Atletico San Luis v Cruz Azul result

Full-time · Atletico San Luis 2–3 Cruz Azul

Liga MX · · Estadio Libertad Financiera

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atletico San Luis · Cruz Azul · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atletico San Luis 2–3 Cruz Azul — Cruz Azul won this Liga MX match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cruz Azul won 3–2 at Estadio Libertad Financiera in Liga MX on Saturday 18 July. Cruz Azul are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Atletico San Luis: S. Salles-Lamonge (46’) and Sergio (50’, assisted by L. Flores); Cruz Azul: G. Fernández (63’ pen) and J. Márquez (81’, assisted by L. Romero; 90’, assisted by C. Rodríguez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Márquez’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Atletico San Luis 1.25, Cruz Azul 3.14, from 12 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Escobedo Gonzalez showed three yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atletico San Luis: Sergio (14’) and Robson Bambu (75’); Cruz Azul: C. Rodríguez (33’).

What it changes

Atletico San Luis are 16th after this result (one league match played).

Cruz Azul are second after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Márquez (Cruz Azul) 13.7, S. Salles-Lamonge (Atletico San Luis) 6.6 and G. Fernández (Cruz Azul) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Cruz Azul, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Atletico San Luis next host Club Queretaro on 21 October 2026.

Cruz Azul next travel to CF Pachuca on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atletico San Luis: Atletico San Luis v Club Queretaro, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Cruz Azul: CF Pachuca v Cruz Azul, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Atletico San Luis 2–3 Cruz Azul · Liga MX
  • Venue: Estadio Libertad Financiera · San Luis de Potosi
  • Referee: A. Escobedo Gonzalez
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico San Luis 1 · draws 0 · Cruz Azul 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atletico San Luis 2W 1D 2L · Cruz Azul 3W 2D 0L

Atletico San Luis 2–3 Cruz Azul (Liga MX): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.33 / 6.13
Corners
against 4 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.33 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 6 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.5 / 2
Cards
against 1.67 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.08 yellows
Referee · A. Escobedo Gonzalez
2.17 home / 1.92 away
over 12 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtletico San Luis for / againstLineCruz Azul for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.88 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.33 for · 4 against n 6
9.5standard
6.13 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
11.33 for · 15.5 against n 6
19.5standard
15.5 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
4.33 for · 6 against n 6
8.5standard
5.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 11.83 against n 6
21.5standard
11 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.67 against n 6
3.5standard
2 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: A. Escobedo Gonzalez — 4.08 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 19.75 fouls over 12 matches (2.17 to the home side, 1.92 to the away side).

Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Duarte n 832.8
4.16/3
2.14/2
—
R. Meraz n 853.4
1.94/3
1.15/0
—
M. García n 840.5
1.94/2
1.95/2
—
Robson Bambu n 875.3
1.57/3
0.95/1
G. Piovi
J. Medina n 862.8
1.34/3
1.85/2
—
Atletico San Luis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Flores n 843.4
3.15/4
1.33/2
J. Galvão n 892.1
2.48/6
1.68/4
D. Rodríguez n 835.6
2.25/2
1.33/1
F. Barajas n 822.6
23/1
12/0
J. Medina n 862.8
1.45/2
0.42/0
Atletico San Luis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Galvão n 892.1
0.76/0
0.11/0
L. Flores n 843.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
B. Galdames n 847.5
00/0
0.52/0
S. Pérez Bouquet n 843.9
00/0
0.52/0
F. Barajas n 822.6
0.51/0
00/0
Atletico San Luis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lucas Esteves n 854.9
2.75/4
A. Duarte n 832.8
2.45/2
D. Rodríguez n 835.6
2.25/1
B. Galdames n 847.5
2.14/3
A. Cruz n 861.8
25/3
Atletico San Luis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Sánchez n 892.1
4.48/5
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Josué Díaz n 320.3
4.42/1
1.51/0
—
B. Gamboa n 814.6
3.84/1
00/0
—
A. García n 876.1
1.86/4
0.73/1
—
G. Piovi n 888.8
1.66/5
0.42/1
Robson Bambu
J. Orozco n 860.9
1.56/2
0.62/1
—
Cruz Azul — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Montaño n 816.8
3.43/1
0.71/0
G. Fernández n 852
34/4
1.73/2
C. Rotondi n 883.4
2.77/7
1.36/3
J. Paradela n 874
2.16/5
1.45/3
L. Romero n 815.9
2.13/0
1.42/0
Cruz Azul — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Paradela n 874
0.32/0
0.53/0
A. Montaño n 816.8
0.71/0
00/0
L. Romero n 815.9
0.71/0
00/0
C. Rotondi n 883.4
0.32/0
0.31/1
C. Ebere n 865.5
0.52/1
00/0
Cruz Azul — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Palavecino n 883
3.16/5
L. Romero n 815.9
2.83/1
C. Rotondi n 883.4
2.47/5
É. Lira n 874.4
2.17/5
O. Campos n 879.3
28/5
Cruz Azul — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Mier n 890
2.44/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
46%Possession54%
1.25Expected goals (xG)3.14
12Shots20
5Shots on target10
5Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box13
4Corners4
3Offsides1
9Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves4
404Passes482
83%Pass accuracy84%

Atletico San Luis player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Sánchez9000000006.9
Robson Bambu90000001Y5.9
E. Águila9000100305.9
A. Cruz9000000106.3
R. Torres9000000007.2
Ó. Macías9000000106.9
S. Salles-Lamonge9010213107.3
Sergio88104310Y7.9
Lucas Esteves7700000106.2
D. Rodríguez7600211007.2
L. Flores7001101306.9
L. Nájera sub2000000006.3
M. García sub1400000006.5
A. Duarte sub1300000006.3
S. Muñóz sub1100000006.3

Cruz Azul player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Mier9000000006
J. Márquez9020222309.2
W. Ditta9000001306.9
G. Piovi9000210406.7
C. Rodríguez90011040Y7.5
C. Rotondi9000432307
J. Paradela8700200006.3
É. Lira7700000206.9
O. Campos5600001105.9
A. Palavecino5600101306.2
C. Ebere5600002206.3
N. Ibáñez sub3400320006.3
G. Fernández sub3410220007.3
L. Romero sub3401001207.3
A. Montaño sub1300000106.5
A. García sub1200000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Atletico San Luis v Cruz Azul — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Atletico San LuisWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Cruz AzulWDWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atletico San Luis 1 · 0 draws · Cruz Azul 5 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-03-07 Cruz Azul 3–0 Atletico San Luis
  • 2025-08-12 Atletico San Luis 1–2 Cruz Azul
  • 2025-03-16 Cruz Azul 3–0 Atletico San Luis
  • 2024-09-18 Atletico San Luis 3–1 Cruz Azul
  • 2024-02-11 Cruz Azul 3–0 Atletico San Luis
  • 2023-09-30 Atletico San Luis 1–2 Cruz Azul
League standing · 2026
Atletico San Luis#15 pos13 pts12 pl-5 GD
Cruz Azul#5 pos20 pts12 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Atletico San Luis scored1.33
Cruz Azul scored2.25
Atletico San Luis conceded1.75
Cruz Azul conceded1.75

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Atletico San Luis v Cruz Azul?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico San Luis v Cruz Azul was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico San Luis and Cruz Azul?
In their last 6 meetings, Atletico San Luis won 1, Cruz Azul won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atletico San Luis and Cruz Azul?
Recent form — Atletico San Luis 2W 1D 2L; Cruz Azul 3W 2D 0L.

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