Walsall v Grimsby result

Full-time · Walsall 0–1 Grimsby

League Two · Tue, 19 Aug 2025 20:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Walsall · Grimsby · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Walsall 0–1 Grimsby — Grimsby won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.8–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby won 1–0 at Walsall in League Two on Tuesday 19 August. Grimsby are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Grimsby: E. Khouri (68’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with E. Khouri’s goal on 68 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Walsall 0.00, Grimsby 0.00, from 11 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Corlett showed four yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Walsall: D. Cox (75’) and M. Roberts (90+6’); Grimsby: Jayden Sweeney (32’) and George McEachran (89’).

What it changes

Walsall move down from fifth to 11th (four league matches played).

Grimsby move up from fourth to second (four league matches played).

Grimsby have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kieran Green (Grimsby) 6.2, Connor Barrett (Walsall) 4.9 and E. Khouri (Grimsby) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Grimsby, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (923 of 1371).

Next up

Walsall next host Oldham on 20 October 2026.

Grimsby next travel to Rochdale on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Walsall: Walsall v Oldham, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Rochdale v Grimsby, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Walsall 0–1 Grimsby · League Two
Referee: M. Corlett
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Walsall 2 · draws 2 · Grimsby 2 · 3.83 goals/game
Recent form: Walsall 2W 1D 2L · Grimsby 3W 1D 1L

Walsall 0–1 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.63

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 7

Corners

against 5.25 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.13 / 4

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 1.13

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4 yellows

Referee · M. Corlett

1.8 home / 2.2 away

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Walsall for / against	Line	Grimsby for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	8.25 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.88 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.13 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.75 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: M. Corlett — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 18.8 fouls over 5 matches (1.8 to the home side, 2.2 to the away side).

Home 1.8Away 2.2

Walsall

Walsall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Adomah n 8	25.1	3.6 5/3	0.4 1/0	—
J. Matt n 8	45	3.5 5/4	1.5 3/1	—
A. Pressley n 8	67.9	2.5 7/6	2 6/3	D. Burns
Rico Browne n 3	90	1.7 2/2	1.7 3/2	—
H. Williams n 8	83	1.6 6/3	0.4 3/0	—

Walsall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Pressley n 8	67.9	2.2 6/3	1.3 4/2
J. Stuttle n 4	44.3	1.5 2/1	1 2/0
G. Hall n 8	64.8	1.2 3/1	0.7 2/1
T. Allen n 8	88.9	1 5/2	0.1 1/0
A. Chang n 8	54.3	1 3/2	0.4 2/0

Walsall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Adomah n 8	25.1	0 0/0	0.9 1/1
A. Pressley n 8	67.9	0.7 3/1	0 0/0
C. Barrett n 8	57.5	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
C. Lakin n 8	46.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
M. Hancock n 3	88	0 0/0	0.3 1/0

Walsall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Comley n 8	55	3.3 6/2
C. Lakin n 8	46.3	3.2 5/3
A. Adomah n 8	25.1	3.1 6/1
N. Asiimwe n 8	87.9	2.8 7/6
C. Barrett n 8	57.5	2.7 5/3

Grimsby

Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jaze Kabia n 8	55.4	3.5 5/5	1.8 4/2	—
J. Walker n 8	31.9	3.5 5/3	3.2 5/2	—
Justin Amaluzor n 8	32	2.8 5/3	2.5 4/2	—
D. Burns n 8	43.8	1.5 4/2	2.6 5/3	A. Pressley
Cameron Gardner n 8	29.1	1.5 4/0	0.4 1/0	—

Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Justin Amaluzor n 8	32	2.5 4/1	1.8 4/1
C. Vernam n 8	54.6	2.1 6/3	1 5/0
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 8	56.4	2 5/2	1.6 5/2
J. Walker n 8	31.9	1.8 4/1	0.4 1/0
Luca Barrington n 8	64.3	1.6 5/2	1.1 4/2

Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Justin Amaluzor n 8	32	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
Cameron Gardner n 8	29.1	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
Luca Barrington n 8	64.3	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 8	56.4	0.6 3/0	0 0/0
Jaze Kabia n 8	55.4	0.6 3/0	0 0/0

Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Turi n 5	49.4	5.5 5/4
J. Walker n 8	31.9	3.9 4/3
G. McEachran n 8	85.4	3.2 7/5
T. Warren n 8	46.8	2.4 7/2
J. Svanþórsson n 8	79.6	2.3 8/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Walsall		Grimsby
46%	Possession	54%
11	Shots	15
2	Shots on target	5
6	Shots off target	6
3	Blocked shots	4
7	Shots inside the box	6
4	Corners	6
3	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	10
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
319	Passes	395
65%	Pass accuracy	71%

Walsall player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Roberts	90	0	0	0	0	Y	7.6
Harrison Burke	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
A. Flint	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
D. Cox	90	1	0	0	0	Y	6.2
C. Barrett	90	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
L. Warrington	90	1	1	0	1	0	6
Jamie Jellis	73	1	0	1	2	0	6.3
C. Lakin	72	3	1	0	1	0	6.3
A. Pressley	72	1	0	1	0	0	7.7
M. Hancock	55	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
J. Stuttle	37	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
A. Adomah sub	54	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
C. Clarke sub	36	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. Hollman sub	19	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. Matt sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
R. Finnigan sub	18	0	0	0	4	0	7.2

Grimsby player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Pym	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
H. Rodgers	90	0	1	0	1	2	0	7.2
D. Tharme	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
C. McJannet	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
J. Sweeney	90	0	0	0	0	1	Y	7.3
G. McEachran	90	0	2	0	0	3	Y	6.6
E. Khouri	90	1	2	1	0	1	0	7.3
K. Green	89	0	2	2	1	2	0	7.3
C. Vernam	82	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.9
D. Burns	77	0	2	0	3	1	0	7.2
Jaze Kabia	77	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.2
Cameron Gardner sub	14	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
Justin Amaluzor sub	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. Walker sub	9	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
T. Warren sub	8	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Walsall v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

WalsallLWLDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

GrimsbyLWDWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Walsall 2 · 2 draws · Grimsby 2 · 3.83 goals/game

2025-03-08 Walsall 1–3 Grimsby
2024-10-19 Grimsby 1–4 Walsall
2024-01-01 Grimsby 1–6 Walsall
2023-08-26 Walsall 1–1 Grimsby
2023-03-25 Grimsby 1–1 Walsall
2022-08-27 Walsall 1–2 Grimsby

League standing · 2025/26

Walsall#13 pos65 pts46 pl0 GD

Grimsby#7 pos78 pts46 pl+24 GD

Goals per game

Walsall scored1.22

Grimsby scored1.61

Walsall conceded1.22

Grimsby conceded1.09

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Walsall v Grimsby?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Walsall v Grimsby was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Walsall and Grimsby?: In their last 6 meetings, Walsall won 2, Grimsby won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Walsall and Grimsby?: Recent form — Walsall 2W 1D 2L; Grimsby 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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