Racing Club v Independiente prediction
Team pages: Racing Club · Independiente · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Racing Club v Independiente, Liga Profesional Argentina on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 18:45 BST.
The match
Racing Club host Independiente in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 18:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Racing Club or Independiente (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Independiente are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Racing Club.
Form and the table
10 of Racing Club’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Racing Club’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Racing Club have four wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 10 home matches in all competitions — 1.30 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.50. Racing Club have scored 13 goals, the 14th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Racing Club have conceded 19 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.
Six of Independiente’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Independiente’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Independiente have five wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.78 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 1.11. Independiente have scored 11 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Independiente have conceded 12 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.
Racing Club (13th) and Independiente (seventh) are seven points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Independiente the stronger side, 58 rating points above Racing Club (Independiente 1516, Racing Club 1459, after at least 285 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Independiente 1–0 Racing Club.
Team news
Predicted Racing Club XI (4-1-4-1): F. Cambeses, I. Rodríguez, E. Cannavo, M. Martinez, M. Rojo, L. Pérez, U. Ortegoza, G. Lodico, M. Miljevic, M. Zaracho, A. Martínez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Santiago Sosa (4.0 per match over 23 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Gabriel Rojas (4.0 per match over 17 appearances, one goal and five assists) have been Racing Club’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Racing Club (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Santiago Sosa averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 3062 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Gabriel Rojas averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 2497 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Independiente XI (4-3-3): R. Rey, J. Arrayago, F. Zabala, L. Godoy, J. Fedorco, I. Marcone, M. Perez, M. Meza, S. Montiel, M. Abaldo, E. Ávila — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gabriel Ávalos (4.6 per match over 23 appearances, 11 goals and five assists) and Santiago Montiel (3.8 per match over 24 appearances, four goals and five assists) have been Independiente’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Independiente (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Gabriel Ávalos averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 2319 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. Santiago Montiel averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1689 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón
- Referee: Facundo Tello
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Racing Club 1 · draws 4 · Independiente 1 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Racing Club 2W 0D 3L · Independiente 2W 2D 1L
Racing Club v Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Racing Club for / against | Line | Independiente for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.25our book | 1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.71 for · 14 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.38 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.29 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.71 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.63 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Racing Club
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrián Martínez n 8 | 82.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | — |
| A. Espino n 8 | 49.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 | — |
| E. Torres n 8 | 24.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Matko Miljevic n 8 | 41.8 | 1.6 | 1.9 | — |
| Adrián Fernández n 8 | 34.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duván Vergara n 8 | 22.8 | 5.4 | 3 |
| Matko Miljevic n 8 | 41.8 | 4 | 1.1 |
| E. Torres n 8 | 24.4 | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| Adrián Martínez n 8 | 82.8 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| U. Ortegoza n 8 | 68.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Duván Vergara n 8 | 22.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Adrián Martínez n 8 | 82.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Matko Miljevic n 8 | 41.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Adrián Fernández n 8 | 34.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Cannavo n 8 | 86.8 | 3.2 |
| Matías Zaracho n 8 | 62.4 | 3.1 |
| Ignacio Rodríguez n 8 | 90.9 | 2.7 |
| A. Espino n 8 | 49.3 | 2.7 |
| Leonel Pérez n 8 | 79.3 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Facundo Cambeses n 8 | 91.5 | 2.6 |
Independiente
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Morales n 8 | 34.1 | 4 | 1.3 | — |
| Facundo Zabala n 8 | 83.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | — |
| J. Palais n 7 | 42.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | — |
| Nahuel Banegas n 8 | 65.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| Santiago Arias n 8 | 57.6 | 1.4 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Millán n 8 | 39.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Maximiliano Gutiérrez n 8 | 65.1 | 2.4 | 1 |
| E. Ávila n 8 | 28.8 | 2.3 | 0.4 |
| Felipe Tempone n 8 | 30.1 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Luciano Cabral n 8 | 26.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Millán n 8 | 39.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Santiago Montiel n 8 | 82.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Maximiliano Gutiérrez n 8 | 65.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Matías Abaldo n 8 | 48 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Maxi Meza n 8 | 42.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Facundo Zabala n 8 | 83.1 | 3.5 |
| Santiago Arias n 8 | 57.6 | 2.9 |
| Lautaro Millán n 8 | 39.8 | 2.8 |
| Iván Marcone n 8 | 88.5 | 2.7 |
| Maxi Meza n 8 | 42.8 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Rey n 8 | 88.5 | 2.9 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Racing Club v Independiente — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-04 Independiente 1–0 Racing Club
- 2025-09-28 Racing Club 0–0 Independiente
- 2025-03-16 Independiente 1–1 Racing Club
- 2024-08-25 Racing Club 0–0 Independiente
- 2023-04-16 Independiente 1–1 Racing Club
- 2022-07-10 Racing Club 1–0 Independiente
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Racing Club v Independiente?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Racing Club v Independiente is Home or Away (best price 1.35 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Racing Club and Independiente?
- In their last 6 meetings, Racing Club won 1, Independiente won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Racing Club and Independiente?
- Recent form — Racing Club 2W 0D 3L; Independiente 2W 2D 1L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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