Independiente v River Plate result

Full-time · Independiente 0–0 River Plate

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio Libertadores de América

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Independiente 0–0 River Plate — this Liga Profesional Argentina match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Independiente and River Plate drew 0–0 at Estadio Libertadores de América in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 9 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Independiente out-shot River Plate 6 to 5 and created the better chances, 0.58 xG to 0.22 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

Nazareno Arasa, Argentina showed seven yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Independiente: Facundo Zabala (23’), Kevin Lomónaco (26’), F. Loyola (61’), Leonardo Godoy (88’) and Rodrigo Fernández (90+9’); River Plate: Matías Galarza (5’) and L. Rivero (78’).

What it changes

Independiente are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. River Plate are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. River Plate have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions. Independiente have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Santiago Montiel (Independiente) 7.2, G. Montiel (River Plate) 5.6 and F. Loyola (Independiente) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Independiente next travel to Racing Club on 18 October 2026.

River Plate next travel to Belgrano Cordoba on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Independiente: Racing Club v Independiente, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for River Plate: Belgrano Cordoba v River Plate, Monday 19 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Independiente 0–0 River Plate · Liga Profesional Argentina
  • Venue: Estadio Libertadores de América · Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
  • Referee: Nazareno Arasa, Argentina
  • Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Independiente 1 · draws 2 · River Plate 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Independiente 1W 1D 3L · River Plate 3W 1D 1L

Independiente 0–0 River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 1 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.33 / 4.57
Corners
against 4.33 / 3.29 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
5.17 / 5.43
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 2.86 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.5 / 4.14
Cards
against 3.5 / 2.86 · 3 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.86 yellows
Referee · Nazareno Arasa, Argentina
2.36 home / 2.5 away
over 14 matches
232
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameIndependiente for / againstLineRiver Plate for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.33 for · 4.33 against n 6
9.5standard
4.57 for · 3.29 against n 7
Shots
15 for · 8.67 against n 6
19.5standard
14.29 for · 7.86 against n 7
Shots on target
5.17 for · 3.5 against n 6
8.5standard
5.43 for · 2.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 15.5 against n 6
21.5standard
14.71 for · 13.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.5 for · 3.5 against n 6
3.5standard
4.14 for · 2.86 against n 7

Referee: Nazareno Arasa, Argentina — 4.86 yellow cards a game, 0.36 red cards, 22.14 fouls over 14 matches (2.36 to the home side, 2.5 to the away side).

Independiente
Independiente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Hidalgo n 835
2.94/4
4.25/5
—
Rodrigo Fernández n 844
2.37/2
1.54/2
—
Federico Vera n 873.1
27/5
1.56/3
—
Lautaro Millán n 838.8
24/3
23/2
—
Leonardo Godoy n 870.6
1.96/4
15/1
—
Independiente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Matías Giménez Rojas n 862.4
3.26/4
1.44/2
I. Pussetto n 848.8
37/5
1.24/1
Santiago Montiel n 884.4
2.98/5
1.23/2
Lautaro Millán n 838.8
2.66/3
1.24/0
Federico Mancuello n 824.4
2.33/2
0.92/0
Independiente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Santiago Montiel n 884.4
0.42/1
0.32/0
Matías Giménez Rojas n 862.4
0.41/1
0.21/0
Lautaro Millán n 838.8
0.62/0
00/0
Gabriel Ávalos n 863.8
0.52/1
00/0
I. Pussetto n 848.8
0.52/0
00/0
Independiente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Hidalgo n 835
3.55/4
Rodrigo Fernández n 844
2.85/3
F. Loyola n 890.3
2.28/5
Milton Valenzuela n 860.5
2.26/4
Lautaro Millán n 838.8
26/1
Independiente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rodrigo Rey n 891.5
2.14/2
River Plate
River Plate — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Giuliano Galoppo n 837.4
4.56/3
1.52/2
—
M. Salas n 864.5
2.66/5
2.37/4
—
M. Kranevitter n 846.9
2.46/4
0.21/0
—
P. Martínez n 838
2.45/2
4.77/5
—
M. Borja n 838.4
2.15/2
1.23/1
—
River Plate — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Giuliano Galoppo n 837.4
3.37/3
1.24/0
Franco Mastantuono n 887.1
2.77/5
1.47/3
Sebastian Driussi n 871.1
2.78/5
1.47/1
P. Martínez n 838
2.76/2
00/0
F. Colidio n 875.5
2.47/5
1.86/3
River Plate — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Colidio n 875.5
0.64/0
0.31/1
Sebastian Driussi n 871.1
0.85/0
00/0
Maxi Meza n 841.5
0.52/0
0.31/0
S. Lencina n 470.5
0.61/1
00/0
M. Salas n 864.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
River Plate — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Aliendro n 845.5
48/5
M. Kranevitter n 846.9
3.16/4
E. Perez n 874.5
2.95/3
Maxi Meza n 841.5
2.75/2
K. Castaño n 886.8
2.57/6
River Plate — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Armani n 891.9
2.15/2

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
IndependienteRiver Plate
44%Possession56%
0.58Expected goals (xG)0.22
6Shots5
3Shots on target1
1Shots off target2
2Blocked shots2
3Shots inside the box3
2Corners1
6Offsides2
15Fouls14
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves3
336Passes441
70%Pass accuracy74%

Independiente player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rodrigo Rey9000000006.6
Kevin Lomónaco90000001Y6.7
Nicolás Freire9000000106.9
Facundo Zabala90000001Y6.5
F. Loyola90000013Y7.2
Rodrigo Fernández90000004Y6.6
Santiago Montiel9000112707.5
Federico Vera8000000006.6
Luciano Cabral7500110206.9
Matías Abaldo7500110007
W. Mazzantti6500001106.6
D. Tarzia sub2600100006.3
P. Galdames sub1600001106.3
I. Pussetto sub1600000006.3
Leonardo Godoy sub11000001Y6.6

River Plate player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Armani9000000108.7
G. Montiel9000001407.7
L. Rivero90000002Y7.2
M. Acuna9000000407.3
K. Castaño9000000506.9
M. Borja9000100306.9
F. Colidio8800002006.5
Matías Galarza77002102Y6.6
E. Perez4500000106.6
S. Lencina4500000306.6
G. Pezzella4300000106.9
S. Boselli sub4800000107.2
Juan Fernando Quintero sub4500001006.2
Giuliano Galoppo sub4500000106.3
J. Meza sub1400000106.3
P. Martínez sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Independiente v River Plate — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
IndependienteWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
River PlateLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Independiente 1 · 2 draws · River Plate 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-02-08 River Plate 2–0 Independiente
  • 2024-09-01 Independiente 0–0 River Plate
  • 2023-04-23 River Plate 2–0 Independiente
  • 2022-08-07 Independiente 0–1 River Plate
  • 2021-09-06 River Plate 1–1 Independiente
  • 2021-01-10 River Plate 0–2 Independiente
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Independiente#11 pos18 pts16 pl+1 GD
River Plate#6 pos22 pts16 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Independiente scored0.88
River Plate scored1.25
Independiente conceded0.81
River Plate conceded0.94

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Independiente v River Plate?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Independiente v River Plate was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente and River Plate?
In their last 6 meetings, Independiente won 1, River Plate won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Independiente and River Plate?
Recent form — Independiente 1W 1D 3L; River Plate 3W 1D 1L.

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