Atletico Tucuman v Rosario Central result

Full-time · Atletico Tucuman 2–3 Rosario Central

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 00:00 BST · Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Updated 20 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atletico Tucuman · Rosario Central · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atletico Tucuman 2–3 Rosario Central — Rosario Central won this Liga Profesional Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 1.34 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.7–69.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Rosario Central won 3–2 at Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 18 October. Rosario Central have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Rosario Central: G. Avila (3’, assisted by A. Di Maria; 7’, assisted by G. Cantizano) and Julián Fernández (80’, assisted by A. Rodríguez); Atletico Tucuman: A. Canelo (37’, assisted by Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez) and Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez (42’, assisted by Leandro Díaz).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Julián Fernández’s goal on 80 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Atletico Tucuman, from fewer shots (15 to 16), created the better chances, 1.39 xG to 0.75 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

The bookings — Atletico Tucuman: Leonel Vega (10’), Leonel Di Plácido (38’) and Leandro Díaz (61’); Rosario Central: A. Rodríguez (30’) and G. Cantizano (70’).

What it changes

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of Clausura round 13, across 15 matches. Atletico Tucuman are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Rosario Central are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Avila (Rosario Central) 10.6, Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez (Atletico Tucuman) 9.5 and A. Rodríguez (Rosario Central) 9.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Rosario Central, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (922 of 1371).

Next up

Atletico Tucuman next travel to Tigre on 24 October 2026.

Rosario Central next host Huracan on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atletico Tucuman: Tigre v Atletico Tucuman, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Rosario Central: Rosario Central v Huracan, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Atletico Tucuman 2–3 Rosario Central · Liga Profesional Argentina
Venue: Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro · San Miguel de Tucumán, Provincia de Tucumán
Referee: Alvaro Caranza, Argentina
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico Tucuman 0 · draws 3 · Rosario Central 3 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Atletico Tucuman 0W 2D 3L · Rosario Central 3W 2D 0L

Atletico Tucuman 2–3 Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.13 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2

over 8 matches

4.86 / 7.5

Corners

against 4.29 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.29 / 5.38

Shots on target

against 4.14 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.14 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Atletico Tucuman for / against	Line	Rosario Central for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2our book	1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.86 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	7.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.14 for · 14.71 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	14.88 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.29 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.38 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.71 for · 7.14 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.63 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Alvaro Caranza, Argentina.

Atletico Tucuman

Atletico Tucuman — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Rodrigo Granillo n 5	13	4.2 1/1	0 0/0	—
Nicolás Laméndola n 8	79.5	2.1 6/5	1 5/2	—
Manuel Brondo n 8	27.6	2 4/1	1.2 3/0	—
Leonel Vega n 8	89.1	1.9 7/6	0.4 2/1	—
Franco Nicola n 8	75.8	1.9 8/5	1.2 5/1	—

Atletico Tucuman — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Rodrigo Granillo n 5	13	2.8 1/1	0 0/0
Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez n 8	48.6	2.3 5/3	1.2 3/1
Leandro Díaz n 8	75.6	2.1 8/5	0.9 4/2
Manuel Brondo n 8	27.6	2 4/1	0.8 2/0
Lautaro Agustin Godoy n 8	88.8	1.5 8/3	0.8 6/0

Atletico Tucuman — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Compagnucci n 8	14	0 0/0	0.8 1/0
Lautaro Agustin Godoy n 8	88.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Maximiliano Villa n 8	70.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez n 8	48.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Clever Ferreira n 8	91.5	0.2 2/0	0.1 1/0

Atletico Tucuman — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Leonel Vega n 8	89.1	5.2 8/8
J. Fernandez n 8	41.5	3 4/3
Ramiro Paunero n 3	25.3	2.4 1/1
Luciano Vallejo n 8	90.8	2.1 7/4
Lautaro Agustin Godoy n 8	88.8	2 7/5

Atletico Tucuman — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Luis Ingolotti n 8	90.8	2.7 7/5

Rosario Central

Rosario Central — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Sandez n 8	71.1	2.4 7/4	0.3 2/0	—
Pol Fernandez n 8	34	2 5/1	0 0/0	—
F. Cervi n 8	35.9	1.9 4/2	0.6 2/0	—
G. Avila n 8	92	1.6 8/3	1.8 7/5	—
F. Navarro n 8	44.8	1.5 4/2	0.5 2/0	—

Rosario Central — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Di Maria n 8	88.5	2.8 7/6	1.8 6/4
Jaminton Campaz n 8	65.5	2.4 7/3	1 4/2
E. Copetti n 8	78.3	2.2 8/3	0.7 3/2
M. Ruben n 8	23.4	1.9 3/1	1 2/0
G. Cantizano n 8	45.4	1.7 5/2	0.5 2/0

Rosario Central — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Ruben n 8	23.4	1 2/0	0 0/0
V. Pizarro n 8	68.1	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/1
A. Di Maria n 8	88.5	0.6 3/2	0 0/0
Julián Fernández n 8	54.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
T. Badaloni n 8	28.8	0 0/0	0.4 1/0

Rosario Central — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Ibarra n 8	85.8	3.8 8/7
Elías Verón n 8	38.9	3.5 4/3
Gaspar Duarte n 8	31.1	2.5 5/1
Alexis Soto n 8	69.9	2.1 6/4
A. Rodríguez n 8	58.3	2.1 4/3

Rosario Central — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Werner n 8	91.6	2.5 7/4
C. Ledesma n 8	92	2.1 5/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Atletico Tucuman		Rosario Central
34%	Possession	66%
1.39	Expected goals (xG)	0.75
15	Shots	16
5	Shots on target	9
7	Shots off target	6
3	Blocked shots	1
12	Shots inside the box	8
5	Corners	6
1	Offsides	1
11	Fouls	7
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
6	Saves	3
249	Passes	527
75%	Pass accuracy	86%

Atletico Tucuman player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Luis Ingolotti	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Clever Ferreira	90	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	6.3
Luciano Vallejo	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.7
Juan Infante	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.6
Lautaro Agustin Godoy	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.9
Leandro Díaz	90	0	1	2	1	1	0	Y	7
Franco Nicola	82	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6.2
Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez	82	1	1	4	2	3	0	0	7.9
Leonel Di Plácido	75	0	0	0	0	2	2	Y	6.5
A. Canelo	74	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	7.3
Leonel Vega	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.7
Ezequiel Ham sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Ignacio Galván sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Maximiliano Villa sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Renzo Tesuri sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Nicolás Laméndola sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Rosario Central player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Ledesma	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Ignacio Ovando	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
G. Avila	90	2	0	2	2	0	0	0	9.3
A. Sandez	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.3
A. Rodríguez	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	Y	7.6
V. Pizarro	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	6.9
A. Di Maria	89	0	1	4	2	5	0	0	7.3
Jaminton Campaz	89	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	8
Emanuel Coronel	82	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.7
G. Cantizano	78	0	1	0	0	3	1	Y	6.3
E. Copetti	78	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5.9
Julián Fernández sub	12	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.6
M. Ruben sub	12	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	6.3
Facundo Mallo sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
F. Cervi sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Juan Gimenez sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Atletico Tucuman v Rosario Central — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Atletico TucumanLDLLD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Rosario CentralDWWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Atletico Tucuman 0 · 3 draws · Rosario Central 3 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-04-05 Rosario Central 2–1 Atletico Tucuman
2025-08-09 Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Rosario Central
2025-02-08 Rosario Central 3–1 Atletico Tucuman
2024-08-26 Rosario Central 1–0 Atletico Tucuman
2023-04-18 Atletico Tucuman 2–2 Rosario Central
2022-10-14 Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Rosario Central

League standing · 2026

Atletico Tucuman#10 pos14 pts13 pl-1 GD

Rosario Central#1 pos25 pts13 pl+9 GD

Goals per game

Atletico Tucuman scored0.92

Rosario Central scored1.54

Atletico Tucuman conceded1

Rosario Central conceded0.85

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Atletico Tucuman v Rosario Central?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico Tucuman v Rosario Central was Draw or Away (best price 1.34 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Tucuman and Rosario Central?: In their last 6 meetings, Atletico Tucuman won 0, Rosario Central won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atletico Tucuman and Rosario Central?: Recent form — Atletico Tucuman 0W 2D 3L; Rosario Central 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 20 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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