Rosario Central v Gimnasia L.P. result

Full-time · Rosario Central 1–2 Gimnasia L.P.

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Gigante de Arroyito

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Rosario Central 1–2 Gimnasia L.P. — Gimnasia L.P. won this Liga Profesional Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.16 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1553 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gimnasia L.P. won 2–1 at Gigante de Arroyito in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 29 August. It is Gimnasia L.P.’s first win over Rosario Central since 24 June 2022, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Rosario Central: an own goal by C. Ledesma (59’) and Jaminton Campaz (86’, assisted by T. Badaloni); Gimnasia L.P.: Ignacio Miramón (88’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Rosario Central 0.58, Gimnasia L.P. 0.38, from 14 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Dario Herrera, Argentina showed five yellow cards — against 5.7 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rosario Central: Ignacio Ovando (45+2’) and F. Navarro (78’); Gimnasia L.P.: Nacho Fernández (32’), Ignacio Miramón (76’) and Bautista Barros Schelotto (90+2’).

What it changes

Rosario Central are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jaminton Campaz (Rosario Central) 9.7, Mateo Seoane (Gimnasia L.P.) 6.0 and Ignacio Miramón (Gimnasia L.P.) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rosario Central or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1170 of 1553).

Next up

Rosario Central next host Huracan on 25 October 2026.

Gimnasia L.P. next host Sarmiento Junin on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rosario Central: Rosario Central v Huracan, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Gimnasia L.P.: Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Rosario Central 1–2 Gimnasia L.P. · Liga Profesional Argentina
  • Venue: Gigante de Arroyito · Rosario
  • Referee: Dario Herrera, Argentina
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rosario Central 5 · draws 0 · Gimnasia L.P. 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rosario Central 2W 2D 1L · Gimnasia L.P. 2W 1D 2L

Rosario Central 1–2 Gimnasia L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
7.25 / 3.57
Corners
against 4 / 4.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.5 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 5.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.5 / 3
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5.67 yellows
Referee · Dario Herrera, Argentina
2.71 home / 2.95 away
over 21 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRosario Central for / againstLineGimnasia L.P. for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.25our book
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
7.25 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
3.57 for · 4.43 against n 7
Shots
14.63 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.14 for · 16.29 against n 7
Shots on target
3.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.57 for · 5.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.86 for · 15.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: Dario Herrera, Argentina — 5.67 yellow cards a game, 0.38 red cards, 25.86 fouls over 21 matches (2.71 to the home side, 2.95 to the away side).

Rosario Central
Rosario Central — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Navarro n 830.6
2.66/1
1.13/0
—
Emanuel Coronel n 872.3
27/2
0.95/1
—
A. Sandez n 879.8
1.75/4
0.32/0
—
E. Copetti n 875.5
1.66/4
15/2
—
T. Badaloni n 848.6
1.64/2
0.93/1
—
Rosario Central — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jaminton Campaz n 870.1
2.98/7
1.15/2
A. Di Maria n 885.1
2.46/4
0.93/1
M. Ruben n 828.1
24/1
0.41/0
E. Copetti n 875.5
1.86/2
0.63/1
Julián Fernández n 851.9
1.34/2
0.42/0
Rosario Central — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Zaracho n 377.7
00/0
0.41/0
G. Cantizano n 857.3
00/0
0.41/1
Julián Fernández n 851.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Ruben n 828.1
0.41/0
00/0
A. Di Maria n 885.1
0.31/1
00/0
Rosario Central — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Ibarra n 887.5
3.98/7
G. Cantizano n 857.3
3.17/5
Alexis Soto n 861.3
2.47/3
V. Pizarro n 867.5
2.26/4
A. Rodríguez n 846.8
2.24/2
Rosario Central — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ledesma n 891.4
3.16/4
A. Werner n 891.6
2.67/4
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P. — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucas Janson n 838.6
2.34/3
3.25/3
—
Juan Pérez n 829.1
2.34/2
1.53/1
—
Nicolas Schelotto n 854.5
2.14/3
2.15/4
—
Manuel Panaro n 820.6
1.63/0
1.12/0
—
Nacho Fernández n 887.1
1.57/5
4.38/8
—
Gimnasia L.P. — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Maximiliano Zalazar n 834.6
4.57/5
1.94/2
Manuel Panaro n 820.6
3.84/1
1.62/1
Franco Torres n 816.3
2.84/0
1.42/0
Agustín Colazo n 838.4
2.65/3
1.84/2
Agustín Auzmendi n 884.6
2.18/5
1.27/2
Gimnasia L.P. — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Franco Torres n 816.3
1.42/0
00/0
Agustín Colazo n 838.4
0.93/0
00/0
Marcelo Torres n 874.9
0.64/0
00/0
Maximiliano Zalazar n 834.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
Alexis Steimbach n 874.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
Gimnasia L.P. — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Matías Melluso n 825
53/2
Nicolas Schelotto n 854.5
3.36/4
A. Max n 860.1
3.27/7
Nacho Fernández n 887.1
3.18/7
Alexis Steimbach n 874.6
2.97/5
Gimnasia L.P. — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nelson Insfrán n 891.5
3.98/7

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rosario CentralGimnasia L.P.
68%Possession32%
0.58Expected goals (xG)0.38
14Shots11
7Shots on target3
5Shots off target5
2Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box5
10Corners3
4Offsides0
13Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves6
581Passes271
84%Pass accuracy65%

Rosario Central player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Ledesma9000000006
Emanuel Coronel9000000106.5
G. Avila9000310206.5
F. Ibarra9000101207.2
A. Di Maria9000334006.9
Jaminton Campaz9010224108
M. Ruben8300001106.9
V. Pizarro6700100006.9
G. Cantizano6700111106.9
Ignacio Ovando45000000Y6.5
A. Sandez4500001006.6
Alexis Soto sub4500000006.5
Facundo Mallo sub4500000005.6
F. Navarro sub23000000Y6.3
E. Copetti sub2300100006.2
T. Badaloni sub1201001006.6

Gimnasia L.P. player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Nelson Insfrán9000000007.2
Bautista Barros Schelotto90000012Y6.3
Germán Conti9000001106.7
Enzo Martínez9000110106.6
Pedro Silva9000210206.7
Ignacio Miramón90102101Y7.7
Mateo Seoane8900000506.9
Nacho Fernández89001043Y6.7
Lucas Janson7100000406.9
Agustín Auzmendi7000100006.7
Maximiliano Zalazar5300100206.9
Franco Torres sub3700001006.5
Agustín Colazo sub2000001006.6
Renzo Giampaoli sub1900000006.2
A. Max sub10000010–
Manuel Panaro sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rosario Central v Gimnasia L.P. — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rosario CentralWDWLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Gimnasia L.P.WWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rosario Central 5 · 0 draws · Gimnasia L.P. 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-25 Gimnasia L.P. 1–2 Rosario Central
  • 2025-09-27 Gimnasia L.P. 0–3 Rosario Central
  • 2025-03-15 Rosario Central 2–1 Gimnasia L.P.
  • 2024-08-05 Gimnasia L.P. 0–1 Rosario Central
  • 2023-03-31 Rosario Central 3–1 Gimnasia L.P.
  • 2022-06-24 Rosario Central 0–1 Gimnasia L.P.
League standing · 2026
Rosario Central#1 pos25 pts13 pl+9 GD
Gimnasia L.P.#4 pos22 pts13 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Rosario Central scored1.54
Gimnasia L.P. scored1.46
Rosario Central conceded0.85
Gimnasia L.P. conceded1.38

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Rosario Central v Gimnasia L.P.?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rosario Central v Gimnasia L.P. was Home or Draw (best price 1.16 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Rosario Central and Gimnasia L.P.?
In their last 6 meetings, Rosario Central won 5, Gimnasia L.P. won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rosario Central and Gimnasia L.P.?
Recent form — Rosario Central 2W 2D 1L; Gimnasia L.P. 2W 1D 2L.

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