Port Vale v Newport County prediction
Team pages: Port Vale · Newport County · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Port Vale v Newport County, League Two on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Port Vale host Newport County in League Two on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Port Vale have scored five goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Newport County are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Four of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Port Vale have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 0.43. Port Vale have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Seven of Newport County’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Newport County’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Newport County have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.38. Newport County have scored 14 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Newport County have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Port Vale (21st) and Newport County (11th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Port Vale the stronger side, 7 rating points above Newport County (Port Vale 1480, Newport County 1473, after at least 279 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 18 January 2025, finished Port Vale 3–2 Newport County.
Team news
Predicted Port Vale XI (3-5-2): J. Smith, C. Hall, C. Humphreys, L. Montsma, K. Dempsey, B. Garrity, J. Lawrence-Gabriel, J. Headley, R. Walters, O. Lynch, M. Watters — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and Kyle Dempsey (3.7 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) have been Port Vale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Port Vale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 881 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Kyle Dempsey averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 854 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Newport County XI (4-2-3-1): J. Wright, L. Jenkins, K. Cameron, C. Norman, M. Jacob, C. Brennan, H. Biggins, M. Dibley-Dias, M. Adu-Poku, Y. Bamba, C. Doidge — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ciaran Brennan (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, one assist) and Y. Bamba (4.1 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Newport County’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newport County (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ciaran Brennan averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 1078 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last 10 appearances. Y. Bamba averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 388 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · Vale Park
- Head-to-head (last 6): Port Vale 3 · draws 0 · Newport County 3 · 3.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Port Vale 3W 0D 2L · Newport County 2W 3D 0L
Port Vale v Newport County (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Port Vale for / against | Line | Newport County for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.75 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.38 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.75 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Port Vale
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Faal n 8 | 41.5 | 4.1 | 1.6 | — |
| G. Hall n 8 | 58.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| T. Simpson n 8 | 28.1 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| C. Humphreys n 8 | 80 | 1.7 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Faal n 8 | 41.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| M. Watters n 8 | 59.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| B. Waine n 8 | 45.3 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Faal n 8 | 41.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| G. Byers n 8 | 47 | 0.5 | 0 |
| M. Watters n 8 | 59.5 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| J. Moon n 8 | 77.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. John n 8 | 61 | 2.6 |
| G. Byers n 8 | 47 | 2.4 |
| R. Walters n 8 | 58.3 | 2.3 |
| J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| K. Dempsey n 8 | 84.3 | 2.1 |
Newport County
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Bamba n 8 | 51.6 | 2.4 | 1.5 | — |
| G. Garner n 8 | 18.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | — |
| K. Etete n 8 | 34.9 | 2.3 | 2.3 | — |
| C. Evans n 8 | 72.9 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| Alfie Merritt n 5 | 36.8 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nyakuhwa n 8 | 23.3 | 2.4 | 1 |
| K. Etete n 8 | 34.9 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Alfie Merritt n 5 | 36.8 | 2 | 0.5 |
| C. Doidge n 8 | 68.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nyakuhwa n 8 | 23.3 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Y. Bamba n 5 | 77.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| C. Doidge n 8 | 68.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Shaquille Gwengwe n 8 | 73 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Alfie Merritt n 5 | 36.8 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Dibley-Dias n 8 | 74.9 | 3.8 |
| C. Brennan n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| C. Evans n 8 | 72.9 | 3.2 |
| Alfie Merritt n 5 | 36.8 | 2.9 |
| Y. Bamba n 8 | 51.6 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Wright n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Port Vale v Newport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-01-18 Port Vale 3–2 Newport County
- 2024-09-07 Newport County 1–4 Port Vale
- 2022-05-02 Port Vale 1–2 Newport County
- 2021-12-11 Newport County 2–1 Port Vale
- 2021-03-16 Port Vale 2–1 Newport County
- 2020-11-21 Newport County 1–0 Port Vale
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Port Vale and Newport County?
- In their last 6 meetings, Port Vale won 3, Newport County won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Port Vale and Newport County?
- Recent form — Port Vale 3W 0D 2L; Newport County 2W 3D 0L.
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