Swindon TownBristol Rovers

Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers result

Full-time · Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers

League Two ·

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Team pages: Swindon Town · Bristol Rovers · Head-to-head

Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers — this League Two match was drawn.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers drew 1–1 in League Two on Saturday 28 February. Swindon Town have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bristol Rovers led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Bristol Rovers: K. Thompson-Sommers (43’, assisted by Ellis Harrison); Swindon Town: Oliver Palmer (58’, assisted by Jake Thomas Batty).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Swindon Town out-shot Bristol Rovers 16 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.94 xG to 0.68 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

R. Ricardo showed five yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Swindon Town: Oliver Clarke (32’); Bristol Rovers: Kofi Balmer (32’), Joel Senior (83’), Joseph Quigley (88’) and Richard Smallwood (90’).

What it changes

Swindon Town move down from second to fourth (35 league matches played). Swindon Town have scored 66 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game). Swindon Town have conceded 53 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs.

Bristol Rovers stay 20th after this result (34 league matches played). Bristol Rovers have scored 48 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game). Bristol Rovers have conceded 61 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jake Thomas Batty (Swindon Town) 7.6, Oliver Palmer (Swindon Town) 7.5 and Richard Smallwood (Bristol Rovers) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Swindon Town are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Bristol Rovers, every meeting checked.

Next up

Swindon Town next host Grimsby on 14 November 2026.

Bristol Rovers next host Chesterfield on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Swindon Town: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Bristol Rovers: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers · League Two
  • Referee: R. Ricardo
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Swindon Town 4 · draws 1 · Bristol Rovers 0 · 2.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Swindon Town 3W 0D 2L · Bristol Rovers 2W 0D 3L

Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.88 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.13 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 February 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 February 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSwindon Town for / againstLineBristol Rovers for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
12.13 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 8 against n 8
21.5standard
14.38 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: R. Ricardo.

Swindon Town

Swindon Town Goalkeeper

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Ripley36893200 min842.4 /90451.3 /9010 /90
Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 21 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 890
2.15/3

Swindon Town Defensive

Swindon Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Wright26792064 min421.8 /90261.1 /90140.6 /901124.9 /90140.6 /9030.1 /90
Joel McGregor26591542 min482.8 /90261.5 /9040.2 /901468.5 /90191.1 /9040.2 /90
Filozofe Mabete18571023 min181.6 /90171.5 /9080.7 /90554.8 /90131.1 /9020.2 /90
R. Tafazolli16711141 min171.3 /90161.3 /90221.7 /901078.4 /9040.3 /9010.1 /90
B. Kirkman670421 min132.8 /9091.9 /9051.1 /90265.6 /9071.5 /9010.2 /90
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Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 21 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
G. Kilkenny n 882.4
0.53/1
0.85/1
—
T. Nichols n 858.5
1.76/3
1.55/2
—
O. Palmer n 854.3
2.35/3
1.95/3
—
A. Drinan n 890
15/1
0.11/0
—
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Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 21 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Kilkenny n 882.4
2.67/6
T. Nichols n 858.5
4.27/5
O. Palmer n 854.3
0.62/1
A. Drinan n 890
0.32/0
D. Oldaker n 865.4
15/1
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Swindon Town Attacking

Swindon Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Palmer30641923 min70.3 /9020.1 /90391.8 /90221 /90261.2 /90190.9 /90
G. Kilkenny34852891 min10 /9010 /90180.6 /9070.2 /90250.8 /90230.7 /90
T. Nichols33702326 min10 /9000 /90100.4 /9050.2 /90170.7 /90160.6 /90
A. Drinan29852458 min180.7 /9030.1 /90552 /90341.2 /90230.8 /90180.7 /90
D. Oldaker28691924 min10 /9050.2 /90170.8 /9060.3 /90190.9 /90200.9 /90
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Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 21 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Kilkenny n 882.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
T. Nichols n 858.5
0.63/0
00/0
O. Palmer n 854.3
1.24/2
0.62/1
A. Drinan n 890
1.86/5
16/2
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Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 21 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Kilkenny n 882.4
00/0
00/0
T. Nichols n 858.5
00/0
00/0
O. Palmer n 854.3
0.21/0
00/0
A. Drinan n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers Defensive

Bristol Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 21 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Cavegn n 880.1
0.84/2
0.75/0
—
J. Sparkes n 890
0.53/1
0.95/2
—
A. Kilgour n 884.4
28/5
0.84/2
—
L. Thomas n 867.1
15/1
0.83/2
—
E. Harrison n 859.6
37/6
1.34/3
—
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Bristol Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 21 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 880.1
0.43/0
J. Sparkes n 890
1.45/3
A. Kilgour n 884.4
27/3
L. Thomas n 867.1
36/5
E. Harrison n 859.6
0.94/1
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Bristol Rovers Attacking

Bristol Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 21 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 880.1
0.84/2
0.74/1
J. Sparkes n 890
0.65/0
0.32/0
A. Kilgour n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Thomas n 867.1
0.83/2
0.32/0
E. Harrison n 859.6
1.35/1
0.42/0
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Bristol Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 21 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 880.1
0.11/0
00/0
J. Sparkes n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Kilgour n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
L. Thomas n 867.1
00/0
00/0
E. Harrison n 859.6
00/0
00/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Swindon TownBristol Rovers
54%Possession46%
1.94Expected goals (xG)0.68
16Shots10
6Shots on target3
5Shots off target6
5Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box6
13Corners1
3Offsides0
11Fouls10
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves5
307Passes283
63%Pass accuracy63%

Swindon Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Ripley9000000007.5
Jamie Knight-Lebel9000100206.9
Aidan Borland9000001206.3
G. Kilkenny9000001306.7
O. Clarke90002102Y6.3
A. Drinan9000211006.5
O. Palmer9010431108
Jake Thomas Batty8901114207.9
W. Wright6900001106.5
J. Snowdon6900100206.2
J. Hoilett6900001106.5
B. Kirkman sub2100000307.2
M. Olakigbe sub2100001006.6
F. Holman sub2100000006.7
B. Bodin sub10000000–

Bristol Rovers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Brad Young9000000008.2
J. Senior90000011Y7
K. Balmer90000000Y6.7
A. Kilgour9000000006.3
C. Mola9000001006.7
Y. Akhamrich9000320206.2
K. Thompson-Sommers9010111007.3
R. Smallwood90001008Y7.9
J. Quigley90000002Y6.9
R. De Havilland8900201207.2
E. Harrison6701101006
F. Cavegn sub2300100006
L. Thomas sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Swindon TownWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Bristol RoversWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Swindon Town 4 · 1 draw · Bristol Rovers 0 · 2.2 goals/game
  • 2025-12-13 Bristol Rovers 0–3 Swindon Town
  • 2022-01-22 Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers
  • 2021-10-02 Bristol Rovers 1–3 Swindon Town
  • 2021-03-23 Bristol Rovers 0–1 Swindon Town
  • 2020-11-21 Swindon Town 1–0 Bristol Rovers
League standing · 2025/26
Swindon Town#9 pos75 pts46 pl+11 GD
Bristol Rovers#14 pos62 pts46 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Swindon Town scored1.52
Bristol Rovers scored1.22
Swindon Town conceded1.28
Bristol Rovers conceded1.41

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers?
In their last 5 meetings, Swindon Town won 4, Bristol Rovers won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers?
Recent form — Swindon Town 3W 0D 2L; Bristol Rovers 2W 0D 3L.

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