Velez Sarsfield v Estudiantes L.P. result

Full-time · Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Jose Amalfitani

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Velez Sarsfield · Estudiantes L.P. · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Estudiantes L.P. — Velez Sarsfield won this Liga Profesional Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away shots total over 9.5.

Free pick
Away shots total over 9.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Velez Sarsfield beat Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 at Jose Amalfitani in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 6 September. Velez Sarsfield are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

Velez Sarsfield led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Velez Sarsfield: R. Martinez (40’, assisted by T. Silvero).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Martinez’s goal on 40 minutes.

Discipline

P. Dovalo showed seven yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Velez Sarsfield: T. Silvero (25’) and M. Pellegrini (73’); Estudiantes L.P.: Alexis Castro (33’), Tomás Palacios (45+1’), Edwuin Cetré (47’), Ezequiel Piovi (56’) and J. Correa (90+5’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Baltasar Rodriguez (Estudiantes L.P.) 8.1, M. Pellegrini (Velez Sarsfield) 6.2 and R. Martinez (Velez Sarsfield) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Estudiantes L.P. shots total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Velez Sarsfield next travel to Central Cordoba de Santiago on 26 October 2026.

Estudiantes L.P. next travel to Flamengo on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Velez Sarsfield: Central Cordoba de Santiago v Velez Sarsfield, Monday 26 October — the preview. Next for Estudiantes L.P.: Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P., Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Estudiantes L.P. · Liga Profesional Argentina
  • Venue: Jose Amalfitani · Buenos Aires
  • Referee: P. Dovalo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Velez Sarsfield 4 · draws 0 · Estudiantes L.P. 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Velez Sarsfield 0W 5D 0L · Estudiantes L.P. 3W 1D 1L

Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Estudiantes L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 1.75
over 8 matches
4.43 / 4.71
Corners
against 5.43 / 2.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 5.57
Shots on target
against 4.29 / 2.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 2.71
Cards
against 2.14 / 2.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.22 yellows
Referee · P. Dovalo
1.78 home / 2.44 away
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVelez Sarsfield for / againstLineEstudiantes L.P. for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
1.75our book
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.43 for · 5.43 against n 7
9.5standard
4.71 for · 2.57 against n 7
Shots
10.14 for · 16.57 against n 7
19.5standard
15.57 for · 9.29 against n 7
Shots on target
4.29 for · 4.29 against n 7
8.5standard
5.57 for · 2.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
11 for · 12.86 against n 7
21.5standard
11.29 for · 15.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.71 for · 2.57 against n 7

Referee: P. Dovalo — 4.22 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 25.44 fouls over 9 matches (1.78 to the home side, 2.44 to the away side).

Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Thiago Aguirre n 636.5
2.13/2
0.41/0
—
M. Pellegrini n 879.8
26/6
15/2
Brian Aguirre
R. Aliendro n 884.9
1.66/3
1.66/2
—
L. Robertone n 865.3
1.65/3
2.15/4
—
T. Andrada n 885.4
1.46/3
1.36/3
—
Velez Sarsfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Monzon n 881.1
2.67/6
1.26/2
D. Valdes n 845.5
26/1
1.24/1
M. Lanzini n 883.4
1.97/4
1.16/2
S. Escobar n 553.2
1.73/2
00/0
D. Godoy n 848.4
1.45/1
0.52/0
Velez Sarsfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Valdes n 845.5
0.73/0
0.52/0
Thiago Aguirre n 636.5
0.41/0
0.41/0
F. Monzon n 881.1
0.74/1
00/0
M. Lanzini n 883.4
0.43/0
00/0
Elías Gómez n 889.6
00/0
0.32/0
Velez Sarsfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Escobar n 553.2
4.73/3
R. Aliendro n 884.9
2.77/4
J. Garcia n 892.5
2.47/6
T. Andrada n 885.4
2.26/4
C. Baeza n 855.1
2.25/2
Velez Sarsfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Marchiori n 893.6
3.48/3
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P. — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Baltasar Rodriguez n 849.1
3.97/7
1.14/1
—
Tiago Palacios n 864.3
1.94/4
1.14/1
—
Brian Aguirre n 829.9
1.94/1
2.34/2
M. Pellegrini
Joaquín Pereyra n 474
1.84/1
0.31/0
—
Ezequiel Piovi n 883.1
1.67/3
0.54/0
—
Estudiantes L.P. — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Guido Carrillo n 873.1
3.58/6
1.87/3
Fabricio Pérez n 841.9
34/4
1.33/2
Brian Aguirre n 829.9
2.65/2
1.13/0
J. Correa n 850
2.56/3
1.15/0
Alexis Castro n 863.8
2.16/4
0.52/1
Estudiantes L.P. — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Correa n 850
0.52/0
0.93/1
Guido Carrillo n 873.1
0.52/1
0.21/0
Joaquín Tobio Burgos n 863
0.42/0
0.21/0
Eros Mancuso n 869.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Tiago Palacios n 864.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Estudiantes L.P. — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ezequiel Piovi n 883.1
4.27/7
Alexis Castro n 863.8
4.28/6
Gabriel Neves n 845.1
3.54/3
Eros Mancuso n 869.3
2.36/4
Edwuin Cetré n 834.1
2.35/1
Estudiantes L.P. — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fabricio Iacovich n 887.8
2.85/3
Fernando Muslera n 885.9
2.86/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.
45%Possession55%
11Shots6
3Shots on target2
5Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box5
5Corners1
1Offsides4
16Fouls19
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
2Saves2
381Passes472

Velez Sarsfield player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Aliendro9000000006.2
T. Silvero90011110Y6.5
T. Marchiori9000000006.8
E. Mammana9000000106.7
Elías Gómez9000000206.3
J. Garcia9000000106.1
S. Escobar9000300106.2
M. Pellegrini89002014Y6
R. Martinez7310221008.2
L. Robertone7200002206.8
J. Policella6500201206.4
M. Lanzini2500000006.4
Luca Feler1800100106.6
Thiago Aguirre1700001006.5
M. Arias100000000

Estudiantes L.P. player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Eric Meza9000110306
Tomás Palacios90001000Y6.7
Gastón Benedetti9000000006.4
Alexis Castro90001003Y6.3
Baltasar Rodriguez9000102606.4
Fernando Muslera9000000006.6
Leandro González Pírez7700000006.4
Edwuin Cetré65000010Y6.1
Adolfo Gaich6500000106.8
Ezequiel Piovi45000000Y6.1
Brian Aguirre4500110006.6
J. Correa45001000Y6.6
Gabriel Neves4500000106.2
Guido Carrillo2500001006.5
Joaquín Tobio Burgos2500001206.9
Santiago Núñez1300000106.8

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Velez Sarsfield v Estudiantes L.P. — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Velez SarsfieldDDDDD
Last 5: 0W 5D 0L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Estudiantes L.P.WWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Velez Sarsfield 4 · 0 draws · Estudiantes L.P. 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-03-02 Estudiantes L.P. 0–1 Velez Sarsfield
  • 2024-09-24 Velez Sarsfield 2–0 Estudiantes L.P.
  • 2023-05-08 Estudiantes L.P. 2–0 Velez Sarsfield
  • 2022-10-17 Velez Sarsfield 4–0 Estudiantes L.P.
  • 2022-05-24 Velez Sarsfield 4–0 Estudiantes L.P.
  • 2022-04-08 Estudiantes L.P. 4–1 Velez Sarsfield
League standing · 2026
Velez Sarsfield#4 pos24 pts13 pl+5 GD
Estudiantes L.P.#10 pos14 pts13 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Velez Sarsfield scored1.38
Estudiantes L.P. scored1.23
Velez Sarsfield conceded1
Estudiantes L.P. conceded1.15

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Velez Sarsfield v Estudiantes L.P.?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Velez Sarsfield v Estudiantes L.P. was Away shots total over 9.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Velez Sarsfield and Estudiantes L.P.?
In their last 6 meetings, Velez Sarsfield won 4, Estudiantes L.P. won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Velez Sarsfield and Estudiantes L.P.?
Recent form — Velez Sarsfield 0W 5D 0L; Estudiantes L.P. 3W 1D 1L.

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