Swindon Town v Walsall result
Team pages: Swindon Town · Walsall · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Swindon Town 2–1 Walsall — Swindon Town won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Swindon Town beat Walsall 2–1 in League Two on Monday 6 April. Swindon Town have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Walsall: Jamie Jellis (66’); Swindon Town: F. Holman (81’) and Aaron Drinan (90’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Aaron Drinan’s goal on 90 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Walsall out-shot Swindon Town 11 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.57 xG to 0.51 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
Discipline
E. Swallow showed two yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Swindon Town: Oliver Clarke (80’); Walsall: Aden Flint (88’).
What it changes
Swindon Town move up from fifth to fourth (42 league matches played). Swindon Town have scored 70 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Swindon Town have conceded 59 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs.
Walsall move down from 11th to 12th (42 league matches played). Walsall have scored 56 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Walsall have conceded 56 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Swindon Town are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Walsall are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Holman (Swindon Town) 7.9, Joel McGregor (Swindon Town) 6.3 and Jake Thomas Batty (Swindon Town) 5.8 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Swindon Town or Walsall (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).
Next up
Swindon Town next host Grimsby on 14 November 2026.
Walsall next host Barnet on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Swindon Town: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Walsall: Walsall v Barnet, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Swindon Town 2–1 Walsall · League Two
- Referee: E. Swallow
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Swindon Town 2 · draws 1 · Walsall 3 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Swindon Town 2W 2D 1L · Walsall 2W 3D 0L
Swindon Town 2–1 Walsall (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Swindon Town for / against | Line | Walsall for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.38 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.13 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.88 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.63 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.88 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: E. Swallow — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.67 fouls over 6 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Swindon Town
Swindon Town Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ripley | 43 | 893830 min | 1072.5 /90 | 521.2 /90 | 10 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Ripley n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
Swindon Town Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Wright | 33 | 802642 min | 521.8 /90 | 291 /90 | 180.6 /90 | 1434.9 /90 | 190.6 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| Joel McGregor | 29 | 571657 min | 502.7 /90 | 291.6 /90 | 40.2 /90 | 1568.5 /90 | 201.1 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| R. Tafazolli | 21 | 741554 min | 211.2 /90 | 221.3 /90 | 311.8 /90 | 1538.9 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| Filozofe Mabete | 19 | 561068 min | 211.8 /90 | 181.5 /90 | 90.8 /90 | 625.2 /90 | 131.1 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| B. Kirkman | 9 | 59533 min | 203.4 /90 | 111.9 /90 | 61 /90 | 376.2 /90 | 91.5 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ripley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| G. Kilkenny n 8 | 81.5 | 0.7 | 1 | — |
| O. Palmer n 8 | 51.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Drinan n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 0.8 | — |
| T. Nichols n 8 | 67.6 | 1.3 | 1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Kilkenny n 8 | 81.5 | 2.8 |
| O. Palmer n 8 | 51.3 | 0.9 |
| A. Drinan n 8 | 90 | 0.1 |
| T. Nichols n 8 | 67.6 | 3.5 |
| D. Oldaker n 8 | 73.1 | 1.5 |
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Swindon Town Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Palmer | 37 | 622295 min | 80.3 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 461.8 /90 | 261 /90 | 271.1 /90 | 240.9 /90 |
| G. Kilkenny | 41 | 843453 min | 10 /90 | 10 /90 | 200.5 /90 | 70.2 /90 | 270.7 /90 | 240.6 /90 |
| A. Drinan | 36 | 863088 min | 200.6 /90 | 40.1 /90 | 702 /90 | 411.2 /90 | 270.8 /90 | 210.6 /90 |
| T. Nichols | 36 | 712538 min | 10 /90 | 00 /90 | 100.4 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 170.6 /90 | 170.6 /90 |
| D. Oldaker | 34 | 702380 min | 10 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 200.8 /90 | 70.3 /90 | 220.8 /90 | 230.9 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ripley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Kilkenny n 8 | 81.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| O. Palmer n 8 | 51.3 | 2 | 0.9 |
| A. Drinan n 8 | 90 | 2.3 | 1 |
| T. Nichols n 8 | 67.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ripley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| G. Kilkenny n 8 | 81.5 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Palmer n 8 | 51.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| A. Drinan n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| T. Nichols n 8 | 67.6 | 0 | 0 |
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Walsall
Walsall Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Roberts | 41 | 893646 min | 1092.7 /90 | 431.1 /90 | 10 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Roberts n 8 | 84.5 | 1.9 |
Walsall Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Flint | 42 | 873673 min | 380.9 /90 | 270.7 /90 | 290.7 /90 | 2656.5 /90 | 230.6 /90 | 60.1 /90 |
| E. Weir | 33 | 882896 min | 300.9 /90 | 321 /90 | 140.4 /90 | 1294 /90 | 190.6 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| P. Farquharson | 25 | 711765 min | 231.2 /90 | 392 /90 | 140.7 /90 | 1266.4 /90 | 191 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| Rico Browne | 19 | 781485 min | 321.9 /90 | 150.9 /90 | 50.3 /90 | 1096.6 /90 | 221.3 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| C. Lakin | 39 | 662580 min | 692.4 /90 | 240.8 /90 | 60.2 /90 | 1264.4 /90 | 321.1 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Flint n 8 | 76.6 | 0.1 | 1.5 | — |
| M. Roberts n 8 | 84.5 | 0.1 | 0 | — |
| C. Lakin n 8 | 75.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | — |
| D. Kanu n 8 | 73.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | — |
| A. Pressley n 8 | 60.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Flint n 8 | 76.6 | 1.3 |
| C. Lakin n 8 | 75.8 | 3.4 |
| D. Kanu n 8 | 73.4 | 0.3 |
| A. Pressley n 8 | 60.8 | 0.2 |
| B. Comley n 8 | 88.4 | 1.8 |
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Walsall Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kanu | 38 | 793018 min | 170.5 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 762.3 /90 | 451.3 /90 | 160.5 /90 | 260.8 /90 |
| A. Pressley | 35 | 662323 min | 70.3 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 311.2 /90 | 140.5 /90 | 230.9 /90 | 100.4 /90 |
| A. Adomah | 24 | 37884 min | 30.3 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 151.5 /90 | 80.8 /90 | 111.1 /90 | 121.2 /90 |
| J. Matt | 20 | 50992 min | 30.3 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 141.3 /90 | 70.6 /90 | 70.6 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| C. Lakin | 39 | 662580 min | 10 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 220.8 /90 | 110.4 /90 | 311.1 /90 | 170.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Flint n 8 | 76.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| M. Roberts n 8 | 84.5 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Lakin n 8 | 75.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| D. Kanu n 8 | 73.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| A. Pressley n 8 | 60.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Flint n 8 | 76.6 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Roberts n 8 | 84.5 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Lakin n 8 | 75.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| D. Kanu n 8 | 73.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| A. Pressley n 8 | 60.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Swindon Town | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| 55% | Possession | 45% |
| 0.51 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.57 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 5 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 400 | Passes | 305 |
| 69% | Pass accuracy | 62% |
Swindon Town Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ripley | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Joel McGregor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Tafazolli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Jake Thomas Batty | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.7 |
| A. Drinan | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Aidan Borland | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Oldaker | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| B. Bodin | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Ball | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Hoilett | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.6 |
| O. Palmer sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Olakigbe sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| F. Holman sub | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| O. Clarke sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| T. Nichols sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Walsall Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Roberts | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 |
| A. Flint | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 5.9 |
| K. Łopata | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Hancock | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| B. Comley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Lakin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Adomah | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Kanu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.7 |
| C. Barrett | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Loupalo-Bi | 69 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Chang | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Jamie Jellis sub | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 |
| A. Pressley sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| V. Harper sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Swindon Town v Walsall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-02 Walsall 2–1 Swindon Town
- 2025-03-01 Walsall 0–1 Swindon Town
- 2024-08-17 Swindon Town 0–4 Walsall
- 2024-04-16 Walsall 2–1 Swindon Town
- 2023-09-16 Swindon Town 2–0 Walsall
- 2023-03-14 Walsall 0–0 Swindon Town
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Swindon Town v Walsall?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Swindon Town v Walsall was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Walsall?
- In their last 6 meetings, Swindon Town won 2, Walsall won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Swindon Town and Walsall?
- Recent form — Swindon Town 2W 2D 1L; Walsall 2W 3D 0L.
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