Northampton v Rochdale prediction

League Two · · Sixfields Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Northampton v Rochdale, League Two on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Northampton host Rochdale in League Two on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Three of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (20%).

Rochdale have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in six of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Northampton have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.25. Northampton have scored six goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Northampton have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Rochdale have one win, four draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.78 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.67. Rochdale have scored 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rochdale have conceded 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Rochdale are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Northampton (23rd) and Rochdale (14th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rochdale the stronger side, 43 rating points above Northampton (Rochdale 1423, Northampton 1380, after at least 104 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 February 2023, finished Rochdale 1–1 Northampton.

Team news

Predicted Northampton XI (4-4-2): Z. Jeacock, E. Moore, J. Guthrie, J. Maxwell, J. Donacien, J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh, L. Evans, J. Wormleighton, T. Fornah, O. Dale, N. Opoku — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Joseph Wormleighton (4.2 per match over 10 appearances) and Jonathan Guthrie (3.5 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Northampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Northampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Joseph Wormleighton averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 783 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Jonathan Guthrie averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 999 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Rochdale XI (4-2-3-1): N. Ramming, K. Wilson, C. Tasker, A. Flint, O. Adebayo-Rowling, B. Adeeko, H. Gilmour, G. Middleton, K. Taylor, E. Francis, D. Brown — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Aden Flint (3.9 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Charlie Tasker (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Rochdale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rochdale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Aden Flint averages 0.3 tackles per 90 over 630 minutes, with a tackle in two of the last seven appearances. Charlie Tasker averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 693 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · Sixfields Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Northampton 1 · draws 3 · Rochdale 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Northampton 1W 1D 3L · Rochdale 2W 2D 1L

Northampton v Rochdale (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.38
Corners
against 4.13 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.13
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNorthampton for / againstLineRochdale for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 11.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 17.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Northampton
Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Dale n 867.9
2.37/6
26/3
—
E. List n 834.3
2.36/1
3.36/3
—
K. Simon-Swyer n 828.4
24/1
0.41/0
—
Matthew Warhurst n 852.5
1.96/2
1.34/2
—
J. Wormleighton n 882.1
1.87/4
1.67/4
—
Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Saunders n 856.5
2.87/5
1.45/2
E. List n 834.3
2.65/3
1.63/2
Matthew Warhurst n 852.5
2.44/2
0.93/1
O. Dale n 867.9
27/4
1.25/2
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 880.6
1.56/2
0.43/0
Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 880.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
E. List n 834.3
0.31/0
00/0
L. Evans n 874
00/0
0.21/0
O. Dale n 867.9
00/0
0.21/0
L. Briggs n 760.6
0.21/0
00/0
Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Wormleighton n 882.1
3.77/7
J. Donacien n 875.3
37/5
S. Chambers n 546
2.34/1
C. Lemonheigh-Evans n 862.9
2.16/4
N. Opoku n 857.4
25/3
Northampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Jeacock n 890
2.36/3
Rochdale
Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Francis n 847.6
2.46/3
0.52/0
—
E. Dieseruvwe n 843.4
2.15/1
1.86/1
—
D. Brown n 883.1
1.87/4
1.25/3
—
I. Henderson n 847.1
1.74/2
13/1
—
Z. Silcott-Duberry n 846.1
1.76/1
0.73/0
—
Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Smith n 826.4
33/2
1.32/1
D. Brown n 883.1
2.38/5
1.17/1
C. Hayes n 847.8
2.14/2
0.52/0
E. Dieseruvwe n 843.4
1.65/1
0.31/0
A. Flint n 890
1.56/3
0.54/0
Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Brown n 883.1
0.54/0
0.11/0
G. Middleton n 871
00/0
0.53/0
A. Flint n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
D. Rodney n 852
0.41/1
00/0
I. Henderson n 847.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Beckwith n 347.3
5.73/1
Kane Taylor n 876.1
3.17/6
H. Gilmour n 881.5
2.37/7
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 864
2.38/4
L. Hannant n 850.4
1.64/2
Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nils Ramming n 890
2.86/4
Sam Waller n 881.3
2.85/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Northampton v Rochdale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorthamptonLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
RochdaleWWDLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Northampton 1 · 3 draws · Rochdale 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2023-02-11 Rochdale 1–1 Northampton
  • 2022-09-17 Northampton 3–0 Rochdale
  • 2022-02-26 Rochdale 1–0 Northampton
  • 2021-08-21 Northampton 1–3 Rochdale
  • 2021-02-23 Northampton 0–0 Rochdale
  • 2020-11-24 Rochdale 1–1 Northampton
League standing · 2026/27
Northampton#23 pos10 pts10 pl-2 GD
Rochdale#14 pos15 pts12 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Northampton scored0.6
Rochdale scored1.25
Northampton conceded0.8
Rochdale conceded1.42

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Northampton and Rochdale?
In their last 6 meetings, Northampton won 1, Rochdale won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Northampton and Rochdale?
Recent form — Northampton 1W 1D 3L; Rochdale 2W 2D 1L.

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