Inter Miami v Orlando City SC result

Full-time · Inter Miami 3–1 Orlando City SC

Leagues Cup · · Chase Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter Miami 3–1 Orlando City SC — Inter Miami won this Leagues Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1490 landed (95% range 73–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Inter Miami beat Orlando City SC 3–1 at Chase Stadium in Leagues Cup on Thursday 28 August. Inter Miami have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Inter Miami came from behind: Orlando City SC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Orlando City SC: Marco Pasalic (45’, assisted by Luis Muriel); Inter Miami: L. Messi (77’ pen; 88’, assisted by Jordi Alba) and T. Segovia (90’, assisted by L. Suarez). David Brekalo (75’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Messi’s goal on 88 minutes.

What it changes

It is Inter Miami’s first win over Orlando City SC since 2 March 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Inter Miami are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Orlando City SC are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Inter Miami or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1122 of 1490).

Next up

Inter Miami next travel to New York Red Bulls on 24 October 2026.

Orlando City SC next host New York City FC on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter Miami: New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC v New York City FC, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Inter Miami 3–1 Orlando City SC · Leagues Cup
  • Venue: Chase Stadium · Fort Lauderdale, Florida
  • Referee: Walter Enrique López Ramos
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter Miami 2 · draws 2 · Orlando City SC 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter Miami 3W 1D 1L · Orlando City SC 3W 1D 1L

Inter Miami 3–1 Orlando City SC (Leagues Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.33 / 4.6
Corners
against 3.33 / 4.8 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
4.67 / 7.8
Shots on target
against 6.17 / 5.6 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.83 / 1.8
Cards
against 1.83 / 1.4 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameInter Miami for / againstLineOrlando City SC for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
7.33 for · 3.33 against n 6
9.5standard
4.6 for · 4.8 against n 5
Shots
16 for · 12.33 against n 6
19.5standard
17 for · 14 against n 5
Shots on target
4.67 for · 6.17 against n 6
8.5standard
7.8 for · 5.6 against n 5
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 10.5 against n 6
21.5standard
10.4 for · 12.8 against n 5
Cards shown
1.83 for · 1.83 against n 6
3.5standard
1.8 for · 1.4 against n 5
Inter Miami
Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Redondo n 851
2.45/4
25/3
—
Yannick Bright n 835.6
2.24/1
0.92/1
—
Baltasar Rodriguez n 825.1
2.23/1
1.83/1
—
I. Fray n 851.9
26/3
0.93/1
—
T. Segovia n 869.1
1.88/3
0.84/1
—
Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Suarez n 882.1
3.28/5
1.56/4
Baltasar Rodriguez n 825.1
3.14/2
1.33/0
L. Messi n 874.5
2.97/7
1.76/5
Fafà Picault n 843
1.84/2
13/1
T. Segovia n 869.1
1.34/3
14/1
Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Messi n 874.5
1.45/4
0.84/1
R. de Paul n 869.9
00/0
0.84/1
T. Segovia n 869.1
0.73/1
00/0
Jordi Alba n 889.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
Baltasar Rodriguez n 825.1
0.41/0
00/0
Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Yannick Bright n 835.6
4.16/3
F. Redondo n 851
46/4
B. Cremaschi n 852.8
3.65/3
Baltasar Rodriguez n 825.1
3.15/1
T. Aviles n 861
36/5
Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ó. Ustari n 882
4.97/5
R. Rios n 881.1
3.14/4
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Rodríguez n 821.1
2.73/1
2.73/2
—
Kyle Smith n 831
2.24/1
00/0
—
Luis Muriel n 856.6
24/3
0.62/1
—
Eduard Atuesta n 881.5
1.75/4
1.98/4
—
Ramiro Enrique n 851.6
1.74/3
25/3
—
Orlando City SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Martín Ojeda n 889.1
3.37/7
1.56/3
Luis Muriel n 856.6
2.87/4
1.85/2
Marco Pasalic n 869.5
2.67/6
1.96/4
Ramiro Enrique n 851.6
2.67/4
26/3
N. Rodríguez n 821.1
1.63/0
1.12/0
Orlando City SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Martín Ojeda n 889.1
0.85/1
0.54/0
Luis Muriel n 856.6
0.62/1
0.42/0
Ramiro Enrique n 851.6
0.93/1
00/0
Iván Angulo n 863.4
0.21/0
0.52/1
N. Rodríguez n 821.1
0.51/0
00/0
Orlando City SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Adrián Marín n 852.3
3.26/4
Tyrese Spicer n 848.6
3.25/5
Zakaria Taifi n 69.7
3.12/0
Iván Angulo n 863.4
36/5
Kyle Smith n 831
2.54/3
Orlando City SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Gallese n 890
3.27/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Inter Miami v Orlando City SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Inter MiamiWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Orlando City SCWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter Miami 2 · 2 draws · Orlando City SC 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-08-11 Orlando City SC 4–1 Inter Miami
  • 2025-05-18 Inter Miami 0–3 Orlando City SC
  • 2024-05-15 Orlando City SC 0–0 Inter Miami
  • 2024-03-02 Inter Miami 5–0 Orlando City SC
  • 2023-09-24 Orlando City SC 1–1 Inter Miami
  • 2023-08-03 Inter Miami 3–1 Orlando City SC
Goals per game
Inter Miami scored2
Orlando City SC scored2.6
Inter Miami conceded1.6
Orlando City SC conceded1.6

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter Miami v Orlando City SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter Miami v Orlando City SC was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Miami and Orlando City SC?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter Miami won 2, Orlando City SC won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter Miami and Orlando City SC?
Recent form — Inter Miami 3W 1D 1L; Orlando City SC 3W 1D 1L.

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