Sarmiento Junin v Argentinos JRS result

Full-time · Sarmiento Junin 2–3 Argentinos JRS

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio Eva Perón

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sarmiento Junin · Argentinos JRS · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sarmiento Junin 2–3 Argentinos JRS — Argentinos JRS won this Liga Profesional Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Argentinos JRS won 3–2 at Estadio Eva Perón in Liga Profesional Argentina on Thursday 23 July.

The goals

Argentinos JRS came from behind: Sarmiento Junin led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Sarmiento Junin: Junior Marabel (30’, assisted by Pablo Magnin) and R. Orihuela (69’, assisted by Cristian Zabala); Argentinos JRS: A. Lescano (48’, assisted by T. Molina), S. Prieto (58’) and Diego Porcel (90’, assisted by Hernán López Muñoz). Diego Porcel (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Diego Porcel’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Sarmiento Junin 1.34, Argentinos JRS 1.37, from 12 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Luis Lobo Medina, Argentina showed nine yellow cards and one red — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sarmiento Junin: E. Gimenez (12’), Juan Manuel Insaurralde (45+1’) and Cristian Zabala (53’); Argentinos JRS: F. Paredes (16’), I. Morales (24’), F. Alvarez (43’), A. Lescano (54’), Diego Porcel (76’) and Diego Porcel (90+1’).

What it changes

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of Clausura round 1, across 15 matches. Sarmiento Junin have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Argentinos JRS are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Orihuela (Sarmiento Junin) 9.7, Cristian Zabala (Sarmiento Junin) 9.7 and S. Prieto (Argentinos JRS) 8.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Argentinos JRS, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Sarmiento Junin next host Barracas Central on 19 October 2026.

Argentinos JRS next host Independ. Rivadavia on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sarmiento Junin: Sarmiento Junin v Barracas Central, Monday 19 October — the preview. Next for Argentinos JRS: Argentinos JRS v Independ. Rivadavia, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Sarmiento Junin 2–3 Argentinos JRS · Liga Profesional Argentina
  • Venue: Estadio Eva Perón · Junin
  • Referee: Luis Lobo Medina, Argentina
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sarmiento Junin 2 · draws 2 · Argentinos JRS 2 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sarmiento Junin 1W 0D 4L · Argentinos JRS 3W 1D 1L

Sarmiento Junin 2–3 Argentinos JRS (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 1.75
over 8 matches
2.83 / 6.63
Corners
against 5.33 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.33 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.43 / 2.88
Cards
against 1.86 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5.24 yellows
Referee · Luis Lobo Medina, Argentina
2.29 home / 2.94 away
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSarmiento Junin for / againstLineArgentinos JRS for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
1.75our book
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
2.83 for · 5.33 against n 6
9.5standard
6.63 for · 2.75 against n 8
Shots
9 for · 15.5 against n 6
19.5standard
13.5 for · 9.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 4.33 against n 6
8.5standard
4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.67 for · 10.83 against n 6
21.5standard
12.75 for · 16 against n 8
Cards shown
2.43 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2.88 for · 4.38 against n 8

Referee: Luis Lobo Medina, Argentina — 5.24 yellow cards a game, 0.06 red cards, 22.94 fouls over 17 matches (2.29 to the home side, 2.94 to the away side).

Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Julian Contrera n 860.6
3.78/4
1.13/2
—
Gabriel Díaz n 846
2.44/3
00/0
—
Manuel Garcia n 861.9
2.25/4
0.42/0
—
C. Villalba n 846.5
1.74/2
0.73/0
—
Diego Churin n 833.3
1.74/1
22/2
—
Sarmiento Junin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Junior Marabel n 880
2.16/4
0.84/2
Pablo Magnin n 851.4
1.85/2
0.93/1
Jhon Rentería n 847.1
1.72/2
1.22/2
J. Gomez n 846.4
1.54/2
0.73/0
Facundo Alaggia n 414.8
1.51/0
1.51/0
Sarmiento Junin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Junior Marabel n 880
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Gomez n 846.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Nicolás Pasquini n 873.5
0.21/0
00/0
Santiago Salle n 855.1
00/0
0.21/0
Pablo Magnin n 851.4
0.21/0
00/0
Sarmiento Junin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Facundo Alaggia n 414.8
3.12/0
Lucas Suárez n 853.4
2.55/5
Cristian Zabala n 888.5
2.48/6
Manuel Garcia n 861.9
2.26/3
Julian Contrera n 860.6
24/3
Sarmiento Junin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Javier Burrai n 893.1
4.18/5
Argentinos JRS
Argentinos JRS — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Diego Porcel n 818.1
5.66/2
4.36/1
—
Hernán López Muñoz n 848.5
37/3
2.65/3
—
G. Florentin n 823.9
2.43/1
3.34/2
—
E. Viveros n 854
1.95/2
2.15/3
—
Claudio Bravo n 823.5
1.94/0
00/0
—
Argentinos JRS — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Diego Porcel n 818.1
3.73/2
1.21/1
Gastón Verón n 858.6
2.18/2
0.42/0
A. Lescano n 886
1.66/4
0.73/2
T. Molina n 876.9
1.66/2
0.95/1
I. Morales n 856.1
1.65/1
0.83/1
Argentinos JRS — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Florentin n 823.9
0.51/0
0.51/0
Hernán López Muñoz n 848.5
0.21/0
0.52/0
T. Molina n 876.9
0.43/0
00/0
F. Jainikoski n 861.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Fernandez n 825.5
00/0
0.41/0
Argentinos JRS — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Claudio Bravo n 823.5
5.35/2
Lucas Gómez n 824
3.33/2
E. Perez n 824.4
3.23/3
Kevin Coronel n 880.4
2.78/6
Diego Porcel n 818.1
2.53/1
Argentinos JRS — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Cortes n 898.3
1.75/3

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sarmiento JuninArgentinos JRS
45%Possession55%
1.34Expected goals (xG)1.37
12Shots13
3Shots on target5
5Shots off target3
4Blocked shots5
6Shots inside the box9
7Corners2
1Offsides2
15Fouls14
3Yellow cards6
0Red cards1
2Saves1
352Passes454
74%Pass accuracy83%

Sarmiento Junin player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Arboleda9000000006.3
Thiago Santamaría9000003506.2
R. Orihuela9010110507.5
Juan Manuel Insaurralde90000000Y6.2
Lucas Suárez9000100206.2
Cristian Zabala90010026Y7.9
Gabriel Díaz8900101106.3
Santiago Salle8400000106.7
Junior Marabel8410320007.3
Pablo Magnin5701001006.9
E. Gimenez45000001Y6.3
Manuel Garcia sub4500100006.5
Jonathan Herrera sub3300000006.3
Julián Mavilla sub1300001006.7
Diego Churin sub1300100006.5
G. Gonzalez sub10000000–

Argentinos JRS player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Cortes9000000005.9
F. Paredes90000001Y6.9
F. Alvarez90000001Y6.2
S. Prieto9010111207.2
A. Lescano90102211Y8
N. Oroz9000002107
Gastón Verón8000212106.7
F. Jainikoski7200101006
Lucas Gómez4500000106.3
I. Morales45000010Y6.3
Erik Godoy3800000006.6
Kevin Coronel sub5200000306.6
K. Gutiérrez sub4500100106.9
T. Molina sub4501002006.3
Diego Porcel sub19101100RY7.2
Hernán López Muñoz sub1001001006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sarmiento Junin v Argentinos JRS — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sarmiento JuninLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Argentinos JRSWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sarmiento Junin 2 · 2 draws · Argentinos JRS 2 · 1 goals/game
  • 2026-01-26 Argentinos JRS 1–0 Sarmiento Junin
  • 2024-08-08 Argentinos JRS 0–0 Sarmiento Junin
  • 2023-04-08 Sarmiento Junin 2–0 Argentinos JRS
  • 2022-06-11 Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Argentinos JRS
  • 2022-04-26 Argentinos JRS 0–0 Sarmiento Junin
  • 2021-12-11 Argentinos JRS 2–0 Sarmiento Junin
League standing · 2026
Sarmiento Junin#5 pos20 pts12 pl+3 GD
Argentinos JRS#2 pos25 pts13 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Sarmiento Junin scored1.75
Argentinos JRS scored1.31
Sarmiento Junin conceded1.5
Argentinos JRS conceded0.85

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sarmiento Junin v Argentinos JRS?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sarmiento Junin v Argentinos JRS was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarmiento Junin and Argentinos JRS?
In their last 6 meetings, Sarmiento Junin won 2, Argentinos JRS won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sarmiento Junin and Argentinos JRS?
Recent form — Sarmiento Junin 1W 0D 4L; Argentinos JRS 3W 1D 1L.

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