Swindon TownShrewsbury

Swindon Town v Shrewsbury result

Full-time · Swindon Town 2–1 Shrewsbury

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Swindon Town · Shrewsbury

The model’s pre-match pick

Swindon Town 2–1 Shrewsbury — Swindon Town won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1761 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Swindon Town beat Shrewsbury 2–1 in League Two on Saturday 23 August. Shrewsbury are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Swindon Town led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Swindon Town: Aaron Drinan (7’, assisted by Paul Glatzel) and B. Bodin (90’, assisted by G. Kilkenny); Shrewsbury: C. Stewart (90’, assisted by William Boyle).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Stewart’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Swindon Town 0.00, Shrewsbury 0.00, from 15 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

L. Swabey showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Swindon Town: Connor Ripley (90+6’); Shrewsbury: M. Benning (35’) and Thomas Sang (45+3’).

What it changes

Swindon Town move up from 12th to eighth (five league matches played). Swindon Town have scored 66 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game). Swindon Town have conceded 53 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs.

Shrewsbury stay 23rd after this result (five league matches played). Shrewsbury have scored 40 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game). Shrewsbury have conceded 67 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Stewart (Shrewsbury) 7.7, G. Kilkenny (Swindon Town) 6.5 and Paul Glatzel (Swindon Town) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Swindon Town or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1348 of 1761).

Next up

Swindon Town next host Grimsby on 14 November 2026.

Shrewsbury next host Oldham on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Swindon Town: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Shrewsbury: Shrewsbury v Oldham, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Swindon Town 2–1 Shrewsbury · League Two
  • Referee: L. Swabey
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Swindon Town 0 · draws 1 · Shrewsbury 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Swindon Town 2W 0D 3L · Shrewsbury 0W 1D 4L

Swindon Town 2–1 Shrewsbury (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.71
Corners
against 5 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.25 / 2.86
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 5.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.75 / 3.43
Cards
against 2.5 / 1.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSwindon Town for / againstLineShrewsbury for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.71 for · 4.71 against n 7
Shots
11.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
19.5standard
8.29 for · 14.86 against n 7
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
2.86 for · 5.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.43 for · 10.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3.43 for · 1.14 against n 7

Referee: L. Swabey.

Swindon Town

Swindon Town Defensive

Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Smith n 884.5
1.78/4
1.36/4
—
C. Ripley n 885
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
W. Wright n 884.4
0.73/2
1.25/3
T. Anderson
Finley Munroe n 580.8
1.85/2
1.34/1
S. Clucas
D. Oldaker n 576.8
0.52/0
1.24/1
J. Marquis
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Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Smith n 884.5
0.75/0
C. Ripley n 885
00/0
W. Wright n 884.4
1.57/3
Finley Munroe n 580.8
2.54/4
D. Oldaker n 576.8
0.93/1
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Swindon Town Attacking

Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Smith n 884.5
1.57/3
0.74/1
C. Ripley n 885
00/0
00/0
W. Wright n 884.4
0.94/1
0.42/1
Finley Munroe n 580.8
0.42/0
00/0
D. Oldaker n 576.8
0.52/0
0.21/0
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Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Smith n 884.5
0.11/0
00/0
C. Ripley n 885
00/0
00/0
W. Wright n 884.4
0.32/0
00/0
Finley Munroe n 580.8
00/0
0.21/0
D. Oldaker n 576.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury Defensive

Shrewsbury — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Anderson n 590
13/2
0.84/0
W. Wright
S. Clucas n 582.6
1.34/2
0.93/1
Finley Munroe
J. Marquis n 881.5
1.87/5
2.27/5
D. Oldaker
L. Hoole n 879
1.15/3
0.43/0
—
T. Perry n 867.8
2.26/3
2.38/4
—
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Shrewsbury — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Anderson n 590
24/4
S. Clucas n 582.6
2.44/3
J. Marquis n 881.5
0.83/1
L. Hoole n 879
3.18/6
T. Perry n 867.8
3.28/5
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Shrewsbury Attacking

Shrewsbury — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Anderson n 590
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Clucas n 582.6
0.21/0
00/0
J. Marquis n 881.5
1.47/3
1.15/3
L. Hoole n 879
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Perry n 867.8
0.82/1
0.31/1
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Shrewsbury — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Anderson n 590
00/0
00/0
S. Clucas n 582.6
00/0
00/0
J. Marquis n 881.5
0.63/1
00/0
L. Hoole n 879
00/0
0.11/0
T. Perry n 867.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Swindon TownShrewsbury
57%Possession43%
15Shots10
7Shots on target3
3Shots off target5
5Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box10
5Corners2
11Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves5
437Passes318
76%Pass accuracy63%

Swindon Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Ripley90000001Y7.2
W. Wright9000220106.9
T. Wilson-Brown9000000107.3
T. Nichols9000113207
G. Kilkenny9001002407.3
Finley Munroe9000100206.3
Filozofe Mabete8200000006.9
J. Snowdon8200001106.7
P. Glatzel8201113107.3
D. Oldaker6900000106.6
A. Drinan6910320007.3
B. Bodin sub2210111007.2
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan sub2100000006.3
B. Kirkman sub900000006.6
Joel McGregor sub900002006.5
D. Butterworth sub900100006.2

Shrewsbury Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Elyh Harrison9000000006.9
S. Stubbs9000000207.9
T. Anderson9000000006.6
T. Sang90001112Y6.9
S. Clucas9000101307.3
J. Marquis9000002006.2
T. Perry8600110306.6
A. Nsiala5900000106.3
L. Hoole5800100106.3
M. Benning58000010Y6.2
G. Lloyd2800000006.5
C. Stewart sub6310311307.2
W. Boyle sub3301002006.9
Isaac England sub3300000106.3
H. Biggins sub3200000107
A. Scully sub1300100106.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Swindon Town v Shrewsbury — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Swindon TownLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
ShrewsburyDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Swindon Town 0 · 1 draw · Shrewsbury 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2021-02-06 Swindon Town 0–1 Shrewsbury
  • 2020-11-14 Shrewsbury 3–3 Swindon Town
League standing · 2025/26
Swindon Town#9 pos75 pts46 pl+11 GD
Shrewsbury#19 pos49 pts46 pl-27 GD
Goals per game
Swindon Town scored1.52
Shrewsbury scored0.91
Swindon Town conceded1.28
Shrewsbury conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Swindon Town v Shrewsbury?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Swindon Town v Shrewsbury was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Shrewsbury?
In their last 2 meetings, Swindon Town won 0, Shrewsbury won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Swindon Town and Shrewsbury?
Recent form — Swindon Town 2W 0D 3L; Shrewsbury 0W 1D 4L.

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