Swindon TownChesterfield

Swindon Town v Chesterfield result

Full-time · Swindon Town 1–2 Chesterfield

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Swindon Town · Chesterfield · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Swindon Town 1–2 Chesterfield — Chesterfield won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.6% of 125 landed (95% range 78.4–90.7%); it had given them 76.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Chesterfield won 2–1 at Swindon Town in League Two on Saturday 2 May. Chesterfield have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Chesterfield: Lee Bonis (19’, assisted by Armando Dobra) and Dilan Markanday (61’, assisted by Armando Dobra); Swindon Town: Ben Middlemas (45’, assisted by Aaron Drinan).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dilan Markanday’s goal on 61 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Swindon Town out-shot Chesterfield 13 to 11 and created the better chances, 2.30 xG to 1.60 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

S. Oldham showed five yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Swindon Town: Thomas Wilson-Brown (17’), J. Hoilett (51’) and Ben Middlemas (75’); Chesterfield: Ryan Stirk (58’) and Lee Bonis (78’).

What it changes

Swindon Town move down from seventh to ninth (46 league matches played).

Chesterfield move up from seventh to sixth (46 league matches played).

It is Chesterfield’s first win over Swindon Town since 24 February 2018, after three meetings without one (the 5 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Swindon Town are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Chesterfield are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dilan Markanday (Chesterfield) 9.5, Armando Dobra (Chesterfield) 9.4 and Ryan Stirk (Chesterfield) 5.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Swindon Town are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Chesterfield.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Chesterfield to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Swindon Town next host Grimsby on 14 November 2026.

Chesterfield next travel to Bristol Rovers on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Swindon Town: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Chesterfield: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Swindon Town 1–2 Chesterfield · League Two
  • Referee: S. Oldham
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Swindon Town 2 · draws 2 · Chesterfield 1 · 2.6 goals/game
  • Recent form: Swindon Town 1W 2D 2L · Chesterfield 3W 2D 0L

Swindon Town 1–2 Chesterfield (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.63 / 7.25
Corners
against 8.25 / 3.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 3
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.13 / 1.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.91 yellows
Referee · S. Oldham
21.18 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSwindon Town for / againstLineChesterfield for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 8.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
7.75 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.63 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: S. Oldham — 3.91 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 21.18 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Swindon Town

Swindon Town Goalkeeper

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Ripley47894190 min1222.6 /90621.3 /9010 /90
Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 890
3.97/5

Swindon Town Defensive

Swindon Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Wright35802806 min551.8 /90311 /90210.7 /901504.8 /90220.7 /9050.2 /90
Joel McGregor32591882 min592.8 /90321.5 /9040.2 /901768.4 /90241.1 /9050.2 /90
R. Tafazolli22751644 min221.2 /90221.2 /90311.7 /901628.9 /9070.4 /9030.2 /90
Filozofe Mabete22551219 min241.8 /90201.5 /90100.7 /90695.1 /90151.1 /9030.2 /90
B. Kirkman959533 min203.4 /90111.9 /9061 /90376.2 /9091.5 /9020.3 /90
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Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
0.73/1
14/1
—
O. Palmer n 853.4
1.14/1
1.55/2
—
A. Drinan n 885.6
0.52/2
0.42/1
L. Bonis
T. Nichols n 858.4
15/0
14/1
—
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Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
2.88/7
O. Palmer n 853.4
0.63/0
A. Drinan n 885.6
00/0
T. Nichols n 858.4
3.17/4
D. Oldaker n 878.9
1.98/3
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Swindon Town Attacking

Swindon Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Palmer41612519 min90.3 /9020.1 /90521.9 /90311.1 /90291 /90240.9 /90
G. Kilkenny41843453 min10 /9010 /90200.5 /9070.2 /90270.7 /90240.6 /90
A. Drinan40853413 min220.6 /9040.1 /90731.9 /90441.2 /90280.7 /90230.6 /90
T. Nichols39692703 min10 /9000 /90100.3 /9050.2 /90170.6 /90200.7 /90
D. Oldaker37702576 min10 /9050.2 /90200.7 /9070.2 /90250.9 /90240.8 /90
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Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
0.32/0
00/0
O. Palmer n 853.4
1.96/2
1.34/1
A. Drinan n 885.6
1.26/3
0.74/1
T. Nichols n 858.4
0.21/0
00/0
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Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.32/0
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
00/0
00/0
O. Palmer n 853.4
0.21/0
00/0
A. Drinan n 885.6
0.43/0
00/0
T. Nichols n 858.4
00/0
00/0
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Chesterfield

Chesterfield Goalkeeper

Chesterfield — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Hemming40903600 min942.4 /90561.4 /9020.1 /90
Chesterfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Hemming n 890
2.17/3

Chesterfield Defensive

Chesterfield — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. McFadzean38873301 min531.4 /90361 /90180.5 /902306.3 /90571.6 /90100.3 /90
C. Dunkley30872613 min230.8 /90270.9 /90180.6 /902388.2 /90421.4 /9060.2 /90
L. Gordon29812339 min421.6 /90251 /90100.4 /90943.6 /9080.3 /9030.1 /90
Devan Austin Tanton Pedraza15681015 min211.9 /90111 /9050.4 /90494.3 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90
A. Lewis848381 min81.9 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90204.7 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
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Chesterfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Bonis n 859.6
2.16/4
0.62/1
A. Drinan
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
T. Naylor n 874.1
0.83/1
0.64/0
—
D. Markanday n 862.6
0.42/0
1.14/2
—
K. McFadzean n 875.1
2.48/5
0.94/2
—
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Chesterfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Bonis n 859.6
0.63/0
T. Naylor n 874.1
0.32/0
D. Markanday n 862.6
2.25/2
K. McFadzean n 875.1
1.25/2
R. Stirk n 875.3
1.66/2
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Chesterfield Attacking

Chesterfield — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Bonis46612802 min130.4 /9020.1 /90622 /90381.2 /90180.6 /9080.3 /90
W. Grigg26431126 min40.3 /9030.2 /90201.6 /90121 /90121 /9020.2 /90
T. Naylor40763054 min80.2 /9010 /90320.9 /90130.4 /90250.7 /9070.2 /90
D. Markanday39692701 min70.2 /9050.2 /90301 /90160.5 /90391.3 /90571.9 /90
R. Stirk38833155 min10 /9010 /90110.3 /9040.1 /90210.6 /90130.4 /90
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Chesterfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Bonis n 859.6
1.95/2
1.13/2
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Naylor n 874.1
1.55/3
0.31/1
D. Markanday n 862.6
1.14/1
0.73/1
K. McFadzean n 875.1
0.93/2
00/0
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Chesterfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Bonis n 859.6
0.62/1
00/0
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Naylor n 874.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Markanday n 862.6
00/0
0.21/0
K. McFadzean n 875.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Swindon TownChesterfield
50%Possession50%
2.30Expected goals (xG)1.60
13Shots11
7Shots on target3
4Shots off target5
2Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box6
8Corners3
1Offsides1
11Fouls9
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves5
353Passes366
66%Pass accuracy66%

Swindon Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Ripley9000000006.9
R. Tafazolli9000110106.3
Joel McGregor9000000206.7
Jake Thomas Batty9000001307.5
A. Drinan9001101106.7
F. Holman9000110406.6
B. Middlemas76103100Y7.3
T. Wilson-Brown71000002Y6.7
J. Hoilett71000012Y7.2
Jamie Knight-Lebel4500000006.3
T. Nichols4500000206.5
Aidan Borland sub4500001106.6
M. Olakigbe sub4500001006.7
J. Snowdon sub1900101206.6
O. Palmer sub1900331007.3
D. Oldaker sub1400110006.9

Chesterfield Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Boot9000000008.9
S. Curtis9000000206.9
S. Swinkels9000000007.9
L. Gordon9000002006.5
R. Stirk90001005Y6.9
D. Markanday9010321507.7
S. Braybrooke8900200307
A. Dobra8902102107.3
L. Bonis89101120Y6.5
L. Mandeville7000002106.3
K. McFadzean4500000106.3
J. Donacien sub4500000206.6
T. Naylor sub2000000106.6
J. Berry-McNally sub10000000–
William Dickson sub10000000–
W. Grigg sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Swindon Town v Chesterfield — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Swindon TownDWLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
ChesterfieldWDWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Swindon Town 2 · 2 draws · Chesterfield 1 · 2.6 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Chesterfield 1–2 Swindon Town
  • 2025-02-22 Swindon Town 1–0 Chesterfield
  • 2024-08-09 Chesterfield 1–1 Swindon Town
  • 2018-02-24 Chesterfield 2–1 Swindon Town
  • 2017-11-11 Swindon Town 2–2 Chesterfield
League standing · 2025/26
Swindon Town#9 pos75 pts46 pl+11 GD
Chesterfield#6 pos79 pts46 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Swindon Town scored1.52
Chesterfield scored1.54
Swindon Town conceded1.28
Chesterfield conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Swindon Town v Chesterfield?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Swindon Town v Chesterfield was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Chesterfield?
In their last 5 meetings, Swindon Town won 2, Chesterfield won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Swindon Town and Chesterfield?
Recent form — Swindon Town 1W 2D 2L; Chesterfield 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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