Shrewsbury v Colchester result

Full-time · Shrewsbury 0–2 Colchester

League Two · Sat, 16 Aug 2025 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Shrewsbury 0–2 Colchester — Colchester won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Colchester won 2–0 at Shrewsbury in League Two on Saturday 16 August. Shrewsbury are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Colchester: Samson Tovide (57’, assisted by Jack Payne) and K. Lisbie (83’). T. McDermott (65’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Samson Tovide’s goal on 57 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Shrewsbury 0.00, Colchester 0.00, from 8 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Barlow showed three yellow cards and one red — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Shrewsbury: William Boyle (22’) and Taylor Perry (79’); Colchester: Jack Payne (70’).

What it changes

Shrewsbury move down from 18th to 20th (three league matches played). Shrewsbury have scored 40 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game). Shrewsbury have conceded 67 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

Colchester move up from 13th to eighth (shared) (three league matches played). Colchester have scored 55 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 41 games, ranked per game). Colchester have conceded 44 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Luca Hoole (Shrewsbury) 6.7, Samson Tovide (Colchester) 5.1 and Sam Stubbs (Shrewsbury) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Shrewsbury next host Oldham on 14 November 2026.

Colchester next host Gillingham on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Shrewsbury: Shrewsbury v Oldham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Colchester: Colchester v Gillingham, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Shrewsbury 0–2 Colchester · League Two
Referee: M. Barlow
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Shrewsbury 1 · draws 0 · Colchester 0 · 5 goals/game
Recent form: Shrewsbury 1W 1D 3L · Colchester 0W 3D 2L

Shrewsbury 0–2 Colchester (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.63

Goals

against 2 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.14 / 6.29

Corners

against 6.43 / 5.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.14 / 3

Shots on target

against 4.43 / 3.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

3 / 1.86

Cards

against 0.71 / 2.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4.14 yellows

Referee · M. Barlow

22.71 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Shrewsbury for / against	Line	Colchester for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.14 for · 6.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	6.29 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	8.29 for · 15.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	11.57 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.14 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.43 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.86 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	3 for · 0.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: M. Barlow — 4.14 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury Defensive

Shrewsbury — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Anderson n 3	90	1.7 3/2	0.7 2/0	T. Flanagan
G. Nurse n 8	80.1	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0	—
L. Hoole n 8	88	1 5/3	0.4 3/0	Ben Perry
S. Clucas n 3	79.7	1.5 3/1	1.1 2/1	Ben Perry
J. Marquis n 8	81.5	1.9 7/6	2.5 7/6	O. Edwards
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Shrewsbury — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Anderson n 3	90	1.7 2/2
G. Nurse n 8	80.1	1.7 5/4
L. Hoole n 8	88	1.8 7/5
S. Clucas n 3	79.7	1.5 2/1
J. Marquis n 8	81.5	0.8 3/1
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Shrewsbury Attacking

Shrewsbury — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Nurse n 8	80.1	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
T. Anderson n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Hoole n 8	88	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
S. Clucas n 3	79.7	0.4 1/0	0 0/0
J. Marquis n 8	81.5	1.2 6/3	1.1 5/3
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Shrewsbury — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Anderson n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Nurse n 8	80.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Hoole n 8	88	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
S. Clucas n 3	79.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Marquis n 8	81.5	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
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Colchester

Colchester Defensive

Colchester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Tucker n 8	71.9	0.6 2/1	1.1 6/1	—
T. Flanagan n 8	90	0.5 4/0	1.5 7/3	T. Anderson
M. Macey n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Ben Perry n 3	77	3.1 2/2	3.9 3/3	S. Clucas
O. Edwards n 8	70	1 4/2	1 4/2	J. Marquis
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Colchester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Tucker n 8	71.9	1.1 3/2
T. Flanagan n 8	90	0.9 5/1
M. Macey n 8	90	0 0/0
Ben Perry n 3	77	4.3 3/3
O. Edwards n 8	70	1.6 7/1
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Colchester Attacking

Colchester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Tucker n 8	71.9	0.5 1/1	0.2 1/0
T. Flanagan n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Macey n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ben Perry n 3	77	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Edwards n 8	70	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
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Colchester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Tucker n 8	71.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
T. Flanagan n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Macey n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ben Perry n 3	77	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Edwards n 8	70	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Shrewsbury		Colchester
46%	Possession	54%
8	Shots	9
1	Shots on target	4
5	Shots off target	3
2	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	3
6	Corners	1
2	Offsides	5
16	Fouls	9
2	Yellow cards	1
1	Red cards	0
2	Saves	1
312	Passes	390
71%	Pass accuracy	83%

Shrewsbury Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Elyh Harrison	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
S. Stubbs	90	0	0	0	4	0	7.3
T. Anderson	90	0	0	0	3	0	6.5
L. Hoole	90	0	0	0	7	0	7.2
T. Perry	90	1	0	0	1	Y	6.2
J. Marquis	90	1	0	1	0	0	6.6
G. Lloyd	90	0	0	0	1	0	5.9
W. Boyle	84	3	1	0	1	Y	6.3
S. Clucas	84	0	0	4	4	0	7.3
H. Biggins	68	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
T. McDermott	65	1	0	1	0	R	5.6
A. Gilliead sub	23	0	0	2	2	0	7
G. Nurse sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Scully sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Colchester Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Macey	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
R. Hunt	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
J. Tucker	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.6
T. Flanagan	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.3
Joshua Alan Powell	90	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.3
O. Edwards	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	6.3
E. Bishop	82	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
J. Gordon	71	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
J. Payne	71	0	1	1	0	3	0	Y	6.9
S. Tovide	71	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.7
Ben Perry	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Read sub	79	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.9
Adrian Moyosoreoluwa Ameer Akande sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Kyreece Lisbie sub	20	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.6
O. Thorn sub	19	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.9
K. Vincent-Young sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Shrewsbury v Colchester — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ShrewsburyWLDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

ColchesterLDDDL

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Shrewsbury 1 · 0 draws · Colchester 0 · 5 goals/game

2023-11-04 Shrewsbury 3–2 Colchester

League standing · 2025/26

Shrewsbury#19 pos49 pts46 pl-27 GD

Colchester#12 pos66 pts46 pl+13 GD

Goals per game

Shrewsbury scored0.91

Colchester scored1.35

Shrewsbury conceded1.5

Colchester conceded1.07

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Shrewsbury v Colchester?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Shrewsbury v Colchester was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Shrewsbury and Colchester?: In their last 1 meetings, Shrewsbury won 1, Colchester won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shrewsbury and Colchester?: Recent form — Shrewsbury 1W 1D 3L; Colchester 0W 3D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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