Estudiantes L.P. v Independ. Rivadavia result

Full-time · Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Independ. Rivadavia

Liga Profesional Argentina · Fri, 08 Aug 2025 01:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Estudiantes L.P. · Independ. Rivadavia

The model’s pre-match pick

Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Independ. Rivadavia — Estudiantes L.P. won this Liga Profesional Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 1356 landed (95% range 64.9–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Estudiantes L.P. beat Independ. Rivadavia 2–1 in Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday 8 August.

The goals

Estudiantes L.P. led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Estudiantes L.P.: Fabricio Pérez (8’, assisted by Gastón Benedetti) and Leandro González Pírez (40’, assisted by Fabricio Pérez); Independ. Rivadavia: Sebastián Villa (90’ pen). Gastón Benedetti (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Fabricio Pérez’s goal on 8 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Estudiantes L.P. 1.16, Independ. Rivadavia 1.08, from 11 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Estudiantes L.P.: Román Gómez (61’), S. Ascacibar (79’), Facundo Farías (84’) and Leandro González Pírez (90+3’); Independ. Rivadavia: Tomas Bottari (45’) and Matías Fernández (68’).

What it changes

Estudiantes L.P. have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fabricio Pérez (Estudiantes L.P.) 9.6, Sebastián Villa (Independ. Rivadavia) 7.9 and S. Ascacibar (Estudiantes L.P.) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Independ. Rivadavia, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (914 of 1356).

Next up

Estudiantes L.P. next travel to Flamengo on 23 October 2026.

Independ. Rivadavia next travel to Argentinos JRS on 27 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Estudiantes L.P.: Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P., Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Independ. Rivadavia: Argentinos JRS v Independ. Rivadavia, Tuesday 27 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Independ. Rivadavia · Liga Profesional Argentina
Referee: Leandro Fedele, Argentina
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Estudiantes L.P. 0 · draws 2 · Independ. Rivadavia 0 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Estudiantes L.P. 3W 1D 1L · Independ. Rivadavia 2W 2D 1L

Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.63

Goals

against 1 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.71 / 3.67

Corners

against 5.57 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

4.71 / 3.83

Shots on target

against 5.14 / 4.83 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

4.14 / 2.83

Cards

against 2.43 / 2.4 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 July 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 July 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Estudiantes L.P. for / against	Line	Independ. Rivadavia for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.71 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.67 for · 4 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	9.86 for · 15.71 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10 for · 13.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	4.71 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.83 for · 4.83 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.43 for · 10.14 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	14.67 for · 10 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	4.14 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.83 for · 2.4 against n 6 Last 5

Estudiantes L.P.

Estudiantes L.P. — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Facundo Farías n 8	33.1	3.1 4/3	2 5/1	—
S. Arzamendia n 8	70.8	2.1 7/4	0.5 3/0	—
Alexis Castro n 8	45.9	2 6/2	0.7 1/1	—
L. Giménez n 8	24.3	1.9 3/1	0.9 2/0	—
Santiago Núñez n 8	92.3	1.7 7/4	0.5 1/1	—

Estudiantes L.P. — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Giménez n 8	24.3	4.6 6/3	2.3 4/1
Edwuin Cetré n 8	46	2.2 5/2	1.5 4/1
Guido Carrillo n 8	72.6	1.9 7/4	1.2 5/3
Tiago Palacios n 8	80.6	1.4 5/3	0.8 4/1
Ezequiel Piovi n 8	51.1	1.1 4/1	0.4 2/0

Estudiantes L.P. — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Edwuin Cetré n 8	46	0.5 2/0	0.5 2/0
L. Giménez n 8	24.3	0.9 2/0	0 0/0
Guido Carrillo n 8	72.6	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
Alexis Castro n 8	45.9	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
Tiago Palacios n 8	80.6	0.4 2/1	0 0/0

Estudiantes L.P. — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Arzamendia n 8	70.8	3.3 7/6
Gabriel Neves n 8	79.3	3 6/6
S. Ascacibar n 8	86.5	2.1 6/4
Tiago Palacios n 8	80.6	2.1 6/4
Román Gómez n 8	48.8	2.1 7/2

Estudiantes L.P. — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Fernando Muslera n 8	90	3.5 7/6
Matías Mansilla n 8	92.3	2.7 5/3

Independ. Rivadavia

Independ. Rivadavia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Maximiliano Amarfil n 8	91.5	2.6 8/8	1.1 5/3	—
Alex Arce n 8	79.6	2.4 7/5	1.1 5/2	—
Leonel Bucca n 8	42.9	2.4 7/2	2.1 5/3	—
M. Cardillo n 8	56	2.2 7/3	0.6 2/1	—
Tomas Bottari n 8	74.9	2.1 6/4	0.6 3/1	—

Independ. Rivadavia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alex Arce n 8	79.6	2.7 6/6	1.1 5/3
Fabrizio Sartori n 8	37.6	2.1 4/2	1.5 4/1
Nicolás Retamar n 8	55.3	1.8 5/3	1.4 5/2
J. Barbieri n 8	47.3	1.7 4/2	0.7 2/1
Sebastián Villa n 8	91.4	1.2 6/3	0.6 4/1

Independ. Rivadavia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Fabrizio Sartori n 8	37.6	0.9 3/0	0 0/0
Nicolás Retamar n 8	55.3	0.4 1/1	0.4 1/1
Alex Arce n 8	79.6	0.7 3/2	0.1 1/0
Sebastián Villa n 8	91.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
J. Barbieri n 8	47.3	0.5 1/1	0 0/0

Independ. Rivadavia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Tomas Bottari n 8	74.9	4.1 8/8
Matias Valenti n 8	51	3.1 7/5
P. Souto n 8	56.8	2.6 5/4
M. Cardillo n 8	56	2.6 5/4
Matías Fernández n 8	51.6	2.4 6/2

Independ. Rivadavia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Centurion n 8	91.5	3.6 8/6

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Estudiantes L.P.		Independ. Rivadavia
55%	Possession	45%
1.16	Expected goals (xG)	1.08
11	Shots	7
4	Shots on target	4
5	Shots off target	2
2	Blocked shots	1
7	Shots inside the box	3
4	Corners	3
1	Offsides	4
12	Fouls	15
4	Yellow cards	2
1	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
439	Passes	354
82%	Pass accuracy	76%

Estudiantes L.P. player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Fernando Muslera	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Román Gómez	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.5
Leandro González Pírez	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	Y	8
Facundo Santiago Rodríguez	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Gastón Benedetti	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	R	6.9
S. Ascacibar	90	0	0	1	0	1	5	Y	7.7
C. Medina	78	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.5
Mikel Amondarain	75	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.2
Fabricio Pérez	65	1	1	3	2	1	2	0	9
Tiago Palacios	65	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
Lucas Alario	65	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Facundo Farías sub	26	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.3
José Sosa sub	26	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Edwuin Cetré sub	26	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.6
Guido Carrillo sub	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
Santiago Núñez sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Independ. Rivadavia player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
E. Centurion	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Iván Villalba	90	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
Sheyko Studer	90	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.2
P. Souto	90	0	1	1	0	3	0	5.9
Maximiliano Amarfil	90	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Sebastián Villa	90	1	1	1	1	1	0	7.5
Luciano Gómez	72	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Nicolás Retamar	72	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Tomas Bottari	71	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.6
T. Ortega	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Alex Arce	45	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7
Matías Fernández sub	45	0	1	0	0	1	Y	6.5
Fabrizio Sartori sub	45	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
J. Barbieri sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Cardillo sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Santiago Múñoz sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Estudiantes L.P. v Independ. Rivadavia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Estudiantes L.P.WDLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Independ. RivadaviaDLWDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Estudiantes L.P. 0 · 2 draws · Independ. Rivadavia 0 · 3 goals/game

2025-02-08 Independ. Rivadavia 2–2 Estudiantes L.P.
2024-10-31 Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Estudiantes L.P.#8 pos21 pts16 pl-1 GD

Independ. Rivadavia#14 pos16 pts16 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Estudiantes L.P. scored1.06

Independ. Rivadavia scored0.88

Estudiantes L.P. conceded1.13

Independ. Rivadavia conceded1.06

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Estudiantes L.P. v Independ. Rivadavia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Estudiantes L.P. v Independ. Rivadavia was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes L.P. and Independ. Rivadavia?: In their last 2 meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 0, Independ. Rivadavia won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estudiantes L.P. and Independ. Rivadavia?: Recent form — Estudiantes L.P. 3W 1D 1L; Independ. Rivadavia 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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