Tigres UANLCruz Azul

Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul prediction

Liga MX · · Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul, Liga MX on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 01:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.67 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 547 of 851 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Tigres UANL host Cruz Azul in Liga MX on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 01:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Cruz Azul have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Cruz Azul are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Tigres UANL, every meeting checked. Tigres UANL are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Cruz Azul are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Three of Tigres UANL’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (20%). Both teams scored in seven of Tigres UANL’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Tigres UANL have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 0.88. Tigres UANL have scored 15 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Tigres UANL have conceded 22 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

11 of Cruz Azul’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Cruz Azul’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Cruz Azul have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.50. Cruz Azul have scored 34 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Cruz Azul have conceded 24 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Tigres UANL (15th) and Cruz Azul (third) are 14 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cruz Azul the stronger side, 327 rating points above Tigres UANL (Cruz Azul 1766, Tigres UANL 1439, after at least 364 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Cruz Azul 2–1 Tigres UANL.

Team news

Predicted Tigres UANL XI (4-2-3-1): N. Guzman, M. Laínez, A. Franco, R. Guerrero, J. Garza, F. Gorriaran, J. Brunetta, D. Lainez, C. Araujo, E. Gomez, G. Martínez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Brunetta (5.6 per match over 26 appearances, 10 goals and eight assists) and Joaquim (3.9 per match over 21 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Tigres UANL’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Tigres UANL (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Brunetta averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 2161 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Joaquim averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 1805 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Cruz Azul XI (4-2-3-1): A. Gudiño, G. Piovi, O. Campos, J. Orozco, A. García, É. Lira, A. Palavecino, C. Rodríguez, A. Montaño, J. Márquez, G. Fernández — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Paradela (4.9 per match over 20 appearances, seven goals and six assists) and A. Palavecino (4.4 per match over 22 appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Cruz Azul’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Cruz Azul (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Paradela averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 1468 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. A. Palavecino averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1702 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Liga MX · Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Tigres UANL 0 · draws 4 · Cruz Azul 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Tigres UANL 1W 2D 2L · Cruz Azul 4W 1D 0L

Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul (Liga MX): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5
Corners
against 4.75 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 6.63
Shots on target
against 5 / 5.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTigres UANL for / againstLineCruz Azul for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
2.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 16.88 against n 8
19.5standard
16.38 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 15.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.75 against n 8

Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL Goalkeeper

Tigres UANL — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Guzman23912084 min592.5 /90210.9 /9010 /90
Tigres UANL — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tigres UANL before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Guzman n 890
3.46/5

Tigres UANL Defensive

Tigres UANL — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joaquim16871387 min251.6 /90201.3 /9090.6 /90956.2 /90140.9 /9010.1 /90
Jesus Garza15841258 min352.5 /90151.1 /9030.2 /90604.3 /90302.1 /9030.2 /90
Alan Javier Franco13801046 min121 /90171.5 /9030.3 /90625.3 /90100.9 /9010.1 /90
V. Loroña1358757 min182.1 /90101.2 /9040.5 /90505.9 /90131.5 /9030.4 /90
M. Laínez1079785 min303.4 /90101.1 /9020.2 /90657.5 /9030.3 /9010.1 /90
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Tigres UANL — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tigres UANL before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Guzman n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
J. Brunetta n 883.9
0.53/1
2.37/6
—
D. Lainez n 867.6
1.25/2
3.25/4
—
R. Aguirre n 869.8
15/1
0.85/0
—
F. Gorriaran n 888.5
1.57/2
1.96/4
—
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Tigres UANL — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tigres UANL before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Brunetta n 883.9
0.43/0
D. Lainez n 867.6
2.37/4
R. Aguirre n 869.8
0.62/1
F. Gorriaran n 888.5
2.97/7
C. Araujo n 856.8
26/2
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Tigres UANL Attacking

Tigres UANL — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Aguirre19751432 min70.4 /9020.1 /90271.7 /90110.7 /90140.9 /9030.2 /90
G. Martínez660357 min10.3 /9000 /90102.5 /9041 /9030.8 /9000 /90
R. Monreal648289 min00 /9000 /9041.2 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9030.9 /90
A. Gignac23263 min00 /9000 /9045.7 /9034.3 /9011.4 /9000 /90
I. López14545 min00 /9000 /9012 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
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Tigres UANL — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tigres UANL before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Guzman n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Brunetta n 883.9
3.88/7
2.88/6
D. Lainez n 867.6
1.53/1
0.52/1
R. Aguirre n 869.8
1.96/4
0.52/1
F. Gorriaran n 888.5
1.14/2
0.11/0
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Tigres UANL — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tigres UANL before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Guzman n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Brunetta n 883.9
0.74/1
0.11/0
D. Lainez n 867.6
00/0
0.21/0
R. Aguirre n 869.8
0.21/0
00/0
F. Gorriaran n 888.5
00/0
0.11/0
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Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul Goalkeeper

Cruz Azul — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Mier15901355 min422.8 /90211.4 /9000 /90
A. Gudiño690540 min223.7 /9030.5 /9000 /90
E. Ochoa290180 min42 /9000 /9000 /90
Cruz Azul — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cruz Azul before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Mier n 890
3.17/5
A. Gudiño n 890
37/6

Cruz Azul Defensive

Cruz Azul — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Campos23761749 min291.5 /90251.3 /9010.1 /90824.2 /90110.6 /9000 /90
W. Ditta18841518 min301.8 /90120.7 /90120.7 /90563.3 /90221.3 /9060.4 /90
G. Piovi16791269 min271.9 /90211.5 /9050.4 /90574 /90201.4 /9060.4 /90
J. Orozco15881321 min332.2 /90161.1 /9070.5 /90684.6 /90191.3 /9020.1 /90
A. García1372936 min242.3 /90111.1 /9040.4 /90434.1 /90171.6 /9040.4 /90
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Cruz Azul — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cruz Azul before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Rodríguez n 874.1
0.83/2
1.87/2
—
O. Campos n 879.8
0.74/1
0.85/1
—
A. Palavecino n 872.3
0.95/1
1.14/2
—
G. Fernández n 860.3
1.97/2
3.46/4
—
J. Márquez n 866.1
0.73/1
26/3
—
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Cruz Azul — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cruz Azul before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Rodríguez n 874.1
1.85/4
O. Campos n 879.8
0.85/1
A. Palavecino n 872.3
1.76/3
G. Fernández n 860.3
0.72/1
J. Márquez n 866.1
1.95/3
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Cruz Azul Attacking

Cruz Azul — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Fernández22591306 min60.4 /9030.2 /90584 /90292 /90130.9 /90151 /90
J. Paradela20731468 min70.4 /9060.4 /90372.3 /90201.2 /90352.1 /90311.9 /90
N. Ibáñez17601014 min60.5 /9030.3 /90343 /90171.5 /90181.6 /9060.5 /90
L. Romero1542628 min40.6 /9020.3 /90202.9 /9091.3 /90223.2 /9060.9 /90
C. Rotondi954489 min00 /9000 /90101.8 /9071.3 /9091.7 /9050.9 /90
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Cruz Azul — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cruz Azul before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Rodríguez n 874.1
0.83/2
0.52/1
O. Campos n 879.8
0.64/0
0.32/0
A. Palavecino n 872.3
2.38/4
0.95/1
G. Fernández n 860.3
4.78/6
2.17/2
J. Márquez n 866.1
2.27/3
0.94/1
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Cruz Azul — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cruz Azul before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Rodríguez n 874.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
O. Campos n 879.8
0.11/0
00/0
A. Palavecino n 872.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
G. Fernández n 860.3
0.73/1
00/0
J. Márquez n 866.1
0.21/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Tigres UANLWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Cruz AzulDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Tigres UANL 0 · 4 draws · Cruz Azul 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-02-15 Cruz Azul 2–1 Tigres UANL
  • 2025-12-07 Tigres UANL 1–1 Cruz Azul
  • 2025-12-04 Cruz Azul 1–1 Tigres UANL
  • 2025-10-05 Tigres UANL 1–1 Cruz Azul
  • 2025-05-02 Cruz Azul 1–0 Tigres UANL
  • 2025-04-24 Tigres UANL 1–1 Cruz Azul
League standing · 2026
Tigres UANL#15 pos15 pts15 pl-7 GD
Cruz Azul#3 pos29 pts15 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Tigres UANL scored1
Cruz Azul scored2.27
Tigres UANL conceded1.47
Cruz Azul conceded1.6

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul?
In their last 6 meetings, Tigres UANL won 0, Cruz Azul won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul?
Recent form — Tigres UANL 1W 2D 2L; Cruz Azul 4W 1D 0L.

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