Angers v Marseille prediction

The match

Angers host Marseille in Ligue 1 on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Marseille are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Angers, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Seven of Angers’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Angers’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Angers have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.38. Angers have scored seven goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Angers have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Marseille’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Marseille’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Marseille have two wins, no draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.75. Marseille have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Marseille have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Angers (12th) and Marseille (13th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Marseille the stronger side, 158 rating points above Angers (Marseille 1607, Angers 1449, after at least 292 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished Angers 2–5 Marseille.

Team news

Predicted Angers XI (4-2-3-1): A. Lopes, J. Lefort, O. Camara, J. Kalulu, C. Arcus, B. van den Boomen, Y. Belkhdim, A. Sbaï, J. Allevinah, A. Bermont, A. El Ouazzani — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Sbaï (3.9 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and Branco van den Boomen (3.5 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Angers’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Angers (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Sbaï averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 539 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances. Branco van den Boomen averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 540 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last six appearances.

Predicted Marseille XI (4-2-3-1): J. de Lange, Emerson, C. Egan-Riley, T. Weah, N. Aguerd, A. Harit, H. Abdelli, A. Gomes, P. Højbjerg, I. Paixão, A. Gouiri — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (4.3 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Amine Gouiri (4.1 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Marseille’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Marseille (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pierre-Emile Højbjerg averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Amine Gouiri averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 929 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances.