Angers v Paris FC result

Full-time · Angers 1–0 Paris FC

Ligue 1 · Sun, 17 Aug 2025 16:15 BST · Stade Raymond-Kopa

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Angers 1–0 Paris FC — Angers won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.6% of 171 landed (95% range 45.2–60%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Angers 0.84, Paris FC 0.71 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Angers beat Paris FC 1–0 at Stade Raymond-Kopa in Ligue 1 on Sunday 17 August.

The goals

Angers led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Angers: Esteban Lepaul (9’, assisted by Jordan Lefort). Louis Mouton (57’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Esteban Lepaul’s goal on 9 minutes.

Discipline

F. Letexier showed three yellow cards and one red — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Angers: Yassine Belkhdim (40’) and Carlens Arcus (90+3’); Paris FC: Lohann Doucet (10’).

What it changes

Angers are second (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Paris FC are 14th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Hervé Koffi (Angers) 5.9, Mamadou Mbow (Paris FC) 5.9 and Esteban Lepaul (Angers) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.6% of the time in the last 90 days (90 of 171).

Next up

Angers next host Lorient on 25 October 2026.

Paris FC next travel to Lens on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Angers: Angers v Lorient, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Paris FC: Lens v Paris FC, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Angers 1–0 Paris FC · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Raymond-Kopa · Angers
Referee: F. Letexier
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Angers 1 · draws 0 · Paris FC 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Angers 2W 0D 3L · Paris FC 3W 2D 0L

Angers 1–0 Paris FC (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.38 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 3.5

Corners

against 4.38 / 3.83 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

2.63 / 5.17

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.75 / 1.5

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.83 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

4.1 yellows

Referee · F. Letexier

1.7 home / 2.4 away

over 10 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Angers for / against	Line	Paris FC for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 3.83 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	8.38 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 11.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	2.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.17 for · 2.5 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.75 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.17 for · 12.33 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 2.83 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: F. Letexier — 4.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 23.2 fouls over 10 matches (1.7 to the home side, 2.4 to the away side).

Home 1.7Away 2.4

Angers

Angers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Aholou n 8	72.9	3.1 6/5	1.1 5/2	—
P. Capelle n 8	36.8	2.8 6/1	0.9 2/1	—
C. Arcus n 8	71.4	2.2 7/5	1.6 7/3	—
B. Dieng n 8	20.3	2.2 3/1	2.8 4/1	—
J. Ekomié n 8	46	2 5/3	2.2 5/4	—

Angers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Dieng n 8	20.3	2.8 4/1	2.2 4/0
F. El Melali n 8	42.5	1.9 3/2	0.5 2/0
J. Allevinah n 8	52.5	1.5 5/2	1.1 4/1
P. Capelle n 8	36.8	1.5 4/1	0.3 1/0
Esteban Lepaul n 8	88.1	1.3 6/3	0.9 5/2

Angers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Dieng n 8	20.3	1.1 2/0	0 0/0
Esteban Lepaul n 8	88.1	0.5 2/2	0 0/0
F. El Melali n 8	42.5	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Y. Belkhdim n 8	83.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
H. Belkebla n 8	68.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Angers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Capelle n 8	36.8	4.3 6/4
J. Ekomié n 8	46	2.9 7/5
H. Belkebla n 8	68.4	2.8 7/6
F. Hanin n 8	85.4	2.6 8/6
L. Rao-Lisoa n 8	65.9	2.6 5/5

Angers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Zinga n 6	90	3.7 6/3
Y. Fofana n 8	90	3.5 8/7

Paris FC

Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Doucet n 8	26.1	2.6 6/0	1.3 3/0	—
M. Kanté n 5	14.4	2.5 2/0	0 0/0	—
A. Gory n 8	59.5	2.3 5/3	2.1 6/4	—
P. Hamel n 8	50.4	2.2 5/4	0.7 3/0	—
N. Dicko n 8	47.4	2.1 5/4	2.4 4/4	—

Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
O. Sissoko n 5	14	3.9 3/0	2.6 2/0
J. Krasso n 8	74.8	2.6 7/5	1.7 5/4
P. Hamel n 8	50.4	2 5/3	0.7 2/1
M. Cafaro n 8	49.6	2 6/2	1.6 6/1
N. Dicko n 8	47.4	1.7 6/1	0.9 3/1

Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Cafaro n 8	49.6	0.7 3/0	0.7 3/0
O. Sissoko n 5	14	1.3 1/0	0 0/0
J. Krasso n 8	74.8	1.1 4/3	0 0/0
I. Kebbal n 8	74.5	0.2 1/0	0.6 4/0
M. Lopez n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.5 3/1

Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Camara n 8	87.8	3.7 7/7
M. Tourraine n 8	51.4	3.5 5/4
T. De Smet n 8	84.4	2.3 7/6
T. Ollila n 8	33.6	2 2/2
M. Mbow n 8	89.1	1.9 8/5

Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Riou n 8	73.5	2.3 3/3
O. Nkambadio n 8	84.4	2.1 5/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Angers		Paris FC
32%	Possession	68%
0.97	Expected goals (xG)	0.92
8	Shots	17
2	Shots on target	7
3	Shots off target	6
3	Blocked shots	4
5	Shots inside the box	5
3	Corners	7
0	Offsides	3
14	Fouls	10
2	Yellow cards	1
1	Red cards	0
7	Saves	1
277	Passes	589
74%	Pass accuracy	90%

Angers player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
H. Koffi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.5
C. Arcus	90	0	0	0	0	2	3	Y	7.5
O. Camara	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
J. Lefort	90	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
H. Belkebla	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Y. Belkhdim	85	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	7.2
Esteban Lepaul	85	1	0	2	1	1	0	0	7.2
F. Hanin	72	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
L. Rao-Lisoa	62	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.6
S. Cherif	62	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.3
L. Mouton	57	0	0	1	0	0	1	R	6.2
L. Machine sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
J. Allevinah sub	28	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
J. Ekomié sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Courcoul sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
P. Peter sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Paris FC player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
O. Nkambadio	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
S. Chergui	90	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
M. Mbow	90	0	0	0	5	0	7.6
N. Sangui	90	0	0	2	1	0	6.6
I. Kebbal	90	3	2	2	1	0	6.9
M. Lopez	90	1	1	2	2	0	7.3
T. Kolodziejczak	85	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
M. Simon	72	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
P. Hamel	71	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
L. Doucet	61	1	0	3	0	Y	6.3
J. Krasso	61	3	3	0	0	0	6.3
V. Marchetti sub	29	1	0	1	0	0	6.6
A. Gory sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. López sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
M. Cafaro sub	18	3	1	0	0	0	6.7
N. Dicko sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Angers v Paris FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AngersLLWWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Paris FCWWDDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Angers 1 · 0 draws · Paris FC 1 · 3 goals/game

2024-04-27 Paris FC 3–1 Angers
2023-09-02 Angers 2–0 Paris FC

League standing · 2025/26

Angers#13 pos36 pts34 pl-19 GD

Paris FC#11 pos44 pts34 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Angers scored0.85

Paris FC scored1.38

Angers conceded1.41

Paris FC conceded1.47

Shot map and expected goals

Angers 0.84 xG from 8 shots, Paris FC 0.71 from 17. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Angers (attacking right)Paris FC (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Angers	8	1	0.84
Paris FC	17	0	0.71

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Angers v Paris FC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Angers v Paris FC was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Angers and Paris FC?: In their last 2 meetings, Angers won 1, Paris FC won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Angers and Paris FC?: Recent form — Angers 2W 0D 3L; Paris FC 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s boards

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Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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