Grimsby v Newport County result

Full-time · Grimsby 2–1 Newport County

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Grimsby · Newport County · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Grimsby 2–1 Newport County — Grimsby won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 630 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby beat Newport County 2–1 in League Two on Saturday 16 August. Grimsby are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Grimsby led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Newport County: an own goal by Courtney Baker-Richardson (1’) and Matthew Baker (55’, assisted by M. Reindorf); Grimsby: Kieran Green (90’, assisted by E. Khouri).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Grimsby 0.00, Newport County 0.00, from 22 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Z. Kennard-Kettle showed five yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Grimsby: Jaze Kabia (45+1’) and Justin Amaluzor (62’); Newport County: Matthew Smith (8’), K. Whitmore (30’) and Cameron Evans (36’).

What it changes

Grimsby move up from fifth to fourth (three league matches played).

Newport County move down from ninth to 14th (shared) (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kieran Green (Grimsby) 7.9, Matthew Baker (Newport County) 7.5 and Nikola Tzanev (Newport County) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Grimsby next travel to Gillingham on 24 October 2026.

Newport County next travel to Cheltenham on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Grimsby: Gillingham v Grimsby, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Newport County: Cheltenham v Newport County, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Grimsby 2–1 Newport County · League Two
  • Referee: Z. Kennard-Kettle
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Grimsby 3 · draws 3 · Newport County 0 · 1.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Grimsby 2W 2D 1L · Newport County 1W 1D 3L

Grimsby 2–1 Newport County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 3
Corners
against 4.63 / 6.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 2.38
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGrimsby for / againstLineNewport County for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3 for · 6.63 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
8.25 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
2.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
7.75 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Z. Kennard-Kettle.

Grimsby
Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Justin Amaluzor n 825
4.15/4
1.83/1
—
J. Walker n 826.8
3.45/2
4.25/2
C. Baker-Richardson
Jaze Kabia n 849.8
3.24/4
2.35/2
—
D. Burns n 845.1
1.54/2
2.76/3
—
J. Sweeney n 873.6
1.24/2
1.15/2
—
Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Vernam n 846.1
2.76/4
1.55/1
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 856.4
25/2
1.65/2
J. Walker n 826.8
1.73/1
0.41/0
Luca Barrington n 864.3
1.65/2
1.14/2
Justin Amaluzor n 825
1.33/0
1.33/0
Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Justin Amaluzor n 825
0.51/0
0.51/0
Jaze Kabia n 849.8
0.73/0
00/0
Luca Barrington n 864.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 856.4
0.63/0
00/0
Cameron Gardner n 837.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Turi n 549.4
5.55/4
J. Walker n 826.8
4.64/3
G. McEachran n 879.8
3.77/6
Justin Amaluzor n 825
2.74/1
J. Sweeney n 873.6
2.47/4
Newport County
Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Whitmore n 869.9
3.78/7
0.83/2
—
C. Baker-Richardson n 846.6
2.76/3
2.46/3
J. Walker
K. Hudlin n 845.6
2.25/2
25/2
—
K. Evans n 844.9
1.84/3
0.31/0
—
B. Lloyd n 438
1.82/1
0.61/0
—
Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Whitmore n 869.9
1.33/3
0.83/2
K. Evans n 844.9
1.32/2
12/1
D. Ajiboye n 839
1.23/1
0.31/0
B. Kamwa n 873.4
1.14/2
0.21/0
M. Reindorf n 835.5
12/1
12/1
Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Greaves n 843.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
K. Hudlin n 845.6
0.52/0
00/0
L. Jenkins n 371.7
00/0
0.41/0
C. Evans n 864.8
0.32/0
00/0
K. Evans n 844.9
0.31/0
00/0
Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Lloyd n 438
4.12/2
S. McLoughlin n 883.1
2.78/5
C. Brennan n 872.3
2.66/4
K. Whitmore n 869.9
2.68/4
T. Davies n 856.4
2.64/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GrimsbyNewport County
63%Possession37%
22Shots12
6Shots on target3
7Shots off target3
9Blocked shots6
16Shots inside the box6
12Corners3
3Offsides4
12Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves4
375Passes227
75%Pass accuracy59%

Grimsby player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Pym9000000006.9
D. Tharme9000000207
C. McJannet9000001206.9
G. McEachran9000000107.2
K. Green9010323008
Jaze Kabia90001101Y5.3
H. Rodgers8100200006.2
J. Sweeney8100003006.5
C. Vernam8100113106.6
J. Walker7400103006.9
Justin Amaluzor65004200Y6.9
D. Burns sub2600001106.6
E. Khouri sub1701001107.5
T. Warren sub1000000106.9
R. Staunton sub1000001006.9
Cameron Gardner sub1000100006.3

Newport County player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Tzanev9000000007.2
L. Jenkins9000222006.9
M. Baker9010110207.9
T. Davies9000102306
K. Whitmore90000002Y6.2
C. Evans90000002Y6.5
M. Reindorf7801001206.9
C. Baker-Richardson7800001006
L. Shephard7100000206.6
H. Ogunneye6800000206.3
M. Smith45000021Y6.3
C. Antwi sub4500100006.5
Joe Thomas sub2300000206.5
J. Clarke sub2000000006.3
B. Kamwa sub1300101006.2
M. Spellman sub1300000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v Newport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GrimsbyDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Newport CountyLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Grimsby 3 · 3 draws · Newport County 0 · 1.33 goals/game
  • 2025-03-22 Grimsby 1–0 Newport County
  • 2024-11-16 Newport County 0–0 Grimsby
  • 2024-04-06 Grimsby 1–0 Newport County
  • 2023-12-16 Newport County 1–1 Grimsby
  • 2023-03-07 Grimsby 1–1 Newport County
  • 2022-09-03 Newport County 0–2 Grimsby
League standing · 2025/26
Grimsby#7 pos78 pts46 pl+24 GD
Newport County#20 pos43 pts46 pl-29 GD
Goals per game
Grimsby scored1.61
Newport County scored1.04
Grimsby conceded1.09
Newport County conceded1.67

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Newport County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Newport County was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby and Newport County?
In their last 6 meetings, Grimsby won 3, Newport County won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and Newport County?
Recent form — Grimsby 2W 2D 1L; Newport County 1W 1D 3L.

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