Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes L.P. prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio 15 de Abril

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes L.P., Liga Profesional Argentina on Mon, 26 Oct 2026 22:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 638 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Union Santa Fe host Estudiantes L.P. in Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 26 October (kick-off 22:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Union Santa Fe are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Estudiantes L.P. are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Union Santa Fe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Union Santa Fe’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Union Santa Fe have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.71. Union Santa Fe have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Union Santa Fe have conceded 22 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Eight of Estudiantes L.P.’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Estudiantes L.P.’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Estudiantes L.P. have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.14. Estudiantes L.P. have scored 16 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Estudiantes L.P. have conceded 15 goals, the 13th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Union Santa Fe (11th) and Estudiantes L.P. (10th) are level on points, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Estudiantes L.P. the stronger side, 81 rating points above Union Santa Fe (Estudiantes L.P. 1520, Union Santa Fe 1439, after at least 283 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Union Santa Fe.

Team news

Predicted Union Santa Fe XI (4-4-2): M. Mansilla, J. Ludueña, L. Ayala, J. Pintado, M. Rocha, L. Menossi, I. Malcorra, B. Cuello, J. Palacios, C. Tarragona, M. Estigarribia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mateo Del Blanco (4.8 per match over 18 appearances, two goals and two assists) and Cristian Tarragona (4.0 per match over 30 appearances, 14 goals and one assist) have been Union Santa Fe’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Union Santa Fe (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Mateo Del Blanco averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1614 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances. Cristian Tarragona averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 2671 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Estudiantes L.P. XI (4-2-3-1): F. Muslera, L. Pírez, G. Benedetti, S. Núñez, E. Meza, B. Rodriguez, A. Castro, E. Cetré, G. Neves, E. Piovi, A. Gaich — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Medina (3.8 per match over five appearances, one assist) and Tiago Palacios (3.5 per match over 28 appearances, seven goals and three assists) have been Estudiantes L.P.’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Estudiantes L.P. (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Medina averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 2784 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Tiago Palacios averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1747 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

The referee

P. Dovalo takes charge; across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 4.0 yellow cards a game and 0.13 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Referee: P. Dovalo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Union Santa Fe 2 · draws 1 · Estudiantes L.P. 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Union Santa Fe 0W 1D 4L · Estudiantes L.P. 1W 2D 2L

Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.57
Corners
against 4.38 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.63 / 5.14
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.63 / 2.43
Cards
against 2.88 / 2.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4 yellows
Referee · P. Dovalo
1.75 home / 2.25 away
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameUnion Santa Fe for / againstLineEstudiantes L.P. for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.25our book
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.57 for · 4 against n 7
Shots
14.88 for · 15.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15.71 for · 11 against n 7
Shots on target
4.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.14 for · 3.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 15.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.43 for · 2.43 against n 7

Referee: P. Dovalo — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 25.88 fouls over 8 matches (1.75 to the home side, 2.25 to the away side).

Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Cristian Tarragona n 888.5
2.78/8
2.28/5
—
Julián Palacios n 872.8
1.96/4
1.44/3
—
Eric Ramírez n 824.5
1.83/1
0.92/0
—
M. Rocha n 863
1.66/3
0.53/0
—
Emilio Giaccone n 866.6
1.56/3
0.53/0
—
Union Santa Fe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Cristian Tarragona n 888.5
3.26/5
0.84/2
M. Aguirre n 827.6
2.95/2
0.82/0
Eric Ramírez n 824.5
2.84/1
1.84/0
Marcelo Estigarribia n 864.9
2.36/3
0.74/0
Joaquin Mosqueira n 857
1.86/3
0.42/0
Union Santa Fe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Eric Ramírez n 824.5
0.92/0
00/0
Cristian Tarragona n 888.5
0.63/2
00/0
Lucas Menossi n 881.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
Marcelo Estigarribia n 864.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Ignacio Malcorra n 861
0.21/0
0.21/0
Union Santa Fe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Pintado n 876.8
3.48/7
Bruno Pittón n 835.3
3.26/3
Julián Palacios n 872.8
2.97/6
Tobías Rubio n 855
2.54/3
Emilio Giaccone n 866.6
2.45/5
Union Santa Fe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matías Mansilla n 891.1
3.57/5
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P. — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Monsalve n 841.4
36/4
3.37/5
—
Tiago Palacios n 850.8
2.75/5
1.34/1
—
Baltasar Rodriguez n 860.5
2.67/4
3.26/5
—
Ezequiel Piovi n 867.9
26/4
0.73/1
—
Adolfo Gaich n 860.9
25/4
1.75/2
—
Estudiantes L.P. — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Guido Carrillo n 845.3
47/5
1.23/1
Edwuin Cetré n 851.6
3.36/5
1.54/2
Fabricio Pérez n 846.4
3.26/4
1.54/2
Tiago Palacios n 850.8
3.16/4
1.34/2
Joaquín Tobio Burgos n 857.8
2.36/5
0.41/1
Estudiantes L.P. — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Edwuin Cetré n 851.6
0.73/0
0.21/0
Fabricio Pérez n 846.4
0.51/1
0.21/0
Adolfo Gaich n 860.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Alexis Castro n 866.5
0.32/0
00/0
M. Monsalve n 841.4
0.31/0
00/0
Estudiantes L.P. — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gabriel Neves n 860.4
3.76/5
Alexis Castro n 866.5
3.66/5
Baltasar Rodriguez n 860.5
3.26/4
Eros Mancuso n 865.5
3.17/6
Eric Meza n 850.3
2.97/4
Estudiantes L.P. — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fabricio Iacovich n 892
3.15/4
Fernando Muslera n 890
1.65/1

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes L.P. — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Union Santa FeLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Estudiantes L.P.LWDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Union Santa Fe 2 · 1 draw · Estudiantes L.P. 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Union Santa Fe
  • 2025-07-15 Union Santa Fe 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.
  • 2025-01-25 Estudiantes L.P. 3–1 Union Santa Fe
  • 2024-07-21 Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Union Santa Fe
  • 2023-03-03 Union Santa Fe 2–0 Estudiantes L.P.
  • 2022-08-22 Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Union Santa Fe
League standing · 2026
Union Santa Fe#11 pos14 pts13 pl-4 GD
Estudiantes L.P.#10 pos14 pts13 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Union Santa Fe scored1.38
Estudiantes L.P. scored1.23
Union Santa Fe conceded1.69
Estudiantes L.P. conceded1.15

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes L.P.?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes L.P. is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Union Santa Fe and Estudiantes L.P.?
In their last 6 meetings, Union Santa Fe won 2, Estudiantes L.P. won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Union Santa Fe and Estudiantes L.P.?
Recent form — Union Santa Fe 0W 1D 4L; Estudiantes L.P. 1W 2D 2L.

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