Velez Sarsfield v Gimnasia M. result

Full-time · Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Gimnasia M.

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 00:00 BST · Estadio José Amalfitani

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 02:58 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Velez Sarsfield · Gimnasia M.

The model’s pre-match pick

Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Gimnasia M. — Velez Sarsfield won this Liga Profesional Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Velez Sarsfield beat Gimnasia M. 1–0 at Estadio José Amalfitani in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 18 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Velez Sarsfield: T. Silvero (85’, assisted by L. Robertone).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Silvero’s goal on 85 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Velez Sarsfield 1.56, Gimnasia M. 0.46, from 20 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Velez Sarsfield: S. Escobar (32’), M. Lanzini (60’), Thiago Aguirre (90’) and J. Garcia (90+3’); Gimnasia M.: F. Antonini (58’) and L. Paredes (82’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Robertone (Velez Sarsfield) 8.2, R. Aliendro (Velez Sarsfield) 7.7 and T. Silvero (Velez Sarsfield) 7.6 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Velez Sarsfield next travel to Central Cordoba de Santiago on 25 October 2026.

Gimnasia M. next host Platense on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Velez Sarsfield: Central Cordoba de Santiago v Velez Sarsfield, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Gimnasia M.: Gimnasia M. v Platense, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Gimnasia M. · Liga Profesional Argentina
Venue: Estadio José Amalfitani · Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
Referee: Dario Herrera
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Velez Sarsfield 0 · draws 0 · Gimnasia M. 1 · 5 goals/game
Recent form: Velez Sarsfield 2W 2D 1L · Gimnasia M. 1W 2D 2L

Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Gimnasia M. (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.29 / 4.13

Corners

against 4.29 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.29 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 4.71 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.14 / 2.63

Cards

against 1.86 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Velez Sarsfield for / against	Line	Gimnasia M. for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.29 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	13.88 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.29 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.57 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	14 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.14 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Dario Herrera.

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Robertone n 8	82	2.9 8/6	1.2 4/4	F. Antonini
Luca Feler n 8	12.8	2.6 2/1	0 0/0	—
Juan Cruz Policella n 3	25	2.4 2/0	0 0/0	—
M. Pellegrini n 8	88.6	2.3 7/7	1.5 6/3	—
Thiago Aguirre n 8	41.1	1.9 5/2	1.6 4/1	—

Velez Sarsfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Policella n 5	57.4	3.4 4/3	1.6 3/1
D. Valdes n 8	41.1	2.7 8/1	1.4 4/1
R. Martinez n 8	69.6	2.6 6/6	1.8 6/4
M. Lanzini n 8	69	1.5 5/3	0.7 3/1
A. Veron n 8	30.1	1.5 3/1	1.5 3/1

Velez Sarsfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Valdes n 8	41.1	0.8 3/0	0.3 1/0
R. Martinez n 8	69.6	1 4/2	0 0/0
M. Pellegrini n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
M. Arias n 8	29.9	0 0/0	0.4 1/0
M. Lanzini n 8	69	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Velez Sarsfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Juan Cruz Policella n 3	25	4.8 1/1
Luca Feler n 8	12.8	4.4 5/0
S. Escobar n 8	54.3	3.3 6/3
Thiago Aguirre n 8	41.1	2.7 3/2
R. Aliendro n 8	89.6	2.5 7/5

Velez Sarsfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Marchiori n 8	91	3.5 8/4

Gimnasia M.

Gimnasia M. — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Barboza n 8	23.1	3.4 5/2	0 0/0	—
A. Módica n 8	78.5	2.9 6/6	1.7 7/3	—
F. Antonini n 8	77.6	2.8 7/6	1.2 7/1	L. Robertone
T. O'Connor n 8	46.4	2.7 6/3	2.2 5/2	—
L. Carrera n 8	37.6	2.7 4/2	0.3 1/0	—

Gimnasia M. — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Sabatini n 8	45.1	3.2 6/5	1.2 4/1
M. Vargas n 8	49.6	2.9 6/4	0.7 3/0
A. Módica n 8	78.5	2.4 7/6	1.1 5/2
F. Lencioni n 8	83.9	2.3 7/5	1.1 5/3
B. Armoa n 8	33.4	1.7 4/1	0.7 1/1

Gimnasia M. — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Módica n 8	78.5	0.9 3/2	0 0/0
E. Fernández n 8	77.3	0.3 2/0	0.4 2/1
T. O'Connor n 8	46.4	0 0/0	0.5 2/0
F. Lencioni n 8	83.9	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
M. Vargas n 8	49.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Gimnasia M. — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Guiffrey n 8	68.5	3.8 8/5
L. Carrera n 8	37.6	3.3 4/2
U. Sánchez n 8	34.5	3.3 5/3
M. Recalde n 8	90.6	2.9 8/5
J. Ceballos n 8	58.1	2.9 7/5

Gimnasia M. — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Rigamonti n 8	90.6	3 7/5

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Velez Sarsfield		Gimnasia M.
62%	Possession	38%
1.56	Expected goals (xG)	0.46
20	Shots	11
6	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	5
7	Blocked shots	4
14	Shots inside the box	5
12	Corners	2
4	Offsides	0
9	Fouls	11
4	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	5
494	Passes	319

Velez Sarsfield player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Robertone	94	0	1	1	0	1	3	0	7.7
R. Martinez	94	0	0	4	2	3	0	0	6.7
T. Marchiori	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7.1
J. Garcia	90	0	0	1	1	1	1	Y	6.4
T. Silvero	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	8.1
L. Magallán	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.9
Elías Gómez	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	7.1
R. Aliendro	90	0	0	2	0	2	6	0	7.2
M. Lanzini	87	0	0	5	0	4	3	Y	7.2
S. Escobar	79	0	0	2	1	0	0	Y	6.3
J. Policella	79	0	0	2	1	2	3	0	6
D. Valdes	11	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	7
Thiago Aguirre	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.4
C. Baeza	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.8

Gimnasia M. player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Rigamonti	90	0	0	0	1	0	8
L. Paredes	90	0	0	0	3	Y	6.2
E. Muñoz	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.8
M. Recalde	90	0	0	1	3	0	6.8
F. Lencioni	90	2	0	3	1	0	6.9
A. Módica	90	4	1	1	0	0	6.1
D. Mondino	88	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
F. Antonini	82	0	0	0	1	Y	5.9
M. Vargas	70	1	0	2	0	0	6.7
L. Cingolani	70	0	0	0	2	0	6.4
E. Fernández	46	0	0	3	2	0	6.6
N. Barboza	44	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
B. Armoa	20	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
S. Rodríguez	20	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Ubeda	8	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
I. Sabatini	2	1	1	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Velez Sarsfield v Gimnasia M. — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Velez SarsfieldWDWDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Gimnasia M.DLDLW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Velez Sarsfield 0 · 0 draws · Gimnasia M. 1 · 5 goals/game

2026-04-03 Gimnasia M. 3–2 Velez Sarsfield

League standing · 2026

Velez Sarsfield#4 pos24 pts13 pl+5 GD

Gimnasia M.#6 pos20 pts13 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Velez Sarsfield scored1.38

Gimnasia M. scored1.15

Velez Sarsfield conceded1

Gimnasia M. conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Velez Sarsfield v Gimnasia M.?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Velez Sarsfield v Gimnasia M. was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia M.?: In their last 1 meetings, Velez Sarsfield won 0, Gimnasia M. won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia M.?: Recent form — Velez Sarsfield 2W 2D 1L; Gimnasia M. 1W 2D 2L.

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