Lanus v River Plate result

Full-time · Lanus 1–1 River Plate

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lanus · River Plate · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lanus 1–1 River Plate — this Liga Profesional Argentina match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Lanus and River Plate drew 1–1 at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez in Liga Profesional Argentina on Tuesday 26 August.

River Plate are unbeaten in their last nine matches.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — River Plate: G. Montiel (77’, assisted by Giuliano Galoppo); Lanus: R. Castillo (90’, assisted by Walter Bou).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Castillo’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Lanus 1.25, River Plate 1.42, from 13 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina showed two yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lanus: Agustín Medina (66’); River Plate: M. Salas (90’).

What it changes

Lanus are unbeaten in their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Castillo (Lanus) 6.9, G. Montiel (River Plate) 6.0 and Agustín Cardozo (Lanus) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or River Plate, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Lanus next travel to Banfield on 24 October 2026.

River Plate next travel to Belgrano Cordoba on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lanus: Banfield v Lanus, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for River Plate: Belgrano Cordoba v River Plate, Monday 19 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Lanus 1–1 River Plate · Liga Profesional Argentina
  • Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez · Lanús, Provincia de Buenos Aires
  • Referee: Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lanus 0 · draws 1 · River Plate 5 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lanus 4W 0D 1L · River Plate 2W 3D 0L

Lanus 1–1 River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.5 / 0.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.86 / 3.57
Corners
against 4.71 / 4 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.71 / 5.57
Shots on target
against 3.71 / 3.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 3.29
Cards
against 3 / 3.29 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.86 yellows
Referee · Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina
1.79 home / 2.07 away
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLanus for / againstLineRiver Plate for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.86 for · 4.71 against n 7
9.5standard
3.57 for · 4 against n 7
Shots
14.14 for · 8.86 against n 7
19.5standard
14.29 for · 9.29 against n 7
Shots on target
4.71 for · 3.71 against n 7
8.5standard
5.57 for · 3.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.57 for · 14.29 against n 7
21.5standard
13.29 for · 13 against n 7
Cards shown
2.29 for · 3 against n 7
3.5standard
3.29 for · 3.29 against n 7

Referee: Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina — 3.86 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 25.57 fouls over 14 matches (1.79 to the home side, 2.07 to the away side).

Lanus
Lanus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bruno Cabrera n 850
3.25/4
4.38/5
—
A. Méndez n 863.1
2.76/4
1.16/0
—
Franco Watson n 865.1
1.65/3
2.66/4
—
Ronaldo De Jesus n 892.4
1.57/3
0.43/0
—
R. Castillo n 865.8
1.45/2
1.24/2
—
Lanus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dylan Aquino n 827.6
2.45/1
1.23/0
Walter Bou n 854.4
2.15/5
0.83/1
Eduardo Salvio n 882.6
1.95/4
0.74/1
R. Castillo n 865.8
1.95/4
14/2
Juan Ramírez n 829.9
1.95/0
00/0
Lanus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Castillo n 865.8
0.52/1
00/0
Franco Watson n 865.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Bruno Cabrera n 850
00/0
0.51/1
Marcelino Moreno n 874.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Dylan Aquino n 827.6
0.41/0
00/0
Lanus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Agustín Medina n 865.6
3.48/6
Dylan Aquino n 827.6
3.35/1
Alexis Segovia n 828.5
3.24/4
A. Méndez n 863.1
2.76/5
Juan Ramírez n 829.9
2.63/2
Lanus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nahuel Losada n 891.4
2.75/5
River Plate
River Plate — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Meza n 527.6
3.93/2
2.63/1
—
Giuliano Galoppo n 849.6
3.47/5
1.12/2
—
M. Salas n 864.5
2.66/5
2.37/4
—
P. Martínez n 825.4
2.23/1
4.46/3
—
K. Castaño n 870.3
1.96/3
0.64/0
—
River Plate — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Juan Fernando Quintero n 861.3
2.95/5
1.14/2
Nacho Fernández n 849
2.87/3
1.64/2
Giuliano Galoppo n 849.6
2.77/3
1.86/1
P. Martínez n 825.4
2.75/1
00/0
Sebastian Driussi n 871.3
2.57/5
1.16/1
River Plate — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sebastian Driussi n 871.3
0.84/1
00/0
Giuliano Galoppo n 849.6
0.72/1
00/0
F. Colidio n 879.4
0.32/0
0.31/1
M. Salas n 864.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. Lencina n 662
0.51/1
00/0
River Plate — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Perez n 876.6
3.57/4
K. Castaño n 870.3
3.27/5
S. Lencina n 662
2.95/3
Giuliano Galoppo n 849.6
2.77/4
M. Acuna n 883
2.68/5
River Plate — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ledesma n 890.8
36/4
F. Armani n 890
2.56/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LanusRiver Plate
47%Possession53%
1.25Expected goals (xG)1.42
13Shots13
5Shots on target4
6Shots off target4
2Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box5
5Corners5
1Offsides1
12Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves4
435Passes488
73%Pass accuracy78%

Lanus player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Nahuel Losada9600000007
Carlos Izquierdoz9600100106.9
José Canale9600100006.9
Sasha Marcich9600101006.7
Agustín Cardozo9600002507.7
R. Castillo9610110007.7
Agustín Medina87001103Y6.7
Marcelino Moreno8700220106.6
Eduardo Salvio7500002006.5
Gonzalo Perez7400000006.3
Alexis Segovia5700101006.9
Franco Watson sub3900210006.3
A. Méndez sub2200000107
Dylan Aquino sub2100000006.5
A. Canelo sub900003006.6
Walter Bou sub901101106.7

River Plate player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Armani9600000007.2
J. Portillo9600110206.9
L. Rivero9600001406.9
M. Casco9600000106.2
K. Castaño9600002507.3
Matías Galarza9600101107
Giuliano Galoppo7801101207.2
S. Boselli6300000206.7
F. Colidio6300002106.5
J. Meza4500000006.3
M. Borja4500200006.2
Juan Fernando Quintero sub5100000006.3
M. Salas sub51002202Y6.5
G. Montiel sub3310110207.9
Sebastian Driussi sub3300000006.5
Giorgio Costantini sub1800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lanus v River Plate — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LanusWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
River PlateWDDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lanus 0 · 1 draw · River Plate 5 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-02-16 River Plate 1–0 Lanus
  • 2024-07-21 River Plate 2–2 Lanus
  • 2023-03-04 Lanus 0–2 River Plate
  • 2022-06-25 River Plate 2–1 Lanus
  • 2021-07-29 Lanus 0–3 River Plate
  • 2019-08-04 River Plate 3–0 Lanus
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Lanus#2 pos30 pts16 pl+7 GD
River Plate#6 pos22 pts16 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Lanus scored1.25
River Plate scored1.25
Lanus conceded0.81
River Plate conceded0.94

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Lanus v River Plate?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lanus v River Plate was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Lanus and River Plate?
In their last 6 meetings, Lanus won 0, River Plate won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lanus and River Plate?
Recent form — Lanus 4W 0D 1L; River Plate 2W 3D 0L.

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