Crawley Town v Barnet prediction

League Two · · Broadfield Stadium

Postponed — this match is not being played as listed.

Updated · refreshed continuously

Crawley Town vs Barnet, League Two, is postponed — this match is not being played as listed. No free pick is offered while the fixture stands like this.

Match preview, in numbers

Form and momentum

Barnet have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every match in the last 15 results. Barnet are unbeaten in their last seven matches (last 15 results). 13 of Barnet’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 14 of Barnet’s last 15 results (93%).

Crawley Town are winless in their last five matches (last 15 results). Five of Crawley Town’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Crawley Town’s last 15 results (40%).

The shape of the game

At home, Crawley Town have no wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 6 home matches — 0.33 points per game, scoring 0.17 and conceding 1.33. Crawley Town have scored six goals, the 21st-highest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Crawley Town have conceded 13 goals, the 18th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

At away, Barnet have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.57. Barnet have scored 17 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Barnet have conceded ten goals, the 7th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Crawley Town (24th) and Barnet (3rd) are eleven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Barnet the stronger side, 449 rating points above Crawley Town (1273 v 1722, after at least 100 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished Crawley Town 1–1 Barnet.

Players to watch

By TACTIX Impact, A. Adeyemo (4.0 per match over nine appearances) and V. Mannone (3.8 per match over three appearances) have been Crawley Town’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crawley Town: A. Adeyemo 3.0 tackles per 90 (720 minutes), a tackle in 9 of the last 9 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

By TACTIX Impact, C. Lakin (6.3 per match over eight appearances, six goals and two assists) and K. Tshimanga (5.3 per match over eight appearances, five goals and four assists) have been Barnet’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Barnet: C. Lakin 2.6 key passes per 90 (700 minutes), a key pass in 7 of the last 8 appearances; K. Tshimanga 1.5 shots per 90 (715 minutes), a shot in 6 of the last 8 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

Predicted line-ups

Predicted Crawley Town XI (4-4-2): N. Michalski, P. Farquharson, C. Barker, A. Odimayo, A. Adeyemo, J. Arthurs, Osman Kamara, J. Fourcroy, Kai Jennings, P. Aderoju, D. Orsi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted Barnet XI (4-2-3-1): M. Cox, D. Collinge, A. Senior, Z. Williams, N. Tavares, O. Gallagher, C. Lakin, B. Comley, N. Ofoborh, I. Kanu, K. Tshimanga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

What the model says

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick across 246 priced markets; the full forecast, probabilities and value against the bookmakers are part of Pro.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

As of 26 September 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Crawley Town vs Barnet across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4 / 6.38
Corners
against 6.13 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 2.13
Cards
against 3.13 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCrawley Town for / againstLineBarnet for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.25our book
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 17.13 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
Cards shown
3.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.88 against n 8
Crawley Town
Crawley Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Aderoju n 849.6
2.56/4
3.68/4
—
Johnny Russell n 844.5
25/2
36/3
—
P. Farquharson n 889
1.57/4
15/3
—
C. Barker n 891.5
1.26/3
0.53/1
—
D. Pereira n 848
1.24/1
1.94/4
—
Crawley Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Morgan n 470.5
2.64/2
0.31/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
G. Di Biase n 731
2.14/1
1.22/1
D. Pereira n 848
1.94/3
0.92/1
P. Aderoju n 849.6
1.64/2
0.72/1
Crawley Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Orsi n 846.1
0.52/0
0.21/0
P. Aderoju n 849.6
0.52/0
00/0
K. Gordon n 864.3
00/0
0.42/0
G. Di Biase n 731
0.41/0
00/0
D. Morgan n 470.5
0.31/0
00/0
Crawley Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Arthurs n 891.5
3.18/5
A. Adeyemo n 878.8
3.18/6
Johnny Russell n 844.5
2.86/4
A. Odimayo n 857.5
2.55/4
Osman Kamara n 868.9
26/4
Crawley Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Mannone n 876.9
3.85/3
N. Michalski n 682.5
3.55/4
Barnet
Barnet — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Maskell n 514.4
6.33/2
2.52/0
—
I. Williams n 512.4
5.83/1
00/0
—
I. Kanu n 877.9
2.97/5
2.76/5
—
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
2.17/5
0.86/0
—
K. Smith n 834.4
24/2
13/0
—
Barnet — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Lakin n 887.5
2.48/6
1.57/3
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
T. Knowles n 850
26/2
1.15/0
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
1.56/3
0.96/1
D. Ajayi n 838.4
1.54/1
0.31/0
Barnet — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Maskell n 514.4
00/0
1.31/0
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
0.65/0
0.54/0
C. Lakin n 887.5
0.85/1
0.32/0
T. Knowles n 850
0.52/0
0.21/0
K. Smith n 834.4
00/0
0.72/0
Barnet — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Williams n 512.4
5.83/1
J. Maskell n 514.4
53/1
K. Smith n 834.4
2.64/2
J. Maskell n 323.3
2.61/1
O. Gallagher n 883.6
2.48/6
Barnet — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Cox n 890
2.55/5

TACTIX model preview

The TACTIX model has priced Crawley Town vs Barnet across 246 betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.55 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65% of 626 landed (95% range 61.2–68.7%); it had given them 76.7% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Crawley Town v Barnet — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Crawley TownLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
BarnetDDDWW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Crawley Town 2 · 1 draw · Barnet 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-17 Crawley Town 1–1 Barnet
  • 2026-01-01 Barnet 2–1 Crawley Town
  • 2018-01-13 Crawley Town 2–0 Barnet
  • 2017-09-23 Barnet 1–2 Crawley Town
League standing · 2026/27
Crawley Town#24 pos4 pts7 pl-7 GD
Barnet#3 pos15 pts7 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Crawley Town scored0.86
Barnet scored2.43
Crawley Town conceded1.86
Barnet conceded1.43

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Crawley Town vs Barnet?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crawley Town vs Barnet is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Crawley Town and Barnet?
In their last 4 meetings, Crawley Town won 2, Barnet won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crawley Town and Barnet?
Recent form — Crawley Town 0W 1D 4L; Barnet 2W 3D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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