Port Vale v Colchester prediction
Team pages: Port Vale · Colchester · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Port Vale v Colchester, League Two on Tue, 27 Apr 2027 19:45 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Port Vale host Colchester in League Two on Tuesday 27 April (kick-off 19:45 UK).
The key numbers
Port Vale have scored five goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Colchester are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Four of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Port Vale have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 0.43. Port Vale have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Six of Colchester’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Colchester’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Colchester have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.71. Colchester have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Colchester have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Port Vale (21st) and Colchester (20th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Port Vale the stronger side, 81 rating points above Colchester (Port Vale 1480, Colchester 1399, after at least 279 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Colchester are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Port Vale. The most recent meeting, on 11 March 2025, finished Colchester 2–1 Port Vale.
Team news
Predicted Port Vale XI (3-5-2): J. Smith, C. Hall, C. Humphreys, L. Montsma, K. Dempsey, B. Garrity, J. Lawrence-Gabriel, J. Headley, R. Walters, O. Lynch, M. Watters — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and Kyle Dempsey (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) have been Port Vale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Port Vale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 881 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Kyle Dempsey averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 854 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Colchester XI (4-2-3-1): T. Lo-Tutala, J. Tucker, E. Iandolo, S. Raggett, R. Hunt, M. Sesay, J. Payne, H. Anderson, J. Williams, O. Thorn, B. Ihionvien — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Payne (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and Moses Sesay (4.6 per match over nine appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Colchester’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Colchester (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Payne averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 903 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Moses Sesay averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 681 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · Vale Park
- Head-to-head (last 6): Port Vale 2 · draws 2 · Colchester 2 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Port Vale 3W 0D 2L · Colchester 0W 4D 1L
Port Vale v Colchester (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Port Vale for / against | Line | Colchester for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.75 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.38 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.5 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.63 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.75 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Port Vale
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Faal n 8 | 41.5 | 4.1 | 1.6 | — |
| G. Hall n 8 | 58.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| T. Simpson n 8 | 28.1 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| C. Humphreys n 8 | 80 | 1.7 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Faal n 8 | 41.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| M. Watters n 8 | 59.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| B. Waine n 8 | 45.3 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Faal n 8 | 41.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| G. Byers n 8 | 47.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| M. Watters n 8 | 59.5 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| J. Moon n 8 | 77.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. John n 8 | 61 | 2.6 |
| G. Byers n 8 | 47.5 | 2.6 |
| R. Walters n 8 | 58.3 | 2.3 |
| J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| K. Dempsey n 8 | 84.3 | 2.1 |
Colchester
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Connelly n 5 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 0 | — |
| B. Lubala n 8 | 29.8 | 3.4 | 1.5 | — |
| H. Anderson n 8 | 87.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | — |
| Jaden Williams n 8 | 25.8 | 2.2 | 4.4 | — |
| B. Ihionvien n 8 | 44.5 | 2 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Lubala n 8 | 29.8 | 3.4 | 0.4 |
| M. Sesay n 8 | 79.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| B. Ihionvien n 8 | 44.5 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Jaden Williams n 8 | 25.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sesay n 8 | 79.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| O. Thorn n 8 | 60.3 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Jaden Williams n 8 | 25.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| H. Anderson n 8 | 87.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| K. Vincent-Young n 8 | 64.8 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Kuffour n 8 | 34.5 | 3.9 |
| R. Harvey n 4 | 22.8 | 3 |
| P. Digby n 8 | 46.1 | 2.9 |
| L. Chiwome n 8 | 16.1 | 2.8 |
| J. Payne n 8 | 89.6 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Lo-Tutala n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Port Vale v Colchester — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-11 Colchester 2–1 Port Vale
- 2024-10-01 Port Vale 1–1 Colchester
- 2022-03-05 Colchester 1–0 Port Vale
- 2021-10-23 Port Vale 3–0 Colchester
- 2021-03-20 Colchester 0–1 Port Vale
- 2020-12-12 Port Vale 1–1 Colchester
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Port Vale and Colchester?
- In their last 6 meetings, Port Vale won 2, Colchester won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Port Vale and Colchester?
- Recent form — Port Vale 3W 0D 2L; Colchester 0W 4D 1L.
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