San Lorenzo v Velez Sarsfield result

Full-time · San Lorenzo 1–0 Velez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional Argentina · Thu, 07 Aug 2025 23:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: San Lorenzo · Velez Sarsfield · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

San Lorenzo 1–0 Velez Sarsfield — San Lorenzo won this Liga Profesional Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

San Lorenzo beat Velez Sarsfield 1–0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on Thursday 7 August. It is San Lorenzo’s first win over Velez Sarsfield since 8 October 2022, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

San Lorenzo led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — San Lorenzo: Alexis Cuello (28’, assisted by E. Cerutti).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alexis Cuello’s goal on 28 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: San Lorenzo 1.78, Velez Sarsfield 0.59, from 22 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina showed seven yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — San Lorenzo: Elías Báez (2’), Matias Reali (20’) and Ignacio Perruzzi (59’); Velez Sarsfield: C. Baeza (4’), I. Machuca (22’), Elías Gómez (56’) and B. Romero (79’).

What it changes

Velez Sarsfield are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Velez Sarsfield have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alexis Cuello (San Lorenzo) 9.5, E. Cerutti (San Lorenzo) 5.3 and Fabricio López (San Lorenzo) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Velez Sarsfield, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

San Lorenzo next travel to Estudiantes L.P. on 18 October 2026.

Velez Sarsfield next travel to Central Cordoba de Santiago on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for San Lorenzo: Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Velez Sarsfield: Central Cordoba de Santiago v Velez Sarsfield, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: San Lorenzo 1–0 Velez Sarsfield · Liga Profesional Argentina
Referee: Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): San Lorenzo 1 · draws 2 · Velez Sarsfield 3 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: San Lorenzo 1W 3D 1L · Velez Sarsfield 1W 3D 1L

San Lorenzo 1–0 Velez Sarsfield (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 0.88

Goals

against 0.63 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.17 / 4.57

Corners

against 3.33 / 3.14 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 6 matches

2.17 / 4.57

Shots on target

against 2.5 / 4.14 · 0 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.5 / 2.86

Cards

against 3.5 / 2.71 · 3 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 6 matches

4.64 yellows

Referee · Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina

2 home / 2.64 away

over 14 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	San Lorenzo for / against	Line	Velez Sarsfield for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.17 for · 3.33 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	4.57 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	7.5 for · 8.67 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	11.14 for · 13.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	2.17 for · 2.5 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	4.57 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.17 for · 15 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	14.86 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 3.5 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2.86 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina — 4.64 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 26.5 fouls over 14 matches (2 to the home side, 2.64 to the away side).

Home 2Away 2.64

San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Agustin Ladstatter n 5	11.6	4.7 3/0	0 0/0	—
F. Perruzzi n 8	30	3.4 5/2	1.1 3/0	—
Ignacio Perruzzi n 7	80.3	3 7/5	1.4 4/3	—
Emanuel Cecchini n 8	54.9	2.3 6/3	1.2 4/1	—
A. Vombergar n 8	84.8	2 7/3	0.8 4/2	—

San Lorenzo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alexis Cuello n 8	52.9	1.7 5/2	1.1 4/1
Agustin Ladstatter n 5	11.6	1.6 1/0	0 0/0
A. Vombergar n 8	84.8	1.2 6/2	0.5 3/1
Matias Reali n 8	36.6	0.9 3/0	0.6 2/0
E. Cerutti n 8	68.9	0.8 3/2	0.5 2/1

San Lorenzo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alexis Cuello n 8	52.9	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
A. Vombergar n 8	84.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
E. Cerutti n 8	68.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Ezequiel Herrera n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Elías Báez n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0 0/0

San Lorenzo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ezequiel Herrera n 8	91.3	3.5 8/7
F. Perruzzi n 8	30	3.4 3/2
Ignacio Perruzzi n 7	80.3	2.9 6/4
Manuel Insaurralde n 8	35.4	2.9 4/3
Matias Reali n 8	36.6	2.5 5/2

San Lorenzo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Orlando Gill n 8	91.3	1.8 5/2

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Baeza n 8	78.4	2.7 8/6	1 6/1	—
B. Romero n 8	90.3	2.2 7/5	1.4 7/2	—
C. Ordoñez n 8	85.1	2.2 8/4	0.7 4/1	—
Kevin Vázquez n 8	34.4	2 4/2	0.3 1/0	—
M. Carrizo n 8	81.6	1.9 7/4	1.9 6/4	—

Velez Sarsfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Michael Santos n 8	44.9	2.8 4/3	1.5 4/2
B. Romero n 8	90.3	2.4 7/6	1.2 7/2
T. Silvero n 7	21.1	1.8 2/1	1.2 2/0
M. Carrizo n 8	81.6	1.5 6/3	1 4/2
F. Pizzini n 8	56.1	1.2 3/2	0.6 2/1

Velez Sarsfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Carrizo n 8	81.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
I. Machuca n 8	48.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
M. Pellegrini n 8	28.4	0 0/0	0.4 1/0
Michael Santos n 8	44.9	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
B. Romero n 8	90.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0

Velez Sarsfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Kevin Vázquez n 8	34.4	3.9 6/3
Jano Gordon n 8	76.5	3.8 6/6
A. Bouzat n 8	89.4	3.3 8/7
C. Ordoñez n 8	85.1	3 7/7
T. Silvero n 7	21.1	3 4/1

Velez Sarsfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Marchiori n 8	91.8	2.7 5/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
San Lorenzo		Velez Sarsfield
41%	Possession	59%
1.78	Expected goals (xG)	0.59
22	Shots	6
6	Shots on target	0
10	Shots off target	2
6	Blocked shots	4
12	Shots inside the box	3
7	Corners	5
0	Offsides	1
8	Fouls	18
3	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	6
303	Passes	434
70%	Pass accuracy	76%

San Lorenzo player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Orlando Gill	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Jhohan Romaña	90	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	7.2
G. Hernández	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	7
Elías Báez	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	Y	7.9
Nicolás Tripichio	90	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	7
Ignacio Perruzzi	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	Y	7.5
Alexis Cuello	90	1	0	3	1	4	3	0	8.2
Matias Reali	78	0	0	4	1	2	2	Y	6.9
E. Cerutti	59	0	1	2	1	2	0	0	7.3
Ezequiel Herrera	45	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.2
Manuel Insaurralde	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
Fabricio López sub	45	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	7.3
Juan Rattalino sub	45	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
Agustin Ladstatter sub	31	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
Branco Salinardi sub	13	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.3
F. Perruzzi sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Velez Sarsfield player stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Marchiori	90	0	0	0	0	7.2
Jano Gordon	90	0	1	4	0	7.3
E. Mammana	90	1	0	2	0	7.7
L. Magallán	90	0	0	1	0	6.5
Elías Gómez	90	0	0	4	Y	6.6
R. Aliendro	90	0	0	4	0	6.3
T. Andrada	90	0	0	3	0	6.5
B. Romero	90	0	0	1	Y	6.9
I. Machuca	83	0	1	1	Y	6.2
M. Carrizo	82	0	0	0	0	6
C. Baeza	54	0	0	3	Y	6.7
D. Godoy sub	37	1	1	0	0	6.6
M. Pellegrini sub	9	0	0	1	0	6.5
A. Veron sub	8	0	1	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind San Lorenzo v Velez Sarsfield — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

San LorenzoDWDDL

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Velez SarsfieldLDWDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

San Lorenzo 1 · 2 draws · Velez Sarsfield 3 · 1.5 goals/game

2025-02-08 Velez Sarsfield 0–0 San Lorenzo
2024-09-14 San Lorenzo 0–1 Velez Sarsfield
2024-08-07 San Lorenzo 1–3 Velez Sarsfield
2023-04-29 Velez Sarsfield 0–0 San Lorenzo
2022-10-08 San Lorenzo 1–0 Velez Sarsfield
2021-11-07 Velez Sarsfield 2–1 San Lorenzo

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

San Lorenzo#5 pos24 pts16 pl+2 GD

Velez Sarsfield#4 pos26 pts16 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

San Lorenzo scored0.81

Velez Sarsfield scored1.19

San Lorenzo conceded0.69

Velez Sarsfield conceded0.75

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for San Lorenzo v Velez Sarsfield?: TACTIX’s free model pick for San Lorenzo v Velez Sarsfield was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between San Lorenzo and Velez Sarsfield?: In their last 6 meetings, San Lorenzo won 1, Velez Sarsfield won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of San Lorenzo and Velez Sarsfield?: Recent form — San Lorenzo 1W 3D 1L; Velez Sarsfield 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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