Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto v Sarmiento Junin result

Full-time · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–2 Sarmiento Junin

Liga Profesional Argentina · Fri, 04 Sep 2026 20:45 BST · Antonio Candini

Updated 18 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Sarmiento Junin

The model’s pre-match pick

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–2 Sarmiento Junin — Sarmiento Junin won this Liga Profesional Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.40 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Sarmiento Junin won 2–0 at Antonio Candini in Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday 4 September. Sarmiento Junin have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Sarmiento Junin led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: an own goal by G. Maffini (6’); Sarmiento Junin: Junior Marabel (71’ pen).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.89, Sarmiento Junin 1.36, from 18 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: G. Maffini (14’) and F. Rodriguez (62’).

What it changes

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Junior Marabel (Sarmiento Junin) 7.4, Matias Valenti (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto) 6.4 and Julián Mavilla (Sarmiento Junin) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto next host Aldosivi on 18 October 2026.

Sarmiento Junin next host Barracas Central on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto v Aldosivi, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Sarmiento Junin: Sarmiento Junin v Barracas Central, Monday 19 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–2 Sarmiento Junin · Liga Profesional Argentina
Venue: Antonio Candini · Cordoba
Referee: B. Ferreyra
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0 · draws 0 · Sarmiento Junin 1 · 1 goals/game
Recent form: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0W 3D 2L · Sarmiento Junin 4W 0D 1L

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–2 Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.38 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 1.75

over 8 matches

3.38 / 4.86

Corners

against 5.38 / 5.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

1.88 / 4.71

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 5.43 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.25 / 1.86

Cards

against 1.5 / 2.71 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto for / against	Line	Sarmiento Junin for / against
Goals scored	0.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	1.75our book	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.38 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.86 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	8.5 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.14 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	1.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.71 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.13 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.43 for · 11.43 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: B. Ferreyra.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Cabrera n 8	81.3	2.2 6/5	3 8/6	Santiago Salle
Ibrahim Hesar n 8	66.8	2.2 7/5	2.2 6/3	—
T. Gonzalez n 8	79	2.1 7/6	1.1 4/2	—
F. Rodriguez n 7	68	1.9 5/5	0 0/0	—
M. Valiente n 8	47.4	1.9 5/2	1.4 5/1	—

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Ferreira n 8	34	3 5/1	0 0/0
Mateo Bajamich n 8	59.6	2.1 5/4	1.3 5/2
Y. Moreno n 6	51.2	1.8 3/1	0.3 1/0
Agustin Quiroga n 8	89.8	1.5 7/4	0.5 4/0
S. Rosane n 8	41.8	1.1 2/2	0.3 1/0

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Garro n 8	57.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Ibrahim Hesar n 8	66.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
F. Cobos n 8	65.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
R. Lozano n 8	57.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
M. Valiente n 8	47.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Rosane n 8	41.8	4 6/3
G. Gonzalez n 8	73.9	3 6/4
F. Cobos n 8	65.8	2.9 6/5
G. Maffini n 8	93.5	2.8 8/4
A. Cabrera n 8	81.3	2.8 8/5

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Lucas Bruera n 8	93.5	2.9 6/4

Sarmiento Junin

Sarmiento Junin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Julian Contrera n 8	53.1	2.8 8/3	1.3 2/2	—
Manuel Garcia n 8	56.3	2.6 6/4	0.4 2/0	—
E. Gimenez n 8	36.6	2.5 3/3	0.3 1/0	—
Gabriel Díaz n 8	46.8	2.2 3/3	0.5 2/0	—
Santiago Salle n 8	85.8	2 7/4	2 7/6	A. Cabrera

Sarmiento Junin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Diego Churin n 8	18.5	2.4 3/1	1.8 2/1
Junior Marabel n 8	81.3	2.1 6/6	1 5/2
G. Gonzalez n 8	22.4	2 4/0	1 2/0
Jhon Rentería n 8	45.6	1.7 2/2	1.2 2/2
Julián Mavilla n 8	64.8	1.6 5/4	0.9 4/1

Sarmiento Junin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Gonzalez n 8	22.4	0.5 1/0	0.5 1/0
Junior Marabel n 8	81.3	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
Julián Mavilla n 8	64.8	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
Pablo Magnin n 8	47.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Mauricio Martínez n 8	85.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Sarmiento Junin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Nadruz n 5	59.2	3.3 4/3
Cristian Zabala n 8	90.4	3.1 7/7
Diego Churin n 8	18.5	3 4/1
Lucas Suárez n 8	92	2.7 8/8
Mauricio Martínez n 8	85.1	2.4 5/5

Sarmiento Junin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Ayala n 5	93.2	3.5 3/3
I. Arboleda n 8	91.5	2.8 6/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto		Sarmiento Junin
65%	Possession	35%
0.89	Expected goals (xG)	1.36
18	Shots	12
4	Shots on target	4
7	Shots off target	6
7	Blocked shots	2
8	Shots inside the box	8
14	Corners	1
1	Offsides	2
9	Fouls	6
2	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
479	Passes	270
81%	Pass accuracy	66%

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Lucas Bruera	95	0	0	0	0	0	7
G. Maffini	95	0	0	2	3	Y	5.9
J. Antonini	95	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
A. Cabrera	95	2	0	0	5	0	7.2
Matias Valenti	95	2	0	1	3	0	6.9
Ibrahim Hesar	95	1	0	2	1	0	6.7
G. Alanis	82	3	2	3	1	0	6.6
F. Rodriguez	82	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
M. Valiente	67	2	1	1	0	0	6.2
S. Rosane	62	1	1	1	0	0	6.3
G. Gonzalez	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
R. Lozano sub	50	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
T. González sub	33	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
T. Gonzalez sub	33	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
Mateo Bajamich sub	28	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
F. Lo Celso sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Martín Garnerone sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sarmiento Junin player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
T. Ayala	95	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
R. Orihuela	95	0	0	0	0	3	7.2
Juan Manuel Insaurralde	95	0	0	0	1	0	7.7
Mauricio Martínez	95	0	2	0	0	1	6.9
Cristian Zabala	95	0	1	0	0	3	7.2
Junior Marabel	95	1	2	1	1	1	6.9
Santiago Salle	82	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
Julián Mavilla	82	0	1	1	1	3	8.2
Jonathan Herrera	81	0	3	1	1	2	6.6
Lucas Suárez	49	0	0	0	1	2	7.2
U. Gimenez	42	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
G. Gonzalez sub	53	0	0	0	1	2	6.3
Gabriel Díaz sub	46	0	0	0	0	1	6.9
Thiago Santamaría sub	14	0	1	1	0	0	6.6
G. Arturia sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
E. Gimenez sub	13	0	0	0	1	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto v Sarmiento Junin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Estudiantes de Rio CuartoDLLDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Sarmiento JuninWWWWL

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0 · 0 draws · Sarmiento Junin 1 · 1 goals/game

2026-03-03 Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

League standing · 2026

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto#15 pos6 pts12 pl-10 GD

Sarmiento Junin#5 pos20 pts12 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto scored0.5

Sarmiento Junin scored1.75

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto conceded1.33

Sarmiento Junin conceded1.5

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto v Sarmiento Junin?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto v Sarmiento Junin was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Sarmiento Junin?: In their last 1 meetings, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won 0, Sarmiento Junin won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Sarmiento Junin?: Recent form — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0W 3D 2L; Sarmiento Junin 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.