Gillingham v Crewe result

Full-time · Gillingham 1–0 Crewe

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gillingham · Crewe · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Gillingham 1–0 Crewe — Gillingham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.7% of 1351 landed (95% range 65.1–70.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gillingham beat Crewe 1–0 in League Two on Saturday 23 August. Gillingham are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Gillingham: Sam Gale (89’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sam Gale’s goal on 89 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Gillingham 0.00, Crewe 0.00, from 17 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Byrne showed four yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Gillingham: Sam Gale (4’) and Lenni Rae Cirino (66’); Crewe: Reece Hutchinson (23’) and Mickey Demetriou (50’).

What it changes

Gillingham move up from fifth to fourth (five league matches played).

Crewe stay first after this result (five league matches played).

It is Gillingham’s first win over Crewe since 21 March 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Gillingham have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Connolly (Crewe) 5.6, Sam Gale (Gillingham) 4.7 and Ethan Coleman (Gillingham) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Crewe, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.7% of the time in the last 90 days (914 of 1351).

Next up

Gillingham next host Grimsby on 24 October 2026.

Crewe next travel to Chesterfield on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gillingham: Gillingham v Grimsby, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Crewe: Chesterfield v Crewe, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Gillingham 1–0 Crewe · League Two
  • Referee: A. Byrne
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Gillingham 1 · draws 3 · Crewe 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gillingham 2W 3D 0L · Crewe 4W 0D 1L

Gillingham 1–0 Crewe (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.71 / 5.25
Corners
against 3.29 / 4 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.71 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 2.71 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.29 / 2.13
Cards
against 2 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.43 yellows
Referee · A. Byrne
0.86 home / 2.57 away
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGillingham for / againstLineCrewe for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
2.71 for · 3.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
8.71 for · 9.43 against n 7
19.5standard
14.38 for · 13.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.71 for · 2.71 against n 7
8.5standard
4.25 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.29 for · 12.14 against n 7
21.5standard
14.13 for · 15.75 against n 8
Cards shown
3.29 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
2.13 for · 3 against n 8

Referee: A. Byrne — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 20.71 fouls over 7 matches (0.86 to the home side, 2.57 to the away side).

Gillingham
Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Gbode n 858.3
3.18/6
2.56/5
—
E. Coleman n 851.3
2.67/4
1.54/3
C. Thomas
J. Andrews n 843.1
2.65/5
2.15/3
—
N. Khumbeni n 830.8
2.63/2
1.54/0
—
E. Nevitt n 859.9
2.46/4
0.84/0
—
Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Agbinone n 844.1
25/2
0.83/0
J. Gbode n 858.3
1.57/1
15/0
J. Andrews n 843.1
1.32/2
0.31/0
Jimmy Morgan n 853.3
1.14/1
0.21/0
Marcus Wyllie n 841.8
1.14/0
0.52/0
Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Rowe n 851
0.21/0
0.42/0
J. Gbode n 858.3
0.63/0
00/0
A. Little n 889.6
0.42/1
00/0
B. Dack n 852.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
N. Khumbeni n 830.8
00/0
0.41/0
Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Gale n 872.1
3.97/5
E. Coleman n 851.3
3.56/4
S. Ogie n 876.8
2.67/5
A. Little n 889.6
2.57/6
E. Williams n 841
2.25/2
Crewe
Crewe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Lunt n 883.4
37/7
3.98/8
—
C. Thomas n 876.6
2.36/5
0.62/1
E. Coleman
K. Hemmings n 849.9
2.35/4
1.42/2
—
T. O'Reilly n 857.5
26/3
1.44/2
—
C. Long n 858.9
1.95/2
0.42/0
—
Crewe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. March n 885.4
3.77/7
1.66/4
T. O'Reilly n 857.5
1.63/2
0.42/0
Calum Agius n 866
1.55/3
0.94/1
E. Tezgel n 837
1.22/1
1.22/1
L. Billington n 882.4
1.15/3
0.32/0
Crewe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. March n 885.4
0.43/0
0.85/1
O. Lunt n 883.4
00/0
0.31/1
C. Thomas n 876.6
0.31/1
00/0
Calum Agius n 866
0.32/0
00/0
E. Tezgel n 837
0.31/0
00/0
Crewe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Conway n 881.4
3.68/5
M. Sanders n 876.5
3.18/4
T. O'Reilly n 857.5
2.77/4
Calum Agius n 866
2.46/5
E. Tezgel n 837
1.84/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GillinghamCrewe
50%Possession50%
17Shots7
5Shots on target2
8Shots off target5
4Blocked shots0
12Shots inside the box5
4Corners3
0Offsides4
14Fouls18
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves4
283Passes293
63%Pass accuracy66%

Gillingham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Morris9000000006.6
R. McKenzie9000000107.2
S. Gale90102111Y7.3
A. Smith9000000107.5
E. Coleman9000000207.3
R. Hutton9000002007.6
A. Little9000001006.9
E. Nevitt9000510106.6
B. Dack7100002006.7
Lenni Rae Cirino71000021Y7.2
J. Andrews7100311006.2
A. Rowe sub2000210106.6
J. Williams sub2000000006.7
S. Vokes sub2000111006.3

Crewe player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Booth9000000006.9
L. Billington9000002406.9
J. Connolly9000000207.6
M. Demetriou90001000Y7.2
R. Hutchinson90000000Y6.2
M. Sanders9000101206.2
J. March9000103106.6
C. Thomas8400000006.9
T. O'Reilly8400320206.3
O. Lunt6900000207
Calum Agius6900000206.6
J. Golding sub2200000206.3
E. Tezgel sub2200100006.2
C. Finney sub1300000006.3
L. Moult sub1300000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Gillingham v Crewe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GillinghamDWDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
CreweWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Gillingham 1 · 3 draws · Crewe 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-02-15 Gillingham 0–0 Crewe
  • 2024-10-05 Crewe 2–0 Gillingham
  • 2024-03-29 Gillingham 0–0 Crewe
  • 2023-10-03 Crewe 2–0 Gillingham
  • 2023-03-21 Gillingham 2–1 Crewe
  • 2022-10-08 Crewe 1–1 Gillingham
League standing · 2025/26
Gillingham#17 pos53 pts46 pl-19 GD
Crewe#11 pos67 pts46 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Gillingham scored1.15
Crewe scored1.39
Gillingham conceded1.57
Crewe conceded1.26

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Gillingham v Crewe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gillingham v Crewe was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and Crewe?
In their last 6 meetings, Gillingham won 1, Crewe won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gillingham and Crewe?
Recent form — Gillingham 2W 3D 0L; Crewe 4W 0D 1L.

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