Notts County v Shrewsbury result

Full-time · Notts County 4–1 Shrewsbury

League Two · Wed, 20 Aug 2025 19:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Notts County · Shrewsbury

The model’s pre-match pick

Notts County 4–1 Shrewsbury — Notts County won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Notts County beat Shrewsbury 4–1 in League Two on Wednesday 20 August. Shrewsbury are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Notts County led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Notts County: Matthew Dennis (8’), Sonny Aljofree (20’, assisted by Matthew Dennis), Nicholas Tsaroulla (47’, assisted by Jodi Jones) and Conor Grant (82’, assisted by Kellan Gordon); Shrewsbury: J. Marquis (32’, assisted by Sam Stubbs).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Matthew Dennis’s goal on 8 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Notts County 0.00, Shrewsbury 0.00, from 11 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Drysdale showed six yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Notts County: Oliver Norburn (12’), Conor Grant (78’) and Kellan Gordon (81’); Shrewsbury: Sam Stubbs (41’), J. Marquis (90’) and George Nurse (90+3’).

What it changes

Notts County move up from 18th to 15th (four league matches played). Notts County have scored 69 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game). Notts County have conceded 43 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Shrewsbury move down from 20th to 23rd (four league matches played). Shrewsbury have scored 40 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game). Shrewsbury have conceded 67 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tom Iorpenda (Notts County) 8.7, Matthew Dennis (Notts County) 6.9 and Nicholas Tsaroulla (Notts County) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Notts County to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Notts County next travel to Bromley on 14 November 2026.

Shrewsbury next host Oldham on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Notts County: Bromley v Notts County, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Shrewsbury: Shrewsbury v Oldham, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Notts County 4–1 Shrewsbury · League Two
Referee: D. Drysdale
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Notts County 0 · draws 1 · Shrewsbury 1 · 5.5 goals/game
Recent form: Notts County 0W 1D 4L · Shrewsbury 0W 1D 4L

Notts County 4–1 Shrewsbury (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.63

Goals

against 1.38 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.86 / 5

Corners

against 4.29 / 5.14 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.71 / 2.86

Shots on target

against 4 / 4.71 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.29 / 3.29

Cards

against 2 / 0.86 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.56 yellows

Referee · D. Drysdale

21.78 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Notts County for / against	Line	Shrewsbury for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.86 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	11.14 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	8.43 for · 14.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.71 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	2.86 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.86 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	13.29 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.29 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	3.29 for · 0.86 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: D. Drysdale — 3.56 yellow cards a game, 0.44 red cards, 21.78 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Notts County

Notts County Defensive

Notts County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Bedeau n 8	90	2.3 8/5	0.9 6/1	—
M. Palmer n 8	90	1 7/1	1 6/2	—
Tom Iorpenda n 4	90	1 3/1	2.5 4/3	—
K. Roos n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Sonny Aljofree n 4	81.5	1.4 4/1	0.6 2/0	—
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Notts County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Tom Iorpenda n 4	90	2.3 4/3
M. Palmer n 8	90	1.1 6/3
J. Bedeau n 8	90	0.6 5/0
K. Roos n 4	90	0 0/0
Sonny Aljofree n 4	81.5	2.5 3/2
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Notts County Attacking

Notts County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Tom Iorpenda n 4	90	1.3 4/1	0.5 2/0
M. Palmer n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Bedeau n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
K. Roos n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sonny Aljofree n 4	81.5	0.6 2/0	0 0/0
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Notts County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Tom Iorpenda n 4	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
K. Roos n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Palmer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Bedeau n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sonny Aljofree n 4	81.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury Defensive

Shrewsbury — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Anderson n 4	90	1.3 3/2	0.8 3/0	—
L. Hoole n 8	88.1	1 5/3	0.3 2/0	—
S. Clucas n 4	80.8	1.7 4/2	1.1 3/1	—
J. Marquis n 8	81.5	1.7 7/5	2.2 7/5	—
T. Perry n 8	66.1	1.9 6/2	2.2 8/4	—
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Shrewsbury — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Anderson n 4	90	2 3/3
L. Hoole n 8	88.1	2.7 8/6
S. Clucas n 4	80.8	2.2 3/2
J. Marquis n 8	81.5	0.8 3/1
T. Perry n 8	66.1	2.4 7/4
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Shrewsbury Attacking

Shrewsbury — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Anderson n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Hoole n 8	88.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
S. Clucas n 4	80.8	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
J. Marquis n 8	81.5	1.2 6/3	1 4/3
T. Perry n 8	66.1	0.9 2/1	0.3 1/1
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Shrewsbury — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Anderson n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Hoole n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
S. Clucas n 4	80.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Marquis n 8	81.5	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
T. Perry n 8	66.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Notts County		Shrewsbury
53%	Possession	47%
11	Shots	7
8	Shots on target	2
1	Shots off target	3
2	Blocked shots	2
4	Shots inside the box	5
4	Corners	4
0	Offsides	2
10	Fouls	16
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	4
463	Passes	389
80%	Pass accuracy	79%

Notts County Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Roos	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Sonny Aljofree	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.2
R. McDonald	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
J. Bedeau	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.9
M. Palmer	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.2
Tom Iorpenda	90	0	0	3	3	0	6	0	8
M. Dennis	86	1	1	1	1	2	0	0	7.5
O. Norburn	75	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	6.3
Nicholas Tsaroulla	75	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	7.9
Barry Cotter	69	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
J. Jones	69	0	1	2	1	1	1	0	6.9
K. Gordon sub	22	0	1	0	0	1	0	Y	6.9
C. Grant sub	22	1	0	1	1	1	1	Y	7.3
K. Bennetts sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
T. Hall sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Maziar Kouhyar sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Shrewsbury Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Elyh Harrison	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
S. Stubbs	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	Y	5.6
T. Anderson	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.2
T. Sang	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.7
S. Clucas	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.9
T. Perry	90	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	6
J. Marquis	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	Y	7
G. Lloyd	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
A. Nsiala	74	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.5
W. Boyle	74	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
A. Scully	74	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
G. Nurse sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
L. Hoole sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
C. Stewart sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Notts County v Shrewsbury — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Notts CountyLDLLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

ShrewsburyLDLLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Notts County 0 · 1 draw · Shrewsbury 1 · 5.5 goals/game

2024-08-13 Shrewsbury 3–3 Notts County
2023-12-01 Notts County 2–3 Shrewsbury

League standing · 2025/26

Notts County#5 pos80 pts46 pl+22 GD

Shrewsbury#19 pos49 pts46 pl-27 GD

Goals per game

Notts County scored1.61

Shrewsbury scored0.91

Notts County conceded1.13

Shrewsbury conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Notts County v Shrewsbury?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Notts County v Shrewsbury was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Notts County and Shrewsbury?: In their last 2 meetings, Notts County won 0, Shrewsbury won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 5.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Notts County and Shrewsbury?: Recent form — Notts County 0W 1D 4L; Shrewsbury 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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