Swindon Town v Crawley Town prediction

League Two · · County Ground

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Swindon Town v Crawley Town, League Two on Fri, 01 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Swindon Town host Crawley Town in League Two on Friday 1 January (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Crawley Town are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Swindon Town’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Swindon Town’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Swindon Town have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.14. Swindon Town have scored 13 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Swindon Town have conceded 16 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Seven of Crawley Town’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Crawley Town’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Crawley Town have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.63. Crawley Town have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Crawley Town have conceded 20 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Swindon Town (15th) and Crawley Town (24th) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Swindon Town the stronger side, 233 rating points above Crawley Town (Swindon Town 1465, Crawley Town 1232, after at least 372 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Crawley Town 2–2 Swindon Town.

Team news

Predicted Swindon Town XI (4-3-3): C. Ripley, S. Negru, K. Majekodunmi, D. Butler, J. Ball, A. Munda, J. Thomson, O. Clarke, A. Drinan, A. Hackford, J. Hungbo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Billy Kirkman (4.8 per match over 10 appearances) and Aaron Drinan (4.7 per match over 13 appearances, eight goals and one assist) have been Swindon Town’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Swindon Town (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Billy Kirkman averages 4.9 tackles per 90 over 642 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Aaron Drinan averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1136 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Crawley Town XI (4-4-2): V. Mannone, P. Farquharson, C. Barker, A. Odimayo, J. Russell, J. Arthurs, O. Kamara, A. Adeyemo, K. Jennings, D. Orsi, D. Morgan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ade Adeyemo (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and Dylan Morgan (4.0 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Crawley Town’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crawley Town (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ade Adeyemo averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 990 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Dylan Morgan averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 372 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · County Ground
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Swindon Town 3 · draws 1 · Crawley Town 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Swindon Town 1W 2D 2L · Crawley Town 0W 1D 4L

Swindon Town v Crawley Town (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.13
Corners
against 8.5 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 6.75 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.5
Cards
against 0.38 / 2.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSwindon Town for / againstLineCrawley Town for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 8.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 17 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 16 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 6.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 6.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 0.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
Swindon Town
Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Debayo n 817.9
3.83/2
0.61/0
—
J. Ball n 844.9
2.35/3
0.52/0
—
B. Middlemas n 858.8
1.96/2
14/1
—
A. Munda n 881.6
1.77/3
0.74/1
—
O. Clarke n 864.4
1.64/2
0.94/1
—
Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hungbo n 844.3
3.15/4
0.83/0
A. Drinan n 885.9
38/6
1.47/2
J. Snowdon n 845.1
1.74/2
13/1
O. Clarke n 864.4
1.65/3
0.21/0
B. Middlemas n 858.8
1.14/1
0.63/0
Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Drinan n 885.9
0.83/2
0.11/0
J. Hungbo n 844.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
B. Middlemas n 858.8
0.42/0
00/0
J. Pearman n 640
00/0
0.41/0
L. Millard n 827.4
0.41/0
00/0
Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Kirkman n 857.8
5.56/4
J. Debayo n 817.9
4.44/2
Jack Thomson n 887
2.88/6
A. Munda n 881.6
2.86/6
O. Clarke n 864.4
2.85/3
Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 890
5.48/8
Crawley Town
Crawley Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nathan Tinsdale n 743.7
2.63/2
0.62/0
—
P. Aderoju n 846.3
2.45/4
3.67/4
—
Johnny Russell n 847
1.96/1
2.65/3
—
P. Farquharson n 885
1.25/3
1.26/3
—
A. Adeyemo n 882.6
1.27/2
0.54/0
—
Crawley Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Morgan n 574.4
2.25/2
0.52/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
G. Di Biase n 831.9
1.84/1
1.12/1
D. Orsi n 847.5
1.75/2
0.93/1
P. Aderoju n 846.3
1.74/2
0.72/1
Crawley Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Orsi n 847.5
0.52/0
0.21/0
G. Di Biase n 831.9
0.71/1
00/0
P. Aderoju n 846.3
0.52/0
00/0
D. Morgan n 574.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Watson n 856
0.21/0
0.21/0
Crawley Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kai Jennings n 852.9
2.85/3
Nathan Tinsdale n 743.7
2.63/3
A. Odimayo n 861.5
2.45/4
J. Arthurs n 890
2.37/4
Osman Kamara n 868.9
2.16/5
Crawley Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Mannone n 886.8
3.96/5
N. Michalski n 682.5
3.55/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Swindon Town v Crawley Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Swindon TownDLLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Crawley TownLLDLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Swindon Town 3 · 1 draw · Crawley Town 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-03-07 Crawley Town 2–2 Swindon Town
  • 2025-12-20 Swindon Town 1–0 Crawley Town
  • 2024-08-13 Crawley Town 4–2 Swindon Town
  • 2024-01-01 Crawley Town 3–1 Swindon Town
  • 2023-08-26 Swindon Town 6–0 Crawley Town
  • 2023-05-08 Swindon Town 2–1 Crawley Town
League standing · 2026/27
Swindon Town#15 pos15 pts12 pl-3 GD
Crawley Town#24 pos5 pts10 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Swindon Town scored1.08
Crawley Town scored1.1
Swindon Town conceded1.33
Crawley Town conceded2

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Crawley Town?
In their last 6 meetings, Swindon Town won 3, Crawley Town won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Swindon Town and Crawley Town?
Recent form — Swindon Town 1W 2D 2L; Crawley Town 0W 1D 4L.

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