Racing Club v Independiente result

Full-time · Racing Club 1–1 Independiente

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Racing Club 1–1 Independiente — this Liga Profesional Argentina match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.35 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Racing Club and Independiente drew 1–1 at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 18 October.

The goals

Racing Club led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Racing Club: Matías Zaracho (29’); Independiente: Maxi Meza (65’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Maxi Meza’s goal on 65 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Racing Club 1.27, Independiente 1.09, from 9 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Racing Club: J. Barinaga (6’), Matías Zaracho (17’), M. Martinez (49’), Gonzalo Escudero (64’) and Leonel Pérez (90+3’); Independiente: I. Morales (87’) and Leonardo Godoy (90+2’).

What it changes

Independiente are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Maxi Meza (Independiente) 9.8, Matías Zaracho (Racing Club) 5.3 and Sebastián Valdez (Independiente) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Racing Club next travel to River Plate on 25 October 2026.

Independiente next host Boca Juniors on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Racing Club: River Plate v Racing Club, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Independiente: Independiente v Boca Juniors, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Racing Club 1–1 Independiente · Liga Profesional Argentina
  • Venue: Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón · Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
  • Referee: Facundo Tello
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Racing Club 1 · draws 4 · Independiente 1 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Racing Club 2W 0D 3L · Independiente 2W 2D 1L

Racing Club 1–1 Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
5 / 4.88
Corners
against 3.43 / 6.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.29 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4.86 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.57 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRacing Club for / againstLineIndependiente for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.25our book
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3.43 against n 7
9.5standard
4.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
13.71 for · 14 against n 7
19.5standard
12.38 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.29 for · 4.86 against n 7
8.5standard
3.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.71 for · 12.57 against n 7
21.5standard
9.63 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.57 against n 7
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Facundo Tello.

Racing Club
Racing Club — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Adrián Martínez n 882.8
1.87/3
0.43/0
—
A. Espino n 849.3
1.85/3
2.35/3
—
E. Torres n 824.4
1.82/2
0.91/1
—
Matko Miljevic n 841.8
1.64/2
1.95/2
—
Adrián Fernández n 834.3
1.64/1
1.33/1
—
Racing Club — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Duván Vergara n 822.8
5.45/4
34/2
Matko Miljevic n 841.8
47/4
1.14/0
E. Torres n 824.4
3.75/1
0.92/0
Adrián Martínez n 882.8
2.47/6
1.17/1
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Racing Club — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
U. Ortegoza n 868.3
0.21/0
0.52/1
Duván Vergara n 822.8
0.51/0
00/0
Adrián Martínez n 882.8
0.32/0
00/0
Matko Miljevic n 841.8
0.31/0
00/0
Adrián Fernández n 834.3
00/0
0.31/0
Racing Club — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ezequiel Cannavo n 886.8
3.28/5
Matías Zaracho n 862.4
3.17/4
Ignacio Rodríguez n 890.9
2.78/7
A. Espino n 849.3
2.76/5
Leonel Pérez n 879.3
2.38/6
Racing Club — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Facundo Cambeses n 891.5
2.64/4
Independiente
Independiente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Morales n 834.1
46/2
1.33/1
—
Facundo Zabala n 883.1
1.88/3
0.94/3
—
J. Palais n 742.3
1.83/3
1.54/1
—
Nahuel Banegas n 865.5
1.46/2
1.46/2
—
Santiago Arias n 857.6
1.45/1
13/2
—
Independiente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lautaro Millán n 839.8
2.55/4
1.44/1
Maximiliano Gutiérrez n 865.1
2.47/5
15/1
E. Ávila n 828.8
2.32/2
0.41/0
Felipe Tempone n 830.1
2.22/2
1.92/2
Luciano Cabral n 826.5
2.12/1
0.82/0
Independiente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lautaro Millán n 839.8
0.61/1
00/0
Santiago Montiel n 882.6
0.11/0
0.43/0
Maximiliano Gutiérrez n 865.1
0.53/0
00/0
Matías Abaldo n 848
00/0
0.52/0
Maxi Meza n 842.8
0.52/0
00/0
Independiente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Facundo Zabala n 883.1
3.58/6
Santiago Arias n 857.6
2.96/5
Lautaro Millán n 839.8
2.84/3
Iván Marcone n 888.5
2.78/6
Maxi Meza n 842.8
2.14/3
Independiente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rodrigo Rey n 888.5
2.97/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Racing ClubIndependiente
53%Possession47%
1.27Expected goals (xG)1.09
9Shots10
3Shots on target3
4Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box6
8Corners4
2Offsides1
16Fouls9
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
404Passes372

Racing Club player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Facundo Cambeses9000000006.5
M. Martinez90000002Y6.1
Gonzalo Escudero90001002Y6.6
Ignacio Rodríguez9000001006.9
G. Lodico9000101106.8
Adrián Martínez9000110006.2
L. Díaz8100001306.4
J. Barinaga76000000Y6.1
M. Kranevitter7300200106.4
Matías Zaracho72103102Y7.3
Tomás Conechny7200001206.5
Duván Vergara1800000006.7
U. Ortegoza1800110007
Leonel Pérez17000002Y6.4
Ezequiel Cannavo1400000306.6
E. Torres900000006.9

Independiente player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rodrigo Rey9000000006.3
Sebastián Valdez9000000206.6
Juan Miguel Arrayago9000100206.4
Mateo Perez9000101306
Iván Marcone9000000206.2
Santiago Montiel9000201106.1
Maxi Meza8910330106.9
Nahuel Banegas8600002306.7
Santiago Arias7800001006.6
E. Ávila7800300006.8
Matías Abaldo4500001106.5
Luciano Cabral4500000006.6
Leonardo Godoy12000000Y5.9
I. Morales12000000Y6.2
Facundo Zabala400001006.4
Lautaro Millán100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Racing Club v Independiente — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Racing ClubLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
IndependienteWDWLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Racing Club 1 · 4 draws · Independiente 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2026-04-04 Independiente 1–0 Racing Club
  • 2025-09-28 Racing Club 0–0 Independiente
  • 2025-03-16 Independiente 1–1 Racing Club
  • 2024-08-25 Racing Club 0–0 Independiente
  • 2023-04-16 Independiente 1–1 Racing Club
  • 2022-07-10 Racing Club 1–0 Independiente
League standing · 2026
Racing Club#13 pos12 pts13 pl-6 GD
Independiente#7 pos19 pts13 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Racing Club scored1.08
Independiente scored0.92
Racing Club conceded1.54
Independiente conceded1

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Racing Club v Independiente?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Racing Club v Independiente was Home or Away (best price 1.35 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Racing Club and Independiente?
In their last 6 meetings, Racing Club won 1, Independiente won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Racing Club and Independiente?
Recent form — Racing Club 2W 0D 3L; Independiente 2W 2D 1L.

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