesterBarrow
66%Possession34%
24Shots9
6Shots on target4
9Shots off target4
9Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box6
14Corners2
1Offsides2
10Fouls14
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves6
543Passes271
85%Pass accuracy70%

Colchester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Macey9000000006.3
J. Tucker9000001006.6
Joshua Alan Powell9000002206.3
A. Read9000314007.5
J. Payne90004132Y6.3
S. Tovide9000321006.7
T. Flanagan8900000006.3
E. Bishop7600002106.3
R. Hunt6500000006.5
J. Gordon6500000106.6
O. Edwards6500102006.5
K. Vincent-Young sub2600100006.2
Adrian Moyosoreoluwa Ameer Akande sub2600001006.2
Kyreece Lisbie sub26001110Y6.2
Jaden Williams sub1500211006.7
J. Baldwin sub10000000–

Barrow Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Stanway9000000008.2
C. Raglan90011012Y8
N. Canavan9000000006.9
Lewis Shipley9010110107.6
Regan Booty90000012Y6.7
T. Barkhuizen90001022Y7.2
S. Smith9000000007.2
J. Earing9010221207.3
T. Walker8300110106.5
B. Jackson6400001106.9
C. Mahoney6400200006.2
B. Whitfield sub2700000006.9
E. Newby sub2700000106.3
I. Cameron sub800000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Colchester v Barrow — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ColchesterDDLWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
BarrowLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Colchester 0 · 3 draws · Barrow 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-05-03 Colchester 0–0 Barrow
  • 2024-11-09 Barrow 1–1 Colchester
  • 2024-03-09 Barrow 2–0 Colchester
  • 2023-11-25 Colchester 1–4 Barrow
  • 2023-02-04 Colchester 1–1 Barrow
  • 2022-11-01 Barrow 3–1 Colchester
League standing · 2025/26
Colchester#12 pos66 pts46 pl+13 GD
Barrow#24 pos36 pts46 pl-33 GD
Goals per game
Colchester scored1.35
Barrow scored0.98
Colchester conceded1.07
Barrow conceded1.7

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Colchester v Barrow?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Colchester v Barrow was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Colchester and Barrow?
In their last 6 meetings, Colchester won 0, Barrow won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Colchester and Barrow?
Recent form — Colchester 1W 2D 2L; Barrow 1W 0D 4L.

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