Swindon TownWalsall

Swindon Town v Walsall result

Full-time · Swindon Town 2–1 Walsall

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Swindon Town 2–1 Walsall — Swindon Town won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Swindon Town beat Walsall 2–1 in League Two on Monday 6 April. Swindon Town have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Walsall: Jamie Jellis (66’); Swindon Town: F. Holman (81’) and Aaron Drinan (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Aaron Drinan’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Walsall out-shot Swindon Town 11 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.57 xG to 0.51 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

E. Swallow showed two yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Swindon Town: Oliver Clarke (80’); Walsall: Aden Flint (88’).

What it changes

Swindon Town move up from fifth to fourth (42 league matches played). Swindon Town have scored 70 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Swindon Town have conceded 59 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs.

Walsall move down from 11th to 12th (42 league matches played). Walsall have scored 56 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Walsall have conceded 56 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Swindon Town are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Walsall are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Holman (Swindon Town) 7.9, Joel McGregor (Swindon Town) 6.3 and Jake Thomas Batty (Swindon Town) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Swindon Town or Walsall (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Swindon Town next host Grimsby on 14 November 2026.

Walsall next host Barnet on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Swindon Town: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Walsall: Walsall v Barnet, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Swindon Town 2–1 Walsall · League Two
  • Referee: E. Swallow
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Swindon Town 2 · draws 1 · Walsall 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Swindon Town 2W 2D 1L · Walsall 2W 3D 0L

Swindon Town 2–1 Walsall (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 4.88
Corners
against 7 / 5.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.33 yellows
Referee · E. Swallow
25.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSwindon Town for / againstLineWalsall for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 7 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 9.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.88 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: E. Swallow — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Swindon Town

Swindon Town Goalkeeper

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Ripley43893830 min1072.5 /90521.2 /9010 /90
Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 890
2.96/4

Swindon Town Defensive

Swindon Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Wright33802642 min521.8 /90291 /90180.6 /901434.9 /90190.6 /9050.2 /90
Joel McGregor29571657 min502.7 /90291.6 /9040.2 /901568.5 /90201.1 /9040.2 /90
R. Tafazolli21741554 min211.2 /90221.3 /90311.8 /901538.9 /9070.4 /9030.2 /90
Filozofe Mabete19561068 min211.8 /90181.5 /9090.8 /90625.2 /90131.1 /9020.2 /90
B. Kirkman959533 min203.4 /90111.9 /9061 /90376.2 /9091.5 /9020.3 /90
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Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
0.73/1
14/1
—
O. Palmer n 851.3
1.55/2
1.35/1
—
A. Drinan n 890
1.34/4
0.84/2
—
T. Nichols n 867.6
1.36/2
14/1
—
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Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
2.88/7
O. Palmer n 851.3
0.94/0
A. Drinan n 890
0.11/0
T. Nichols n 867.6
3.57/5
D. Oldaker n 873.1
1.56/2
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Swindon Town Attacking

Swindon Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Palmer37622295 min80.3 /9020.1 /90461.8 /90261 /90271.1 /90240.9 /90
G. Kilkenny41843453 min10 /9010 /90200.5 /9070.2 /90270.7 /90240.6 /90
A. Drinan36863088 min200.6 /9040.1 /90702 /90411.2 /90270.8 /90210.6 /90
T. Nichols36712538 min10 /9000 /90100.4 /9050.2 /90170.6 /90170.6 /90
D. Oldaker34702380 min10 /9050.2 /90200.8 /9070.3 /90220.8 /90230.9 /90
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Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
0.32/0
00/0
O. Palmer n 851.3
25/2
0.92/1
A. Drinan n 890
2.38/6
16/2
T. Nichols n 867.6
0.32/0
00/0
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Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.11/0
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
00/0
00/0
O. Palmer n 851.3
0.21/0
00/0
A. Drinan n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Nichols n 867.6
00/0
00/0
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Walsall

Walsall Goalkeeper

Walsall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Roberts41893646 min1092.7 /90431.1 /9010 /90
Walsall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Roberts n 884.5
1.95/2

Walsall Defensive

Walsall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Flint42873673 min380.9 /90270.7 /90290.7 /902656.5 /90230.6 /9060.1 /90
E. Weir33882896 min300.9 /90321 /90140.4 /901294 /90190.6 /9030.1 /90
P. Farquharson25711765 min231.2 /90392 /90140.7 /901266.4 /90191 /9030.2 /90
Rico Browne19781485 min321.9 /90150.9 /9050.3 /901096.6 /90221.3 /9020.1 /90
C. Lakin39662580 min692.4 /90240.8 /9060.2 /901264.4 /90321.1 /9030.1 /90
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Walsall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Flint n 876.6
0.11/0
1.56/4
—
M. Roberts n 884.5
0.11/0
00/0
—
C. Lakin n 875.8
1.55/4
0.63/1
—
D. Kanu n 873.4
0.63/1
1.45/3
—
A. Pressley n 860.8
0.21/0
1.53/1
—
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Walsall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Flint n 876.6
1.34/4
C. Lakin n 875.8
3.47/6
D. Kanu n 873.4
0.31/1
A. Pressley n 860.8
0.21/0
B. Comley n 888.4
1.87/5
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Walsall Attacking

Walsall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Kanu38793018 min170.5 /9030.1 /90762.3 /90451.3 /90160.5 /90260.8 /90
A. Pressley35662323 min70.3 /9020.1 /90311.2 /90140.5 /90230.9 /90100.4 /90
A. Adomah2437884 min30.3 /9020.2 /90151.5 /9080.8 /90111.1 /90121.2 /90
J. Matt2050992 min30.3 /9020.2 /90141.3 /9070.6 /9070.6 /9030.3 /90
C. Lakin39662580 min10 /9020.1 /90220.8 /90110.4 /90311.1 /90170.6 /90
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Walsall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Flint n 876.6
0.95/1
0.11/0
M. Roberts n 884.5
00/0
00/0
C. Lakin n 875.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
D. Kanu n 873.4
2.68/5
1.15/2
A. Pressley n 860.8
1.15/1
0.42/0
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Walsall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Flint n 876.6
00/0
00/0
M. Roberts n 884.5
00/0
00/0
C. Lakin n 875.8
00/0
0.11/0
D. Kanu n 873.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
A. Pressley n 860.8
0.42/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Swindon TownWalsall
55%Possession45%
0.51Expected goals (xG)1.57
7Shots11
2Shots on target2
4Shots off target6
1Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box9
4Corners8
5Offsides1
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves0
400Passes305
69%Pass accuracy62%

Swindon Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Ripley9001001007.2
Joel McGregor9000100806.6
Jamie Knight-Lebel9000000206.9
R. Tafazolli9000001107
Jake Thomas Batty9000001407.7
A. Drinan9010111007.6
Aidan Borland8500100306.9
D. Oldaker7400000207
B. Bodin6600100106.3
J. Ball6500000006.5
J. Hoilett6500000406.6
O. Palmer sub2500000006.9
M. Olakigbe sub2500001106.3
F. Holman sub2411211008.2
O. Clarke sub16000000Y6.3
T. Nichols sub1600000006.3

Walsall Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Roberts9000000005.2
A. Flint90001001Y5.9
K. Łopata9000100006.3
M. Hancock9000001206.5
B. Comley9000100106.9
C. Lakin9000000106.5
A. Adomah9000002106.7
D. Kanu9000200105.7
C. Barrett7900000206.5
A. Loupalo-Bi6901111106.2
A. Chang6300101006.5
Jamie Jellis sub2710112008.5
A. Pressley sub2100000006.5
V. Harper sub1100000105.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Swindon Town v Walsall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Swindon TownLWWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
WalsallWDWDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Swindon Town 2 · 1 draw · Walsall 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-08-02 Walsall 2–1 Swindon Town
  • 2025-03-01 Walsall 0–1 Swindon Town
  • 2024-08-17 Swindon Town 0–4 Walsall
  • 2024-04-16 Walsall 2–1 Swindon Town
  • 2023-09-16 Swindon Town 2–0 Walsall
  • 2023-03-14 Walsall 0–0 Swindon Town
League standing · 2025/26
Swindon Town#9 pos75 pts46 pl+11 GD
Walsall#13 pos65 pts46 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Swindon Town scored1.52
Walsall scored1.22
Swindon Town conceded1.28
Walsall conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Swindon Town v Walsall?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Swindon Town v Walsall was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Walsall?
In their last 6 meetings, Swindon Town won 2, Walsall won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Swindon Town and Walsall?
Recent form — Swindon Town 2W 2D 1L; Walsall 2W 3D 0L.

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