Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo prediction
Team pages: Estudiantes L.P. · San Lorenzo · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo, Liga Profesional Argentina on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 22:00 BST.
The match
Estudiantes L.P. host San Lorenzo in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 22:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Estudiantes L.P. to win.
The key numbers
San Lorenzo have scored five goals, the fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Two of San Lorenzo’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (13%). Both teams scored in three of San Lorenzo’s last 15 results (20%).
Form and the table
Estudiantes L.P. are unbeaten in their last three matches. Seven of Estudiantes L.P.’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Estudiantes L.P.’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Estudiantes L.P. have four wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 0.50. Estudiantes L.P. have scored 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Estudiantes L.P. have conceded 13 goals, the 15th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.
Away from home, San Lorenzo have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.43 and conceding 1.29. San Lorenzo have conceded 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far).
Estudiantes L.P. (ninth) and San Lorenzo (10th) are level on points, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Estudiantes L.P. the stronger side, 137 rating points above San Lorenzo (Estudiantes L.P. 1584, San Lorenzo 1447, after at least 284 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
San Lorenzo are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Estudiantes L.P.. The most recent meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished San Lorenzo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P..
Team news
Predicted Estudiantes L.P. XI (4-2-3-1): F. Muslera, G. Benedetti, L. Pírez, S. Núñez, E. Meza, A. Castro, B. Rodriguez, E. Piovi, E. Cetré, G. Neves, A. Gaich — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Medina (3.8 per match over five appearances, one assist) and Tiago Palacios (3.6 per match over 27 appearances, seven goals and three assists) have been Estudiantes L.P.’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Estudiantes L.P. (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Medina averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 2764 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Tiago Palacios averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1717 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted San Lorenzo XI (3-4-1-2): J. Devecchi, D. Arboleda, E. Amor, T. Pagano, N. Tripichio, I. Perruzzi, M. Reali, J. Álvarez, M. Insaurralde, R. Auzmendi, A. Cuello — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Hernández (4.3 per match over nine appearances) and Facundo Farías (4.2 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been San Lorenzo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for San Lorenzo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Hernández averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 819 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Facundo Farías averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1209 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
- Referee: Sebastian Nicolas Martinez
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Estudiantes L.P. 1 · draws 3 · San Lorenzo 2 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Estudiantes L.P. 1W 2D 2L · San Lorenzo 2W 1D 2L
Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Estudiantes L.P. for / against | Line | San Lorenzo for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2our book | 0.5 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.43 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.14 for · 10.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.71 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.43 for · 15.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.63 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.14 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Sebastian Nicolas Martinez.
Estudiantes L.P.
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltasar Rodriguez n 8 | 67.3 | 2.7 | 3 | — |
| M. Monsalve n 8 | 38 | 2.7 | 3.6 | — |
| Tiago Palacios n 8 | 55.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | — |
| Ezequiel Piovi n 8 | 67.9 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| Adolfo Gaich n 8 | 71.4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Carrillo n 8 | 54.3 | 3.9 | 1 |
| Fabricio Pérez n 8 | 46.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Edwuin Cetré n 8 | 48.5 | 3 | 1.4 |
| Tiago Palacios n 8 | 55.8 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Joaquín Tobio Burgos n 8 | 57.8 | 2.3 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edwuin Cetré n 8 | 48.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Fabricio Pérez n 8 | 46.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Adolfo Gaich n 8 | 71.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Tiago Palacios n 8 | 55.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Eros Mancuso n 8 | 72 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Neves n 8 | 60.4 | 3.7 |
| Alexis Castro n 8 | 66.5 | 3.6 |
| Eric Meza n 8 | 50.3 | 2.9 |
| Fabricio Pérez n 8 | 46.4 | 2.9 |
| Eros Mancuso n 8 | 72 | 2.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Fabricio Iacovich n 8 | 92 | 3.3 |
| Fernando Muslera n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
San Lorenzo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Perruzzi n 8 | 61.8 | 2.2 | 3.1 | — |
| Gonzalo Alassia n 3 | 45 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| Agustin Ladstatter n 8 | 23.4 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| Rodrigo Auzmendi n 8 | 83 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Gonzalo Abrego n 8 | 37.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Auzmendi n 8 | 83 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| Agustin Ladstatter n 8 | 23.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Alexis Cuello n 8 | 71.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Facundo Farías n 8 | 69.8 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Gonzalo Abrego n 8 | 37.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. del Prete n 8 | 42 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Rodrigo Auzmendi n 8 | 83 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Teo Rodríguez Pagano n 8 | 71.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Alexis Cuello n 8 | 71.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Facundo Farías n 8 | 69.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Insaurralde n 8 | 70.8 | 3.7 |
| Mathias de Ritis n 8 | 75.1 | 3.3 |
| Nicolás Tripichio n 8 | 81.1 | 3.1 |
| Facundo Gulli n 8 | 37.5 | 2.7 |
| A. Cordoba n 6 | 93.7 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| José Devecchi n 8 | 88.5 | 2.9 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-03 San Lorenzo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.
- 2024-11-05 San Lorenzo 1–1 Estudiantes L.P.
- 2023-06-21 Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 San Lorenzo
- 2022-08-07 San Lorenzo 0–0 Estudiantes L.P.
- 2021-08-26 Estudiantes L.P. 2–0 San Lorenzo
- 2021-03-30 Estudiantes L.P. 0–2 San Lorenzo
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo is Home win (best price 2.18 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes L.P. and San Lorenzo?
- In their last 6 meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 1, San Lorenzo won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Estudiantes L.P. and San Lorenzo?
- Recent form — Estudiantes L.P. 1W 2D 2L; San Lorenzo 2W 1D 2L.
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